TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It backed off from yesterday...has me at like an inch now, as opposed to 3-4". Not totally surprising given how early it is. im kind of with scooter on this, probably closer to Christmas before something decent settles in. Doesnt mean there wont be marginal chances before, but I wouldn’t expect much outside of Hubb to dendrite land for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Good lord, I think I'll start sticking to this subforum now. I was just told I must live with my parents and not own my own home in the NYC subforum for saying I like cold weather and am happy that the ski season has gotten off to a good start. Living just west of Danbury, CT, our weather is much more New England like than NYC Metro. I am very happy to see several nights of snow making temperatures at night and also quite a few next week after some moderation this weekend. It would be great for the ski areas to be able to have a good amount of terrain open for the holiday season this year, since many, especially in southern NY and New England, have missed that period the past couple of seasons. This season is already off to a great start, let's hope it stays that way for awhile. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 EPS actually is a great look for places near Dryslot to Lakes region etc and on west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 I like the GFS spitting out ocnl bombs. Like the 6z GFS. Maybe not snow for many, but at least we all lose power. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: I like the GFS spitting out ocnl bombs. Like the 6z GFS. Maybe not snow for many, but at least we all lose power. What is ocnl? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just now, WinterWolf said: What is ocnl? Haha Occasional. OCNL is used in weather. My bad. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Last year was also the winter of retreating highs. That helps the marine air penetrate further inland. A decent high position would have resulted in much different weather where you are. We have friends that live in Exeter, but formerly Epping. I recall one time back in 2013 right when I got to 101 there was just a semblance of frozen translucent crust. As I looked west on 101 from that spot, I could see the snow cover maybe 2 miles away. So I know what you mean with the sharp gradients. The difference between Exeter and Epping average snowfall looks like it may highlight what you guys have mentioned regarding the marine influence. Not sure how accurate this data is, but it's claiming the averages are: Exeter. 55.71" and Epping 61.85". http://www.usa.com/rank/new-hampshire-state--average-snow--city-rank.htm About a 10 mile NW stretch for a 6" increase on average. A warm spring/summer/fall evening on one of the decks at Seadog in Exeter can be a good time for dinner if you haven't been there. Nice little spot overlooking the Squamscott. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Haha Occasional. OCNL is used in weather. My bad. Not occlusional? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 22 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Good lord, I think I'll start sticking to this subforum now. I was just told I must live with my parents and not own my own home in the NYC subforum for saying I like cold weather and am happy that the ski season has gotten off to a good start. Living just west of Danbury, CT, our weather is much more New England like than NYC Metro. I am very happy to see several nights of snow making temperatures at night and also quite a few next week after some moderation this weekend. It would be great for the ski areas to be able to have a good amount of terrain open for the holiday season this year, since many, especially in southern NY and New England, have missed that period the past couple of seasons. This season is already off to a great start, let's hope it stays that way for awhile. Definitely a good start to the season. You may enjoy this ski season thread with lots of good pics from those who've been on the mountains already: Please say "Hi" to mom and dad for us. (joking!) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, Layman said: The difference between Exeter and Epping average snowfall looks like it may highlight what you guys have mentioned regarding the marine influence. Not sure how accurate this data is, but it's claiming the averages are: Exeter. 55.71" and Epping 61.85". http://www.usa.com/rank/new-hampshire-state--average-snow--city-rank.htm About a 10 mile NW stretch for a 6" increase on average. A warm spring/summer/fall evening on one of the decks at Seadog in Exeter can be a good time for dinner if you haven't been there. Nice little spot overlooking the Squamscott. That's too low for both. Exeter should be close to 70 easily and Epping maybe 5" more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, Layman said: The difference between Exeter and Epping average snowfall looks like it may highlight what you guys have mentioned regarding the marine influence. Not sure how accurate this data is, but it's claiming the averages are: Exeter. 55.71" and Epping 61.85". http://www.usa.com/rank/new-hampshire-state--average-snow--city-rank.htm About a 10 mile NW stretch for a 6" increase on average. A warm spring/summer/fall evening on one of the decks at Seadog in Exeter can be a good time for dinner if you haven't been there. Nice little spot overlooking the Squamscott. Those aren’t accurate numbers. Epping averages more than 61” and Exeter is much higher than 55”. Sometimes coop data is a bit unreliable…esp for snowfall. edit: Scott beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS actually is a great look for places near Dryslot to Lakes region etc and on west. GYX talked about big overnight shift on models...lots of weak waves along a front draped across new england with high to the north....and maybe the 5th and 6th waves come together as a big storm. Zones are vague but mostly mention snow after Saturday and through Tuesday. So far this year it seems to want to snow up here but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 22 minutes ago, Layman said: Definitely a good start to the season. You may enjoy this ski season thread with lots of good pics from those who've been on the mountains already: Please say "Hi" to mom and dad for us. (joking!) This is awesome! Thanks! I'll be here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 There's a series of s/w moving along the front that OP models are showing now stalling rather then clearing the coast allowing some warmer air to hang back, HP a bit weaker and further north, Needs to sharpen as well and build further south, Still hopeful the last in the series in the Mon-Weds time frame can amplify into a coastal system that we saw a few days back, Still a lot of time to work things out, Models struggle with multiple waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS actually is a great look for places near Dryslot to Lakes region etc and on west. Phew....they could use it. Tough season last year pissing on my grave all winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Phew....they could use it. Tough season last year pissing on my grave all winter. They pee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The net gain EPS snow output next week is interesting even in this area It's funny, none of the Mets in our area are biting on a wintry solution. But one of them did mention there's a possibility of a mix, but right now saying that one system looks like it's going to go to the north and one to the south of us. They don't want to talk about any possibilities of snow until it's a definite. Here's to hoping, but we'll have other opportunities. I'm sure. It's still very early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Snowcrazed71 said: It's funny, none of the Mets in our area are biting on a wintry solution. But one of them did mention there's a possibility of a mix, but right now saying that one system looks like it's going to go to the north and one to the south of us. They don't want to talk about any possibilities of snow until it's a definite. Here's to hoping, but we'll have other opportunities. I'm sure. It's still very early Latitude will matter for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Latitude will matter for sure once north of Ray. Probably. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Haha Occasional. OCNL is used in weather. My bad. I was thinking occluded too..lol. Ok, I’ll note that it’s occasional. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Those aren’t accurate numbers. Epping averages more than 61” and Exeter is much higher than 55”. Sometimes coop data is a bit unreliable…esp for snowfall. edit: Scott beat me to it I know you’ve posted before, but what’s the best annual snowfall climo map you’ve seen for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 This looks like dog shit, especially given background conditions. Stop looking for snow and start hoping for minimal pack loss to our friends who have it in the far interior. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: This looks like dog shit, especially given background conditions. Stop looking for snow and start hoping for minimal pack loss to our friends who have it in the far interior. We're all in agreement snow will be a tall task during the first two weeks of the month in SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Pope says nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 My Cheerios tasted off this morning. I found the cause. Looks like someone pissed in them. Early Dec has/had a shot for something. Then we relax 12/10-15. We hope to reload post 12/15 toward the holiday. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Just keep building the pack base in the NW zones of ME/NH/VT for now, I plan on heading north all winter this year and during the week to boot to ride fresh tracks, Then pass 100's of sleds on the weekend with people coming at you on your side of the trail and conditions beat to shit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We're all in agreement snow will be a tall task during the first two weeks of the month in SNE. Yup.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: Pope says nope. Ya just gotta cope when the pope says nope. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 Gfs looks interesting for interior SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2023 Share Posted November 29, 2023 GFS trying day 7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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