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40/70 Benchmark
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1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

18z Euro would work but there’s a lot that can go wrong in this set up.

F99B5663-248B-4117-B526-1D5D64396B15.thumb.png.3d1db04f464fe8956689826544ab4edd.png

It’s def kind of an ugly setup but for your area it’s going to be fine because it looks like the hangback IVT stuff is going to be optimal for the mountains. You’ll get plenty of leftovers even if the synoptic lift underwhelms. 

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11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s def kind of an ugly setup but for your area it’s going to be fine because it looks like the hangback IVT stuff is going to be optimal for the mountains. You’ll get plenty of leftovers even if the synoptic lift underwhelms. 

I think that’s why I’m most skeptical though… inverted trough stuff seems more likely to fall apart or move around.  As modeled though, the axis is good from like SQC through the NGreens and Whites and Greens… at least for continuing precip once the cold settles in a bit deeper.

Looks to start as rain then go over to heavy wet snow.  Under 1500ft I’d go with lowish ratios but another 5-8:1 pasting would be a scene.

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