tamarack Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 34 minutes ago, weathafella said: That 57 storm was a foot for me. 58 featured 4 inches the first week and of course 1960 a full fledged historic blizzard the 11-12th. That 1960 event dumped 18" at our place and the heavy snow was tapering off as we ventured out on the opener of the 6-day firearm deer season. After my friend and I waded thru the powder for 90 minutes, we came back to find my dad standing over a nice little buck, maybe 250 yards from our home. That storm was also remarkable for the cold, as much of the snow fell while the temp was low teens. The January blizzard was even a bit colder, so the biggest dog of all (Feb 3-4) felt mild as temps were upper 20s. March 1956 thru Feb 1961 had the best run of big storms I'll ever see. Even our years in Fort Kent couldn't match that NNJ run. Edit: Averaging the low end/expected/high end for Farmington and Skowhegan, our forecast is currently 4"8"/11". Would be decent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Nam and hrrr gone wild for the coast with tomorrows system. crashes the 2m temps south, big difference from 12z. Ground is really warm so toss the clowns, especially with marginal surface temps even in my area for the duration. I like the 12z hrrr koochie for a forecast with classic climo gradient somewhere north of Windham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 2 hours ago, wx2fish said: One of the biggest Dec storms on record for the MHT area was Dec 1-3, 2019. Don't have to go back to the knicker days to find one That is actually the biggest snow storm of the last 5 years here...picked up 17". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 wow 2 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Weeklies continue to look good near the holidays through January. It has been really consistent. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: 2) The correlation between AO/NAO and NE temperatures is much stronger moving towards January and for February than it is November into December. Not true.. December has the highest correlation in the NE https://ibb.co/XWm9VzH https://ibb.co/QDy6k40 https://ibb.co/Jk4TxVc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Not true.. December has the highest correlation in the NE https://ibb.co/XWm9VzH https://ibb.co/QDy6k40 https://ibb.co/Jk4TxVc Gotcha, thanks. Thought the correlation strengthened as winter progressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Locking hr 84 of the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 39 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: wow thanks for posting the 384 hour map. Guaranteed to verify 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 I would watch that feature after our 66 or so as it kind of glides down the coast from Maine to Eastern mass. It’s possible some might have some minor accumulations on that feature. There is some support for it on different guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I would watch that feature after our 66 or so as it kind of glides down the coast from Maine to Eastern mass. It’s possible some might have some minor accumulations on that feature. There is some support for it on different guidance. Congrats S Wey on shopping flakes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Snow showers here Wednesday evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2023 Author Share Posted December 2, 2023 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Despite a very negative AO and NAO with strong Atlantic blocking it's in the mid to upper 50s where you live. There's no cold whatsoever actually. It's not trolling, it's reality that things stink right now despite blocking. What happens after mid December is too far out to say. I'm more optimistic than last winter if that helps. There is a raging Pac jet, so of course its mild. All the NAO does is trap the cold in place and block storms from cutting. Everyone agrees that if the PAC is crap, then it will be mild. But there is every reason to believe that heights will elevate near AK later this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Everything sucks until it doesn't. Stop trying to convince others that it doesn't suck prior to not sucking. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Everything sucks until it doesn't. Stop trying to convince others that it doesn't suck prior to not sucking.They are who we thought they were…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2023 Author Share Posted December 2, 2023 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Everything sucks until it doesn't. Stop trying to convince others that it doesn't suck prior to not sucking. I don't think anyone is arguing the pattern now doesn't suck, which isn't unexpected. However, the blocking this early is a positive auger for the balance of the season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 Maybe I'm delirious because I'm pretty sick and these Mucinex extra strength are overpowering me but reading through this thread today at points I've started to think, "well crap maybe winter is cooked". Then I realize... IT'S DECEMBER 2 4 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think anyone is arguing the pattern now doesn't suck, which isn't unexpected. However, the blocking this eaely is a positive auger for the balance of the season. It’s amazing to me how the same people can be around here for so long and still panic the same way every single year. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 2, 2023 Share Posted December 2, 2023 GFS has some nice eye candy in the LR. Maybe a nice sou'easter to set the stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 If that pattern flips favorable the third week of Dec into the holidays, I'd be happy, good things can happen after that since it's primetime for us for the next few weeks after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 It’s a shitty block too far north. This shouldn’t be surprising with a deep trough out west. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Never mind snow chances WTF is up with all the moths this evening?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It’s a shitty block too far north. This shouldn’t be surprising with a deep trough out west. Like we’ve said time and again.. snows and cold in AK.. it ain’t gonna snow and cold in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 41 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Never mind snow chances WTF is up with all the moths this evening?? There go your oaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Enjoy 30’s and rains tomorrow SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Maybe I'm delirious because I'm pretty sick and these Mucinex extra strength are overpowering me but reading through this thread today at points I've started to think, "well crap maybe winter is cooked". Then I realize... IT'S DECEMBER 2 2 days into meteorological winter....and nothing. It's a dead ratter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 2 hours ago, rimetree said: GFS has some nice eye candy in the LR. Maybe a nice sou'easter to set the stage. Yeah, I sure would like to see that day 16 and 17 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 Ratios are not going to be close to 10:1, but another elevational paste job seems likely for most of NNE. With the CAD bringing paste to lower els in NH/ME. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 3, 2023 Share Posted December 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Never mind snow chances WTF is up with all the moths this evening?? They're out and about because they're sniffing the +4-8F December pattern. 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ratios are not going to be close to 10:1, but another elevational paste job seems likely for most of NNE. With the CAD bringing paste to lower els in NH/ME. Really hope you guys get some good stuff up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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