December 2023

[STILL N OF PIKE]

19 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Euro is a Maine special on the 28th.

And then euro is NH/Maine flash flooder on the 29’th as coastal curls into S VT. Much more colder air nearby if the storm decides to take a less amped track (assuming there is Even a second peice to that storm ) but verbatim that would be a nail in coffin for ski resorts for new years And winter enthusiasts but I hope for the industry sake that doesn’t play out .

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Nah. Haven’t felt well lately. Bad elbow tendinitis too. I could go for a warm, snowless one. But it is what it is.

By Jan, My leg should be better after falling down the cellar stairs so its just as well its snow less right now.

[Damage In Tolland]

 

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

And then euro is NH/Maine flash flooder on the 29’th as coastal curls into S VT. Much more colder air nearby if the storm decides to take a less amped track (assuming there is Even a second peice to that storm ) but verbatim that would be a nail in coffin for ski resorts for new years 

I think that one still has a chance at some snow, Up and In, Some cold nearby.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I think that one still has a chance at some snow, Up and In, Some cold nearby.

Definitely does for certain 

seems the recent trend of weakening the primary on the 27’th as it cuts west and eventually drifts toward Illinois /Michigan is key to also help that high pressure build down north of Maine (or maybe it’s a vice Versa effect ) but as long as that keeps playing out then there is definitely potential for Maine into prob NE NH on first one and then that leaves a nice airmass lurking just north of NNE that a second low could pull down if it tracks favorably and at this juncture I think that is entirely possible (for the snow to come further south as well ) but if it’ doesn’t and there is a potent system ..there will be disaster potential given the current Situ

[Chrisrotary12]

8 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The best thing you can say/hope about the 28th system is maybe it will spare NNE heavy rain.

Don't look at the Euro. The atmosphere is finding ways for us to persistently not snow, but flood.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Don't look at the Euro. The atmosphere is finding ways for us to persistently not snow, but flood.

Ya it’s a very interesting look, I’m skeptical at this juncture of a potent system but If the 27’th has a weak way west primary , we could have a airmass for many in CNE/NNE that is worth watching the follow up coastals track for , that one is still in lala land given it’s dependent on the first systems evolution . If the 27’th primary trends back stronger I would close the shades up north and pray there is no follow up coastal

[dendrite]

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Can’t fool us. 

I’ve honestly changed. I’ll take a 20 incher, but it’s a hard pass on 4-8” and extreme cold. 

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Verbatim no snow but that’s a loaded pattern and cold for a change 

Exactly... that's why I said it looks different. Doesn't mean net snow, but it comes across as a better pattern than what showed yesterday. Lets hope it keeps up and maybe something pops

[STILL N OF PIKE]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’ve honestly changed. I’ll take a 20 incher, but it’s a hard pass on 4-8” @ electric blue . 

Good lord , 20 inches @ EB? No wonder the wheel chair . 

[moneypitmike]

9 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Can anyone create a meme with maybe Greta and Klaus Schwab at the HAARP facility in Alaska torching the ionosphere 

https://www.science.gov/topicpages/h/haarp+ionospheric+heater#:~:text=The heating of the overhead,propagate under the heated region.

 

and yes this is for humor , humans wouldn’t tinker with things  .you wouid certainly know in real time 

[UnitedWx]

33 minutes ago, dryslot said:

By Jan, My leg should be better after falling down the cellar stairs so its just as well its snow less right now.

Yikes! That happened to me right after we moved into our new house in '17. I'm still amazed all I had was a bruise on my ass. I hope you're recovering well!!

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

20 inches , good lord .  No wonder the wheel chair emoji

My last 20” was in 2011. I’d be waiting a very long time to enjoy a winter event if that’s the threshold. I guess when the kids are grown I may feel differently but as of now, even 2” and we have a blast. 

[Lava Rock]

8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

[Damage In Tolland]

I wouldn’t get my undies wettie over a snower in NNE .. Gfs has 995 primary over C PA into NY state 

[apm]

Some entertainment while we wait. And wait...and wait...

 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, apm said:

Some entertainment while we wait. And wait...and wait...

 

How does a low that far SE produce snow to Stowe lol. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Nah. Haven’t felt well lately. Bad elbow tendinitis too. I could go for a warm, snowless one. But it is what it is.

could be gout ... I used to get that when I drank alcohol and ate meats.   It would crop up at weird times and seemed to mimic known things like that. Elbow this, or planter's fascia that...  The toe one is easier to identify, but I was runner and thought the first time an episode struck it was turf toe from running miles at the high school track.  When I cut out drinking entirely some 7 or 8 years ago - no love loss; don't really miss it - and converted much more daily caloric intake to raw untreated cut fruit and broad spectrum salads with ample bean mixed in, within a year or two the gout was down to one easily Advil - manageable episode every 2 months.   Within 3 or 4 years, 6 months.  At this point I haven't had one in 3 years.  I still eat meats - I just don't go crazy. 

Just sayn' ...   I'm off work through Jan 2nd so expect out of left field boredom post from me.  lol

[Brian5671]

20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

My last 20” was in 2011. I’d be waiting a very long time to enjoy a winter event if that’s the threshold. I guess when the kids are grown I may feel differently but as of now, even 2” and we have a blast. 

my sons are 14 now and they were used to 30-50 inch winters for most of the time up til about 2018.  Now they know what the 80's were like for us parents...LOL

[CoastalWx]

Looks like an active srn stream on the ensembles. Might be some gorillas from the gulf?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Looks like an active srn stream on the ensembles. Might be some gorillas from the gulf?

More Gorilla rains?…lovely. 

[rimetree]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like an active srn stream on the ensembles. Might be some gorillas from the gulf?

I think most would just take one of these at this point...

[CoastalWx]

I wasn't meaning a cutter lol. Anyways, looks like the juice will be there. 

[CoastalWx]

Next week seems up in the air still, esp NNE. A lot of members are more suppressed than I realized. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wasn't meaning a cutter lol. Anyways, looks like the juice will be there. 

We need the juice…the cold should be coming too, let’s roll the dice, and get back in the game boys. 

[UnitedWx]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

A lot of members are more depressed than I realized. 

Just figuring this out now

[rimetree]

Not worth much but Canadian has been insisting on basically no event...everything suppressed. Maybe a compromise would work.

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, UnitedWx said:

Yikes! That happened to me right after we moved into our new house in '17. I'm still amazed all I had was a bruise on my ass. I hope you're recovering well!!

Multiple contusions as it appears that i slid down on the front of the left leg, As well as i recall, Sprained ankle as well as injured my right elbow but could have been a lot worse, Leg/Ankle/Foot still quite swollen and also doing wound care 3 times a day plus ice.

[forkyfork]

yikes

 

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, rimetree said:

Not worth much but Canadian has been insisting on basically no event...everything suppressed. Maybe a compromise would work.

yeah ... it's interesting. i've noticed that.    

there are signals in conflict from multiple sources. 

for ex, the NAO is positive (very much so). it is slowly dwindling down to neutral by the end of week 2 but in so far as what it properly should interpret, that is no help for winter enthusiasts through that period in question.  positive NAO modes support the left turning storm tracks through the Lakes. 

in contrast, PNA is hugely rsing. +delta to +3 SD.  a positive PNA state in latter D thru JF connotes a western ridge/eastern trough PNAP response.  doing so clear to +3 standard deviation?  that's too much in an index that covers a domain nearly a quarter of the planetary x-y coordinates to believe the western ridge/eastern trough PNAP response would ultimately fail.  we are seeing that, but what comes next is oddly empty.

it's annoying.  getting tired of looking at it and making excuses for why the table is getting set with fine china and stem ware, yet the operational versions won't deliver guests to the gala.   the charts should be lit up with a something  ... i hate to say, but the Euro solution from 00z ... ( even the fantasy range off the 06z) are not terrible statistically fits for this PNA era extending into the first week of January.  lacking cold air for the 29th thing but most have been on the same page with that.. however, the Euros deep coastal isn't the shared vision.  what a range of solutions, huh.  Euro coastal menace ( flooding inland, surf damage on the coast, and federal grant to keep the ski industry from a billion dollar collapse), the GFS with a giant busted ravioli of a cyclone that looks more like something out of the pages of an tortured April sog fest, and the GGEM with absolutely nothing.  

f-up morass in the guidance.   all i can say is that statistics support more than the GGEM.   that's about it.