December 2023

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

OH yeah ..I know.  And it's early.  I'm just feelin' a tad sarcastic this morning

No, I agree....know exactly what you mean...that cold/dry, rain....rinse-repeat cycle. I have been thinking that same thing. I just want to bring a pudding and small bag of Doritos to work, packed in a He-Man lunch box.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, ScituateWX said:

About 2 here in Pembroke pretty cool daughter got to see snow for the first time!

A new weenie joins the ranks.

[40/70 Benchmark]

9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Also a very Niña-like Northern branch of the jet stream with the December 2010 La Niña flooding record getting challenged in parts of Washington State. Plus the wettest first week of December on record ahead of La Niña years 2007 and 1975.

 

Time Series Summary for Olympia Area, WA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Ending Date	Total Precipitation Dec 1 to Dec 7	Missing Count
1	2023-12-07	6.73	2
2	2007-12-07	6.13	0
3	1975-12-07	5.91	0

Just as an FYI....Bluewave isn't all bad news.

I hit on the active N stream relative to expectation for a strong el Nino in my write up....this is why I don't expect the NE screw job that some do.

[40/70 Benchmark]

If you want to know what the template is for a snowy season in SNE, combine an active N stream with temps that are not prohibitively warm. That provides a relatively safe floor.

[weatherwiz]

a few flakes falling here

[Lava Rock]

15.6F for the low.

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

If you used your phone for the pics you should be able to shrink them in your gallery.

Usually I email it to myself but that didn’t go through. Need to clean space out there too.

[Damage In Tolland]

Light snow even here just began . Tiny weenie flakes and it’s very difficult to remain safe. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Usually I email it to myself but that didn’t go through. Need to clean space out there too.

Why not just use Imgur? It’s so easy. Helen Keller could do it. 

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Light snow even here just began . Tiny weenie flakes and it’s very difficult to remain safe. 

Congrats!

[dendrite]

13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

15.6F for the low.

Sneaky cold up there. -12° at Turner Brook. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Flakes in Leominster.  The top of my building is white

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Flakes in Leominster.  The top of my building is white

sure it's not paint? 

[DavisStraight]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why not just use Imgur? It’s so easy. Helen Keller could do it. 

Takes a few seconds to shrink it on your phone and post it.

[WinterWolf]

Didn’t think I’d see a flake, but it’s the small weenie flakes, but it’s indeed snowing, with milky sun..feels good with 29 degrees. 

[SouthCoastMA]

Still lgt snow here but likely done with the accumulations. Had to turn back around on Sandwich Rd along the canal because of the horrible traffic. 

[CoastalWx]

1.3”

[rclab]

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Light snow even here just began . Tiny weenie flakes and it’s very difficult to remain safe. 

 

22 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Congrats!

 

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

sure it's not paint? 

Good morning everyone. Please be ( as per DIT ) careful out there. Be well stay safe, as always …..

 

[CoastalWx]

Jspin fluff last hour 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Takes a few seconds to shrink it on your phone and post it.

Yeah I’ll do that 

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Jspin fluff last hour 

You did ok…Abs you’re on the board-nice. We had a little period of light weenie flakes..was nice to see. No accumulation of course, but the fact that we saw it here this far inland/west was surprising. 

[Chrisrotary12]

Enough flurries to have a dusting on non-paved surfaces.

[WinterWolf]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Let’s go 6z gfs.

That time frame that you and Will mentioned looks to have some merit/slight promise perhaps? At least it’s something of interest. 

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, Lava Rock said:

15.6F for the low.

13.1°F was the low here, Snow pack makes a difference on holding the cold temps, It will be a thing of the past after this weekend.

[Typhoon Tip]

The system for Monday appears to be morphing into a cold front.   I mentioned this days ago ...that whole thing might not survive model de-magnification as it came into nearer terms.  It's weakened considerably over the southern Ontario bomb from early runs.  At this point, some of these guidance or more like a strong cold front with a stressed wave zipping up the boundary...also farther E of the Ontario transit - a hallmark of conserving the progressive/fast flow type.

Wouldn't be surprised if this is just a strong cold front in the end.  Interesting to see if it continues to morph that way. 

[Snowcrazed71]

Lots of snow up here at the Canadian border!! Also lots of flurries 

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The system for Monday appears to be morphing into a cold front.   I mentioned this days ago ...that whole thing might not survive model de-magnification as it came into nearer terms.  It's weakened considerably over the southern Ontario bomb from early runs.  At this point, some of these guidance or more like a strong cold front with a stressed wave zipping up the boundary...also farther E of the Ontario transit - a hallmark of conserving the progressive/fast flow type.

Would be surprised if this is just a strong cold front in the end.  Interesting to see if it continues to morph that way. 

I've notice this happening often on these as we get closer to the event that it becomes more progressive, Weaker and ends up further east overtime.

[WxWatcher007]

Flurries 

[Snowcrazed71]

Looks like we are heading into another Snow shower

[Typhoon Tip]

24 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I've notice this happening often on these as we get closer to the event that it becomes more progressive, Weaker and ends up further east overtime.

Yeah it's a dependable kind of "correction vector"  - just an expression I use for/when evaluating these latter ranged aspects on the charts. We need to know if the pattern is:

1   progressive

2   retrogressive

3   delta between the two, and which direction...

If #1, the vector points toward like what you say. More than 50% of the time, at least some tendency to do that is expressed as latter range period/features are tracked into shorter range. Not always weakening.. Bombs can occur but will tend to be move right along. Uuusually though, some weakening will take place because 'speeding up' is mathematically a negative interference factor.  It's matter of balancing; if the wave is strong enough to overcome..etc

If #2, the vector points toward more amplitude - but also other things associated. Retrograde patterns aren't always 'bomby' either.  It can just mean slowing.  We also haven't seemingly observed a #2 hemisphere in quite a few years at this point.  Perhaps a times ... but by and large the longer term canvas has been a raging W-E boner pattern. 

If #3, get artistic and stand out as a special insight when not looking like an arrogant ass.