Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Just was reading kids Christmas book. All talking about snow. Triggering. It’s all I can think about. Xmas songs where they’re all just ripping S+ . Meanwhile we’ve just completed one 4” rainer in 18 hours, gearing up for another yet this one even more cruel with a wound up nor’easter that drops rains to the slopes of Quebec 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s all I can think about. Xmas songs where they’re all just ripping S+ . Meanwhile we’ve just completed one 4” rainer in 18 hours, gearing up for another yet this one even more cruel with a wound up nor’easter that drops rains to the slopes of Quebec hopefully the next rainer/winder misses? it's all we got, so hopefully it winds up deep and cuts way west 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s all I can think about. Xmas songs where they’re all just ripping S+ . Meanwhile we’ve just completed one 4” rainer in 18 hours, gearing up for another yet this one even more cruel with a wound up nor’easter that drops rains to the slopes of Quebec Chestnuts roasting under the December Sun, Pacific Jet ripping out your soul. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 55 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I want to wash my hands my face, my hair in Snow … Is she drinking a glass of milk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 4 hours ago, weathafella said: I think they average 341 inches/year. Do they get the most sea-level snow on earth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Wolfie? I’ll take that as a huge compliment….the guy makes perfect sense. And he’s completely right. While we have utter clowns and buffoons literally saying nothing changes, and we punt until late January. I mean these folks are completely senseless. And take a good look at Wills post, and how many folks “Liked” it(there were many), and you’ll see that the senseless folks aren’t in there liking a great post. But they like the buffoonery posts constantly. They know who they are. And that’s all you need to know. Thank you Will for putting it in perspective. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 31 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Chestnuts roasting under the December Sun, Pacific Jet ripping out your soul. Everybody knows, some clown maps and some upslope snow Help to make, torches alright Tiny weenies, with their eyes on MJO Will find it hard to find some white 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I was heartbroken over that seen when I was a kid. Public schools strike again. Damn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Nothing to melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, FXWX said: Folks forget or choose not to remember the El Nino discussions during the early fall that strongly suggested December would likely run the risk of a being an above normal month with thread the needle events for any shot at meaningful snow threats. In a lot of ways this December is playing out pretty much according to classic past El Nino years... The same long-range outlooks the pointed out the risk of a warmer than normal December, also pointed toward the pattern improving once into or just beyond the Xmas holiday week. I am in that camp even if the shift to a more favorable setup waits until early January. This December pattern is nothing like last December and the global pattern is very different. I do not expect the pattern to flip into an unusually cold regime once into early January and I don't think one is needed to see significant Northeast snows. As we all know, pattern transitions are commonly a bit later the originally thought so no one should be surprised if the more favorable pattern waits a week or more later than originally projected. I don't think anyone is talking about a Jan 2015 type of flip, but I expect the large-scale NA pattern will grow more favorable for significant storm action moving into January, even if the regional temperature pattern is close to normal or a bit above normal. The pattern laid out by 40/70 is a very realistic path forward and one that fits where I think the long-range modeling seems likely to go: In short, more western ridging, an active Pacific jet under-cutting Western ridging and enough high latitude blocking to allow seasonably cold air masses to visit on a regular basis... Yep. Great post....nothing has changed...I was a bit spooked at the start of the month that I may have been a touch too mild, but it may be the other way....change maybe a bit late, but nothing is canceled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 5 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Maybe the "No changes" crew was right after all? Depends which "no changes" cohort you mean...I remain quite confident I am on the right track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Nino pattern starts kicking in by early January. Seeing heights lower across this region as subtropical jet powers up. MJO does eventually make it to phase 8 too after Christmas. I think mid Jan to mid Feb could be decent. Pattern is a lot different than last year. It's similar to 2015 with a more muted December torch. I like 82-83 too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nino pattern starts kicking in by early January. Seeing heights lower across this region as subtropical jet powers up. MJO does eventually make it to phase 8 too after Christmas. I think mid Jan to mid Feb could be decent. Pattern is a lot different than last year. It's similar to 2015 with a more muted December torch. I like 82-83 too. Agreed. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 32 minutes ago, dendrite said: Everybody knows, some clown maps and some upslope snow Help to make, torches alright Tiny weenies, with their eyes on MJO Will find it hard to find some white You've been on a roll today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Courtesy from Bamwx on X 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Everybody knows, some clown maps and some upslope snow Help to make, torches alright Tiny weenies, with their eyes on MJO Will find it hard to find some white They know the Grinch is on his way He’s bringing Phil and hydro issues on his sleigh And every weenie’s child is going to cry When dad is broken and leaves, no goodbye 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 8 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I was heartbroken over that scene when I was a kid. of all the classic Christmas shows, that one truly sucked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Massive coastal rainstorm on the Euro. What a beast but of course it's too warm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Hell of a storm on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hell of a storm on euro. That would take a lot of trees down all the way back to Wolfman and Iceberg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Hell of a storm on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Storms with origins that far south are usually warm especially with no antecedent cold air mass. I mean it’s already sub 980 by Myrtle beaches latitude. Looks tropical. We got our wish and saw what happens when the northern stream phases still not cold enough, so ya looks like the only chance would be a triple phaser with that polar jet. Onto the next one Christmas week… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That would take a lot of trees down all the way back to Wolfman and Iceberg Take em all down..let’s go. probably By the time it gets here it’ll be down to 1004 mb with light rain lol due to Euro overamped bias… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Take em all down..let’s go. probably By the time it gets here it’ll be down to 1004 mb with light rain lol due to Euro overamped bias… This one has rains to Montreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: That would take a lot of trees down all the way back to Wolfman and Iceberg kind of like the last one, amirite? 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 6 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: kind of like the last one, amirite? @HIPPYVALLEY https://x.com/eweather13/status/1734540718712996161?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: @HIPPYVALLEY https://x.com/eweather13/status/1734540718712996161?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Good read. He still sees a transition to colder weather around Christmas and moving forward. I like the optimism that he feels. It's definitely going to be different from last year as a lot of people have been saying. Patience is key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Min 25.0° Had a coating of snow last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 Beautiful morning 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: That would take a lot of trees down all the way back to Wolfman and Iceberg I’m swarmed with uncontrollable excitement. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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