Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 How is our snower looking for Fri nite/ Saturday? 1 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Yes, about 8-10” of arctic sand here…was a very big disappointment here. Especially since a blizzard warning was issued here, with forecast of at least double the amount we actually got. Off to the SW got buried-NJ and NYC. And it also was coming off the huge disappointment year of 09-10 where the mid Atlantic got absolutely obliterated, and SNE got completely skunked…so we started off with the same general idea on that first significant system…so it was spooky, and a lot of folks were like WTF…here we go again. But then Jan ‘11 came a calling. People forget it was a damn miracle to get anything from that storm . 2 days prior nothing was forecast . Zip . Was the biggest comeback I’ve seen on modeling inside 72 hrs Then the nam at 18z came out and buried us (out of nowhere) and the major weather centers tossed it , then then the 18z gfs came out and buried us and I think forecasters were like “holy crap” . They didn’t know what was up . It was madness on the board . I was thankful for the 10” of arctic sand I saw in Framingham . Zip was forecast 2 days prior . Certainly wasn’t here we go again with 10” I mean and I know a bunch of people were dissatisfied I just couldn’t see it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How is our snower looking for Fri nite/ Saturday? Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How is our snower looking for Fri nite/ Saturday? Gfs says BL is cooked outside berks /monads showers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 5 hours ago, WinterWolf said: To be totally honest Kev, that was me, and I’m still not worried at all. Normal/average snow for us is a very good chance imo. Decembers usually suck in strong Ninos, so this is not a surprise. Things will change around. Wasn't just you..I said it too.. November was great up north and the calls for a November torch were simply, just because. It was nothing like last year and several LR "torchy" periods got beat back. But there is no denying December, particularly the last two weeks for NNE, have been nothing short of a disaster, torch, shit sandwich, whatever you want to call it. The calls for a December torch were right, though I think some were for the wrong reason..but right is right. We can easily still get to normal snowfall totals and up north, it can change really quickly. I prefer to be optimistic, especially in late December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 17 minutes ago, FXWX said: Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday? Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, FXWX said: Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday? There’s been quite a bit of snow talk and models showing snow interior SNE away from s coast. It’s been on and off on all models and not just north of 90 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s been quite a bit of snow talk and models showing snow interior SNE away from s coast. It’s been on and off on all models and not just north of 90 We had one day of favorable modeling but it never was anything big. As many have said, no cold anywhere. Plenty of fog though…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: We had one day of favorable modeling but it never was anything big. As many have said, no cold anywhere. Plenty of fog though…. I saw a few runs that had 1-2”. Maybe it’ll come back . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I saw a few runs that had 1-2”. Maybe it’ll come back . 2 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 I wouldn’t count on it. Looks warm. Maybe a few flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 49 minutes ago, FXWX said: Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday? seemed like secondary ML low models picked up on was late Friday, or early Sat AM several days ago (mostly faster gfs). i could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Saturday is the day for snow chances. Too warm prior to that. Best chance in CNE and NNE but can’t rule out interior SNE yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: What a rotten airmass for winter. Neither cold enough for snow or warm enough for a good mid-winters torch. Just take your anti-depressants bleh air. LOL… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 This 18z euro panel shows just how close of a miss the weekend system is to being something way better. If that northern stream shortwave comes in just a little further west (maybe 100 mi if that), then you get a phase a probably a nice interior Nuke…but instead it’s a close miss. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 11 minutes ago, qg_omega said: That system was never in play. Tough to lose 20% of your allotment over a rookie mistake… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Saturday is the day for snow chances. Too warm prior to that. Best chance in CNE and NNE but can’t rule out interior SNE yet. Let those two warministas go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I wouldn’t count on it. Looks warm. Maybe a few flakes. did you hack Taunton dudes account? you're above 1k right? lol Just a small weenie band and you're getting a few. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 wow, pessimism /negativity is close to an all-time low 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 18 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: did you hack Taunton dudes account? you're above 1k right? lol Just a small weenie band and you're getting a few. I’m thinking more of Kevin. More likely here. but I would still give it less than a 50% chance of 1”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 17 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: wow, pessimism /negativity is close to an all-time low It will look better next week I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: This 18z euro panel shows just how close of a miss the weekend system is to being something way better. If that northern stream shortwave comes in just a little further west (maybe 100 mi if that), then you get a phase a probably a nice interior Nuke…but instead it’s a close miss. A few runs we were getting a partial phase so precip was enhanced with the SLP near LI pulling the colder air down to the coast and potential was there for some of the modeled higher precip totals, Some of today's runs ran that s/w out ahead of the one in the ohio valley leaving a torched BL and lighter precip, 12z Euro was a bit better but still out ahead so it was late, Still need to watch it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: wow, pessimism /negativity is close to an all-time low this has to be one of the worst christmas snow maps ever 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 4 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this has to be one of the worst christmas snow maps ever "worst" i'm fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 8 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Strawman though…lots of seasons (eps El Niño seasons) made good comebacks without being as prolific as 2015….do we think ‘57-58, ‘65-‘66, ‘66-‘67, ‘02-03 (coastline), ‘12-‘13 (coastline) were all meh winters because we didn’t get 100” in 3 weeks like 2014-15? Most Decembers between 1979 and the year 2000. Sure … not sure why we’re using a bad December as a metric for the rest of the year based on our climate is all I’m saying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 31 minutes ago, forkyfork said: this has to be one of the worst christmas snow maps ever Yeah, old news and everyone knows that already. But thanks for the update of the past..lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 5 hours ago, powderfreak said: Today was like spring skiing. Soft snow, bumps forming, some sun. Could be worse but definitely not mid-winter. If there’s a week with bad ski weather, it’s Xmas week every year. Eh' sounds kind of nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 3 hours ago, FXWX said: Was there ever anybody calling fo snow Friday? The GFS... 3 or so days ago lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 4 hours ago, weathafella said: JD, 2009-10 was disappointing but didn’t your location get it good on 12/19/09? Totals for the the year here were about 20% below normal but NYC south especially BWI/DC got buried. Nope…that was the Virga storm here….snowed for hrs but couldn’t break through the dry air over here…so frustrating the amount of precip we wasted to that. Ended up with like 6-8” I think. Groton and New London/SE corner of CT had a great storm with that though. Think they got 20” or even a bit more. No virga for them there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: The GFS... 3 or so days ago lol Nothing could hold it for more than one run though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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