qg_omega Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 33 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: I don't know how anyone downplays the wind. No inversion at all. Bag full of meh on the wind potential 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 25 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: CT river valley jacks. That jack zone is East of the CRV. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: I'd love it Ray just pulverized his daughter’s doll house. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Ring in the new year by flipping our winter fortunes. Eventually the rubber band snaps back in our favor… How long we've been hearing that tale? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Sunday / Monday looks to bring the wood yard rain total to over 60 inches. I hate effing rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Dick Tolleris! https://x.com/wxrisksnowstorm/status/1735447441137127844?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, kdxken said: How long we've been hearing that tale? We’ve lived thru bad stretches before. This is nothing new. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dick Tolleris! https://x.com/wxrisksnowstorm/status/1735447441137127844?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Lol…largest most intense in 10 yrs? Really? Holy smokes what hype. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 11 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We’ve lived thru bad stretches before. This is nothing new. I don't know, everything seems to have a hard slice and be headed for the trees the past couple years. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dick Tolleris! https://x.com/wxrisksnowstorm/status/1735447441137127844?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg What was your top gust from last week's storm? Had to be below 80. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 18z gfs is pretty wild in ern CT on east. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z gfs is pretty wild in ern CT on east. What's east of Eastern Connecticut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z gfs is pretty wild in ern CT on east. Let em go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let em go Highest gust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 This will be another dynamic system with a negative tilt trough and a robust low level jet leading to anomalous PWATs and heavy rain potential for SNE. 100 member GEFS/EPS/GEPS ensemble indicating 40-60% probs of rainfall > 2 inches and even getting 10- 20 percent probs of 3+ inches. This represents the 90th percentile of the ensemble distribution which is close to 3 inches QPF. This I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 hopefully entire forests blown down Sun PM- Mon ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z gfs is pretty wild in ern CT on east. Imo It’ll tame down as it usually does. We’re still 3 days out, it’ll morph some more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Ray just pulverized his daughter’s doll house. Really, CT and CJ jacks aren’t his favorite? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Miller A should start coming back to earth soon. Still need to watch the N/stream despite GFS … It could be right but enough other guidance sources drilling power over the coast. As/should the Miller A correct weaker it ‘transmits’ into a more robust 2nd event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: Bag full of meh on the wind potential The soundings on the GFS and Euro aren't really meh at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2023 Author Share Posted December 15, 2023 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The soundings on the GFS and Euro aren't really meh at the moment. Let's see what actually happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Hopefully by the clarke’s gtg we have something wintry on the close on horizen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, kdxken said: I don't know, everything seems to have a hard slice and be headed for the trees the past couple years. The difference is, that stretch of bad golf there never snaps favorably. Poor fella… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 I know "it's the 84h NAM" but at 12Z Monday the NAM has a 991MB low near ORF and the GFS 978 of BGM (CMC is close) … only about 350 miles apart. Looks like it stems from an H500 trough being centered over Minnesota for the globals and Lake Michigan for the mesocale. Not sure it makes a difference aside from, like, BUF anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 GEFS looks interesting after Christmas. nice western ridge, strong central Canadian ridge, and a potent SS vort 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1735478351492468946?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 Yeah gfs and euro are rather impressive in the eastern half of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 5 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS looks interesting after Christmas. nice western ridge, strong central Canadian ridge, and a potent SS vort 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah gfs and euro are rather impressive in the eastern half of SNE. We’ll have to see how this progresses…the last one looked impressive too, and morphed to pretty much nothing wind wise. This has time to do the same. If it’s still looking impressive for you guys out east tomorrow night and Sunday morning…maybe it’s game on for you eastern folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2023 Share Posted December 15, 2023 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We’ll have to see how this progresses…the last one looked impressive too, and morphed to pretty much nothing wind wise. This has time to do the same. If it’s still looking impressive for you guys out east tomorrow night and Sunday morning…maybe it’s game on for you eastern folks. Yeah, different type of storm than last week, they will howl near the coast. Less impressive over deep interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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