Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,910
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Robin F. Charles
    Newest Member
    Robin F. Charles
    Joined

December 2023


40/70 Benchmark
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 12/15/2023 at 8:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

This from the dude who gets so excitable over a thunderstorm in summer which never produce .. and staring at a bigtime wind event here and not a post or a tweet or anything 

Expand  

I get excited for thunder, lightning, shelf clouds, and towering cumulus. Anything else is a bonus

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 6:05 PM, CoastalWx said:

That was a pants tent storm. I think the call was 3-6". Got over a foot of fluff.

Expand  

I had two inches in Bristol CT and I was thrilled. I remember watching the weather on TV all day. I think some parts of eastern CT had over 8 inches and then emass got lit up. Pretty sure that was a clipper redevelopment. Was super fluffy

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 8:46 PM, ORH_wxman said:

No, Jan 87 was good. Very active. 

Expand  

Gotcha…just looked at Jan 87 and I see what you mean. EPS there indeed looks a bit like it. Looks like Jan did have some decent blocking but I initially overlooked because it wasn’t reflected in the seasonal mean 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 8:36 PM, ORH_wxman said:

@Typhoon Tip

12/29/76 was an absolute whopper for the 128 belt down into N RI. It wasn't a super phased monster blizzard, but it produced a lot of 12-20" amounts in that corridor. That is the storm Ray loves because ORH was too far west and only got 4".

 

image.png.3ca598c669b0a5c04e7f32c270160eb9.png

Expand  

What was the frequency in the 25-31 period. 

My question was more around "repeater" ... You know?  Like there seems like there's a storm on the charts ever 3 years Feb 2-10 for example. Another one is Mar 9 -15 ...  Dec 1-7 ...   I'm sure there's been a storm on every date if we go back far enough.

It's just for muse but it didn't seem it.  I wasn't terribly cognizant of the world at in 1976 yet. haha

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 8:19 PM, dryslot said:

Just need to show a little more patience for snow going forward after this run of the mill Sou' easter comes thru here Monday

Expand  

Not unusual, that the models that we were looking at two or three weeks ago were getting a little bit ahead of themselves, but had the right idea in the long run perhaps. But we’ll know soon enough.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wildness

As for wind gusts potential and power outage potential, it will
come down to low level lapse rates and how well the boundary will
mix. Given this system is rapidly intensifying, it will be
accompanied by a strong pressure rise/fall couplet that will enhance
the wind threat.  Wind and rainfall/flood threats will ultimately
hinge on the exact track of the low level circulation and
accompanying low level jet, which currently ranges from eastern
PA/NJ into the Lower Hudson River Valley, to eastward into the CT
River Valley. Too early to pin down these details, but the potential
is there for a high impact event. Over the weekend we will likely be
able to add these details to the forecast. Greatest impacts from
this upcoming storm will be felt here in SNE from Sunday night into
Monday. Some headlines will likely be issued later tonight or Sat.
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 2
  • Confused 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 9:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Wildness

As for wind gusts potential and power outage potential, it will
come down to low level lapse rates and how well the boundary will
mix. Given this system is rapidly intensifying, it will be
accompanied by a strong pressure rise/fall couplet that will enhance
the wind threat.  Wind and rainfall/flood threats will ultimately
hinge on the exact track of the low level circulation and
accompanying low level jet, which currently ranges from eastern
PA/NJ into the Lower Hudson River Valley, to eastward into the CT
River Valley. Too early to pin down these details, but the potential
is there for a high impact event. Over the weekend we will likely be
able to add these details to the forecast. Greatest impacts from
this upcoming storm will be felt here in SNE from Sunday night into
Monday. Some headlines will likely be issued later tonight or Sat.
Expand  

I'll enjoy the 5-10mph breeze here

  • Like 3
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 9:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Wildness

As for wind gusts potential and power outage potential, it will
come down to low level lapse rates and how well the boundary will
mix. Given this system is rapidly intensifying, it will be
accompanied by a strong pressure rise/fall couplet that will enhance
the wind threat.  Wind and rainfall/flood threats will ultimately
hinge on the exact track of the low level circulation and
accompanying low level jet, which currently ranges from eastern
PA/NJ into the Lower Hudson River Valley, to eastward into the CT
River Valley. Too early to pin down these details, but the potential
is there for a high impact event. Over the weekend we will likely be
able to add these details to the forecast. Greatest impacts from
this upcoming storm will be felt here in SNE from Sunday night into
Monday. Some headlines will likely be issued later tonight or Sat.
Expand  

Euro is meh cept of course outer Cape.

index (12).png

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 9:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Wildness

As for wind gusts potential and power outage potential, it will
come down to low level lapse rates and how well the boundary will
mix. Given this system is rapidly intensifying, it will be
accompanied by a strong pressure rise/fall couplet that will enhance
the wind threat.  Wind and rainfall/flood threats will ultimately
hinge on the exact track of the low level circulation and
accompanying low level jet, which currently ranges from eastern
PA/NJ into the Lower Hudson River Valley, to eastward into the CT
River Valley. Too early to pin down these details, but the potential
is there for a high impact event. Over the weekend we will likely be
able to add these details to the forecast. Greatest impacts from
this upcoming storm will be felt here in SNE from Sunday night into
Monday. Some headlines will likely be issued later tonight or Sat.
Expand  

They seem worried.

Nws 

"Another pleasant day is in store for Saturday with above normal temperatures and a mix of clouds and sun! Conditions deteriorate late Sunday into Monday as an efficient rainmaker brings drenching precipitation and gusty winds to southern New England."

  • Haha 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/15/2023 at 9:50 PM, CoastalWx said:

What’s intriguing to me is that around 15-18z as LLJ cranks, lapse rates steepen in lower levels. So although max LLJ lifts out, the low is so wrapped up that slight CAA mixes to and above 925 perhaps briefly. 

Expand  

Love to see Scoots like this.  Love love love to see it 

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...