CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I actually love the ensemble runs last night. Got that retrograding GOA low going toward Aleutians. I think we’re setting up a really nice pattern for early January…we’ll see if we can sneak something in the week after Xmas to close out the month, but I’m not gonna take any toaster baths if that period doesn’t work out….the late month stuff is prob going to favor in and up too with the airmasses still not arctic. Totally agree. I looked at stuff before logging on and was kind of surprised at the tone in here lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agreed You’re who he’s talking about..lol. And/or maybe go tell Will what he’s pointing out is just a crapshoot…right? I mean your January 1st OP run…that’s not a crapshoot, right? Get a grip, you’re acting like a flake. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Totally agree. I looked at stuff before logging on and was kind of surprised at the tone in here lol. this is the run being complained about. you get one amped storm that leads to in-situ -NAO blocking and forms a 50/50. then, the AK trough retrogrades and pumps the PNA. S/W dives and amps. this would be a crusher verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 like i know it’s an OP run, but that’s a gorgeous pattern progression and the ENS are feeling it too. certainly something you wouldn’t complain about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Totally agree. I looked at stuff before logging on and was kind of surprised at the tone in here lol. no changes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: no changes! Agreed, rains to Montreal 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 41 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Maybe I can lose power for a few weeks so I don’t have to see how ugly the pattern is on the models every day. Book your vacation now: 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Agreed, rains to Montreal and? this is later in the run as the pattern progresses 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 the “no changes” stuff is like easily one of the most annoying things ever. the goalposts can be moved forever since they’re never established to begin with changes in snowfall? height anomalies? the overall pattern? sun angle? geese population? can literally be anything 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: this is the run being complained about. you get one amped storm that leads to in-situ -NAO blocking and forms a 50/50. then, the AK trough retrogrades and pumps the PNA. S/W dives and amps. this would be a crusher verbatim It won’t change overnight, but things are progressing for the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Totally agree. I looked at stuff before logging on and was kind of surprised at the tone in here lol. I always do this. Maybe Will can put a disclaimer on the front page “look before posting”, kinda like how we tell our kids to look both ways before crossing the street. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Totally agree. I looked at stuff before logging on and was kind of surprised at the tone in here lol. There’s a reason patience was always considered a virtue…lol. I think most of us have been pretty fair about when to get worried and when not to. It’s a bummer that we didn’t sneak an event in during mid-December but I think we have been pretty consistent in saying if we get to late month and it doesn’t look better, then we can get worried…but that hasn’t happened…if it changes for the worst and it looks like we’re gonna punt a l out of January, then I’ll get worried. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Hey look on the bright side-Maybe we can break some all-time low records on North American snow cover over the next 5 days. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s a reason patience was always considered a virtue…lol. I think most of us have been pretty fair about when to get worried and when not to. It’s a bummer that we didn’t sneak an event in during mid-December but I think we have been pretty consistent in saying if we get to late month and it doesn’t look better, then we can get worried…but that hasn’t happened…if it changes for the worst and it looks like we’re gonna punt a l out of January, then I’ll get worried. yeah if it’s mid-Jan and we’re still staring at a torch for the next 10 days, i will be worried, but there are zero signs of that happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: the “no changes” stuff is like easily one of the most annoying things ever. the goalposts can be moved forever since they’re never established to begin with changes in snowfall? height anomalies? the overall pattern? sun angle? geese population? can literally be anything He only has 5 posts..so Just ignore…it’s quite nice actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Hey look on the bright side-Maybe we can break some all-time low records on North American snow cover over the next 5 days. to be fair, NA snow cover was on the high side for a good portion of last winter, especially early, and it meant next to nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Far too many people here have let themselves become emotionally and mentally attached to something(the weather) that they have no control over. Some people set themselves up to be massively disappointed long before the approach of winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Danger approaching We are getting very close to 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 As far as I’m concerned today is a beautiful day . 50 and sunny by afternoon Means doing outside activities is somewhat comfortable. Much preferred over 20 and windy . The only thing I’m mildly interested in with the upcoming system is severe weather threat for Florida where some family is , and comparing number of ski trails open today compared to Tuesday / Wednesday and comparing that across VT/NH. I don’t get wind in Bedford or Nashua and I’m hoping there are some dry Mild hours on Monday 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I seriously can't with Kev. I don't know where he comes up with these things. When he gets fixated on something, he takes it to the top. It's fine, it adds some comedy to the discussion. And yes, winter starts next week officially. I think we'd all would have liked to have seen a little snow on the ground for Christmas. But it doesn't end the winter if we don't. And that's a lot of what we've been seeing in these discussions. Thank God for you guys! Nothing has changed . There is a major windstorm coming and we will all have HWW tomorrow morning. People are just depressed about the now snowless month of Dec 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 7 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah, that run gave me chills thinking of last year. Hideous run for New England winter lovers. Moose fart Maine might do okay verbatim on the deal after Christmas 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wouldn’t look at an op run and head for the Taunton River. Good morning TB2014, CW and everyone else. For almost 10 years I’ve tried to internalize some weather knowledge by becoming, at least, acronym fluent. Only limited success. However what keeps me alive are the golden nuggets such as T B dropped in his post. ‘Moose Fart Maine’ I couldn't resist the look up and found something even better. Perhaps passed around and enjoyed with a favorite beverage might ease many of the forums current concerns. Stay well all, as always …. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Boring here…but somewhat exciting for the eastern folks like you guys. You’ll gust 50-60 there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 11 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Hey look on the bright side-Maybe we can break some all-time low records on North American snow cover over the next 5 days. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 Man GFS and NAM at 6z are absolutely wild with wind threats region wide. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 14 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Hey look on the bright side-Maybe we can break some all-time low records on North American snow cover over the next 5 days. C'mon man you are RAINING on their parade ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 I remember coming home from college at Christmas beak, freshman year. SWCT had accumulated 0 snow at that point. That was 1977. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, rclab said: Good morning TB2014, CW and everyone else. For almost 10 years I’ve tried to internalize some weather knowledge by becoming, at least, acronym fluent. Only limited success. However what keeps me alive are the golden nuggets such as T B dropped in his post. ‘Moose Fart Maine’ I couldn't resist the look up and found something even better. Perhaps passed around and enjoyed with a favorite beverage might ease many of the forums current concerns. Stay well all, as always …. .....next year you can sell those at THEIR get together!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 44 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I actually love the ensemble runs last night. Got that retrograding GOA low going toward Aleutians. I think we’re setting up a really nice pattern for early January…we’ll see if we can sneak something in the week after Xmas to close out the month, but I’m not gonna take any toaster baths if that period doesn’t work out….the late month stuff is prob going to favor in and up too with the airmasses still not arctic. “Allsnow liked this” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 I won’t lie though. Having December suck is painful. Maybe I’m getting old, but December is a miserable month when there is nothing to track. I don’t need a KU, but a couple of light events are a lot better than this. Hopefully something happens after Christmas. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2023 Share Posted December 16, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I won’t lie though. Having December suck is painful. Maybe I’m getting old, but December is a miserable month when there is nothing to track. I don’t need a KU, but a couple of light events are a lot better than this. Hopefully something happens after Christmas. We’re paying for that string of awesome Decembers…though honestly, Dec 2019 and 2020 were pretty damned snowy and active but they both got tainted by a nasty cutter or two…including a top 3 worst one in2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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