CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: About 200k.... Probably Tewksbury area..... Stay away from 93 part near Wilmington. There's a hog farm there I guess. It stinks to high heaven in the Spring when you drive by. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Stay away from 93 part near Wilmington. There's a hog farm there I guess. It stinks to high heaven in the Spring when you drive by. I never noticed that...my sister lives right off of 93 in Wilmington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Stay away from 93 part near Wilmington. There's a hog farm there I guess. It stinks to high heaven in the Spring when you drive by. Hog stink coming through Rays windows all spring and summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 I hope the GFS is in the boat of setting the stage for wave #2 (or whatever number you want to call it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I hope the GFS is in the boat of setting the stage for wave #2 (or whatever number you want to call it). I’d just refer to it as the 12/6 wave. Seems to be on its own with that idea for the most part since yesterday. Though there’s been a very small number of EPS members that try to show it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 It looks like 12z GFS is going to have it again too for the 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I never noticed that...my sister lives right off of 93 in Wilmington. When the wind is like SW…..it’s awful lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: It looks like 12z GFS is going to have it again too for the 6th. I’d rather get rid of that first system for the 6th, but I think the 6th is low chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hog stink coming through Rays windows all spring and summer. I lived there for the first 38 years of my life....IDK, I think Scott needs to put the windows down when shits himself. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’d just refer to it as the 12/6 wave. Seems to be on its own with that idea for the most part since yesterday. Though there’s been a very small number of EPS members that try to show it too. It's probably going to be quite difficult to determine how likely such a scenario is until we have a clearer picture of how 12/4 unfolds. The differences between the GFS/Euro are still pretty striking. Euro really cranks this up with a closed, but large H5 with a pretty intense jet streak at the base...also has double-barrel low. GFS is just a weak mangled mess. Euro's consistency though is a bit noteworthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’d rather get rid of that first system for the 6th, but I think the 6th is low chance. Canadien has it on the 4th, A bit warm here, If you didn't have the one on the 4th, There would be more room for the 6th to turn the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I lived there for the first 38 years of my life....IDK, I think Scott needs to put the windows down when shits himself. It’s there man. Many peeps know. Right where it drops to 3 lanes on 93N. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s there man. Many peeps know. Right where i dropped the 3 deuces on 93N. Well, better than in the car, I guess...just get under the cover of night, at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Good system on the gfs, but a bit outside for the 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Better air mass for the 6th too, That would support snow if its real and you can get it up the coast instead of scooting east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Better air mass for the 6th too, That would support snow if its real and you can get it up the coast instead of scooting east. As has been happening for years now, we’re going to get the opposite of what we want, meaning, we’re going to get the dung system that’s going to screw up the potentially better one. Rinse and repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: As has been happening for years now, we’re going to get the opposite of what we want, meaning, we’re going to get the dung system that’s going to screw up the potentially better one. Rinse and repeat didn't you get a 30" JP in Jan 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: didn't you get a 30" JP in Jan 2022 What does that have to do with the overall picture? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: What does that have to do with the overall picture? Just like the dung lead wave that screwed up Jan 2015. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just like the dung lead wave that screwed up Jan 2015. lol Hey, that at least produced lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 Too bad that energy is crashing the NW....this is the problem the first half of December and why its an uphill battle. Its not prohibitively warm, but that Pac jet isn't allowing the flow to amplify enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: As has been happening for years now, we’re going to get the opposite of what we want, meaning, we’re going to get the dung system that’s going to screw up the potentially better one. Rinse and repeat That is a good possibility, Air mass is marginal on the first one but has ticked colder too, So probably going to need to wait a bit longer to see which one of these waves becomes the more dominant, Lot of moving parts to reconcile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Too bad that energy is crashing the NW....this the problem the first half of December and why its an uphill battle. Its not prohibitively warm, but that Pac jet isn't allowing the flow to amplify enough. The issue is plenty correctable at this rage, but you need immaculate timing to have the Pac wave slow down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 Looks like Sunday evening is when that mid week SW is sampled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 What does @Cuteirishgirl25think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 I don’t think 12/6 is going to have enough room. Other guidance doesn’t like it. The 12/4 system doesn’t look very good either outside of far NNE unless we can get some trends toward the Euro today (which we haven’t…we’ve actually gotten worse trends so far for 12/4) Theres still some time to change things, but so far my best guess is we likely are stuck in the least optimal scenario…12/4 ends up way too warm and 12/6 gets suppressed. To be fair, this was also the most likely solution over the past couple of days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cuteirishgirl25 Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 I think all the models are now garbage. Every time they adjust them they ruin them more, I don’t think we can know whether it’ll be snow, rain, or out to sea until 24 hours, sometimes 12 hours before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 17 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: What does that have to do with the overall picture? It has plenty…lots of us didn’t get even close to what you got in 1/22(8-9” here), yet you’re still complaining?. And that’s the point. You’ve done better there than you should have for a decade, welcome back to reality Brett. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2023 Share Posted November 30, 2023 Fangs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 3 minutes ago, Cuteirishgirl25 said: I think all the models are now garbage. Every time they adjust them they ruin them more, I don’t think we can know whether it’ll be snow, rain, or out to sea until 24 hours, sometimes 12 hours before. Yea, I think in this case we have pretty good idea that were are porked several days in advance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now