dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Last in the series of s/w trying to amplify into a cold air mass, That's probably the one to look for. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 42 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: It's funny, none of the Mets in our area are biting on a wintry solution. But one of them did mention there's a possibility of a mix, but right now saying that one system looks like it's going to go to the north and one to the south of us. They don't want to talk about any possibilities of snow until it's a definite. Here's to hoping, but we'll have other opportunities. I'm sure. It's still very early No one knows yet. If we get a wound up system interior CT will snow. If the high keeps nosing and pressing even a lighter event could happen . My guess if it happens in SNE .. it will be an elevation event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman1 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 13 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup.. whats new same old thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman1 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 49 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We're all in agreement snow will be a tall task during the first two weeks of the month in SNE. and the last 2 weeks and Jan and so on 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 That’s close to something big on GFS for 12/6. Meanwhile, the Canadian actually likes 12/5 for SNE. Models still trying to figure out the shortwave mess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Cranky on it https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1729866859980451870?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s close to something big on GFS for 12/6. Meanwhile, the Canadian actually likes 12/5 for SNE. Models still trying to figure out the shortwave mess. I bet the GEFS will have some pretty decent members for that period. It's really not a terrible look just quite chaotic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I bet the GEFS will have some pretty decent members for that period. It's really not a terrible look just quite chaotic. Fwiw, I’d root for more of a GFS look as I think it’s a much tougher lift to get any part of that 12/4-5 impulse as significant snow in SNE. It’s probably better to use that system to drive down a better antecedent airmass in its wake and set the stage for the follow up wave to amplify into that airmass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I bet the GEFS will have some pretty decent members for that period. It's really not a terrible look just quite chaotic. The wave interference has been negative in the guidance for the 3rd thru the 9th of the month, which includes the 4th thru the 6th ( still imho the better period of interest), all along. The period is there but it may take a nearer term to sort out a dominant wave structure/wave space ... -OR, yes it is also true that the period could come and go as a dispersive failure. That happens too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Fwiw, I’d root for more of a GFS look as I think it’s a much tougher lift to get any part of that 12/4-5 impulse as significant snow in SNE. It’s probably better to use that system to drive down a better antecedent airmass in its wake and set the stage for the follow up wave to amplify into that airmass. Agreed, was just thinking that to myself. Use that first system to sort of lay the framework for the second system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: The wave interference has been negative in the guidance for the 3rd thru the 9th of the month, which includes the 4th thru the 6th ( still imho the better period of interest), all along. The period is there but it may take a nearer term to sort out a dominant wave structure/wave space ... -OR, yes it is also true that the period could come and go as a dispersive failure. That happens too. The type of setup where we may not have a great idea until just 2-3 days out. This is definitely a setup where you want to pay close attention to the upper-levels and not just focus on MSLP charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Bottom line…it’s interesting, and all you can ask for at the moment. We track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 23 minutes ago, iceman1 said: and the last 2 weeks and Jan and so on What a ridiculous post. Sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 this would suck if verified 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, Lava Rock said: this would suck if verified Yup. Good thing it’s at hour 312. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 12z Euro still likes 12/4 for CNE/NNE and into SNE, Pretty cold run actually, Advisory snow for some and warning snow for others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro still likes 12/4 for CNE/NNE and into SNE, Pretty cold run actually, Advisory snow for some and warning snow for others. Latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: this would suck if verified Why would you post hr 312 GFS op run panel for 12/12? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Latitude. Favored, At this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Favored, for snow totals in winter FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 That would be a fun Monday even down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just saw the good stuff roll in, not sure why it was delayed. Yeah that would be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 That was a legit hit on the euro even for SNE. Not biting yet but there’s a nice little Hudson Bay block that forms and really holds that high in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 18 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Oh pretty please, with sugar on top? 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Why would you post hr 312 GFS op run panel for 12/12? lol To be fair, Tip posted the 372 hour last night. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Normally we’d be pumped at a 126-132 solution on the euro but this thing has been changing every run so it’s prob gonna be a couple more cycles before confidence is high 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Told y’all. She hard come 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Normally we’d be pumped at a 126-132 solution on the euro but this thing has been changing every run so it’s prob gonna be a couple more cycles before confidence is high Yeah, some members are like this while others focus later in week. Hopefully it means we have a couple of opportunities and maybe get something. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, mreaves said: To be fair, Tip posted the 372 hour last night. A met vs a weenie? lol, I'm sure Tip had sound reasoning for posting it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Told y’all. She hard come Don't know what that means, but I think you're all in. Love to see it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Normally we’d be pumped at a 126-132 solution on the euro but this thing has been changing every run so it’s prob gonna be a couple more cycles before confidence is high That’s how you run an early season snowstorm down here. Thread the needle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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