Spanks45 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 25 minutes ago, kdxken said: Warming up nicely! Really can't complain too much about the holiday weekend weather. Who wants to be shoveling? What are you going to do the rest of the day? Sit inside and drink? I used my snow shovel yesterday to clean up the debris from 4+ inches of rain. I have actually used snow shovels more the past 2 years for things not related to snow....Hopefully we make up for this sooner rather than later, but at this point who knows....Seen too many seasons of warm/wet, cold/dry patterns 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Are we approaching any annual precipitation records in SNE? I know starting off January and February think 2+ rain events were impressive but back to back 4+ event here in December in a weeks time is shocking to say the least. Couple that with all the rain this summer got to think we are closing are some records in some areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: There have been plenty of hints of that over the last few days. At this point, why not? We are approaching 2 years since our last appreciable snow here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Cmc is close for New Years 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc is close for New Years Look at where the low center is. Needs a lot of work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Look at where the low center is. Needs a lot of work. New Years is tomorrow? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: New Year’s miracle? Bump it NW and get some high pressure in SE Canada and that would work. So much energy flying around who knows what will happen. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Snowfall to date. Looking back at maps from the same date in other years, it seems like there hasn't been a winter this inactive across the country since 2015-2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: New Years is tomorrow? Good luck 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Fairly active gfs so far. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 27 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: New Year’s miracle? Bump it NW and get some high pressure in SE Canada and that would work. So much energy flying around who knows what will happen. locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Fairly active gfs so far. Also first time seeing true Arctic cold modeled in Canada and the Northern US 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Also first time seeing true Arctic cold modeled in Canada and the Northern US Yeah. That’s certainly a possibility in the second week of January. Anyways ops mean nothing past day 7, but maybe it acts like a binky to the weenies. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Strat playing a role on the GFS . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Just now, Heisy said: Strat playing a role on the GFS . I was a weenie last night and read through the Jan 2022 blizzard thread. You had some good posts haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 I don’t know if the Strat is playing a role yet, but on the EPS last night, the 50 mbar Vortex was stretched and close to splitting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 2 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Let’s see how things evolve…at some point the law of averages has to play in too. Between that and a decent active pattern..I think we get some chances. Allsnow is just as biased as snowman, but he contributes more so it flies under the radar. You learn alot by following emoji patterns....its like a stream of consciousness whereas they veil it more in posts. Look at a guy like Bluewave, while you may not love what he shares, he won't weenie any post that implies winter still exists. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 I was a weenie last night and read through the Jan 2022 blizzard thread. You had some good posts haha.I’ve done the same countless times. Gets me in that snowstorm mood. That was a fun trip. First time I ever made it to pretty much the jackpot region. Hoping to score a big event at home for once. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know if the Strat is playing a role yet, but on the EPS last night, the 50 mbar Vortex was stretched and close to splitting. I nominate strat talk to be added to the fraud 5 . But that’s just my recollection of its fruitfulness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Heisy said: I’ve done the same countless times. Gets me in that snowstorm mood. That was a fun trip. First time I ever made it to pretty much the jackpot region. Hoping to score a big event at home for once. . Where did you go , N Jersey I recall you had a biggie you saw there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: I’ve done the same countless times. Gets me in that snowstorm mood. That was a fun trip. First time I ever made it to pretty much the jackpot region. Hoping to score a big event at home for once. . I still won’t forget how you spotted the Jan 2021 blizzard from a few weeks out with tombo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I nominate strat talk to be added to the fraud 5 . But that’s just my recollection of its fruitfulness Well my take is that it’s used too much to justify why patterns do what they do…or with too much confidence imo. It’s one piece of the puzzle. But it does have a say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t know if the Strat is playing a role yet, but on the EPS last night, the 50 mbar Vortex was stretched and close to splitting. Its coming....how much we benefit from it remains to be seen, but this was obvious to me since August. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: I still won’t forget how you spotted the Jan 2021 blizzard from a few weeks out with tombo Jan 2022? I remember that.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I nominate strat talk to be added to the fraud 5 . But that’s just my recollection of its fruitfulness Not if you understand it. Worked out great last year...MBY not withstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 2022? I remember that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well my take is that it’s used too much to justify why patterns do what they do…or with too much confidence imo. It’s one piece of the puzzle. But it does have a say. People also over attribute it to big snow and cold in the NE.. like ENSO, they come in all different varieities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2023 Author Share Posted December 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Oh, ok...great event, I just didn't view it as a blizzard. Not to get into semantics.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 23, 2023 Share Posted December 23, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, ok...great event, I just didn't view it as a blizzard. Not to get into semantics.... Gotcha. Very long duration but didn’t have a ton of wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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