Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You don’t know because we don’t, thanks. Right 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nope. This was basically relegated to above 800’ last year. All those pics were my street . Every yard lost some kind of tree . I want something damaging and widespread that causes infrastructure problems Been there in 1953 and 1998, the 2 storms 45 years apart, to the day. As a forester, I'd be fine if the next one didn't come until 2043. Nice flurry 7:15-7:30 this morning, briefly S+. Of course, while the Greens get 3-4", Our 0.1" coating has to suffice here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes there is not a single poster here that would not want to live through that and witness. No matter how much they “say” they don’t. We know Meh lived thru 94 shotguns. Satiated. Hopefully you get 3 inches of ice though so you can finally stop wishing. Would definitely love to drive to witness your annihilation though. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Right I’ve experienced Oct 11 power outages and the May 18 EF1 destruction and power outages. It’s not fun at all dude. It just isn’t. Take your weenie out of your mouth and understand some of us prefer livelihood over a some brief destruction. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Been there in 1953 and 1998, the 2 storms 45 years apart, to the day. As a forester, I'd be fine if the next one didn't come until 2043. Nice flurry 7:15-7:30 this morning, briefly S+. Of course, while the Greens get 3-4", Our 0.1" coating has to suffice here. Yea we saw the windex window coming yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh lived thru 94 shotguns. Satiated. Hopefully you get 3 inches of ice though so you can finally stop wishing. Would definitely love to drive to witness your annihilation though. All of us pull up to Dittys house and just waive with popcorn in hand, leaned back in our seats, as his wife and kids cry the roof is on the kitchen floor with an oak tree sitting on the couch while Ditty frantically runs around his yard with a chainsaw in shock it actually happened while simultaneously regretting the wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ve experienced Oct 11 power outages and the May 18 EF1 destruction and power outages. It’s not fun at all dude. It just isn’t. Take your weenie out of your mouth and understand some of us prefer livelihood over a some brief destruction. You didn’t mention seeing a 2” ice storm though. Oct ‘11 was snow and May ‘18 was wind. Once we see the 2” ice storm then we can put it to rest finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 It really sucks we don't have a better supply source to drain in colder air. That is going to be a wall of precip given how intense the WAA is going to be. Sucks we also can't drive the southern stream system offshore a bit more with the north stream energy phasing in. I hope we can get something like this next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: You didn’t mention seeing a 2” ice storm though. Oct ‘11 was snow and May ‘18 was wind. Once we see the 2” ice storm then we can put it to rest finally. No thanks. He can pimp damage for his own BY. I wish him all the lost structures and grid failures his jogging heart desires. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It really sucks we don't have a better supply source to drain in colder air. That is going to be a wall of precip given how intense the WAA is going to be. Sucks we also can't drive the southern stream system offshore a bit more with the north stream energy phasing in. I hope we can get something like this next month. 2nd impulse actually drops a wide swath of 2-5” of snow for the deep interior . That’s new. And a third wave drops more snow maybe a few inches for all . Weirdest storm evolution ever. From tropical storm to a few inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 2nd impulse actually drops a wide swath of 2-5” of snow for the deep interior . That’s new Really not sure what to think of it. I mean when you look at how 500mb evolves, the scenario is a plausible one, doesn't mean it's likely but at this stage you can't really discount anything. The PWAT anomalies are absolutely insane. 5+ SD across a large area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Really not sure what to think of it. I mean when you look at how 500mb evolves, the scenario is a plausible one, doesn't mean it's likely but at this stage you can't really discount anything. The PWAT anomalies are absolutely insane. 5+ SD across a large area Makes sense with the tropical origins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 2nd impulse actually drops a wide swath of 2-5” of snow for the deep interior . That’s new. And a third wave drops more snow maybe a few inches for all . Weirdest storm evolution ever. From tropical storm to a few inches of snow. Let’s eliminate the rain and the snow and have it all be ice . 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 This probably would be a rain to sleet or snow deal if it works out...I feel like icing would be minimal. JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This probably would be a rain to sleet or snow deal if it works out...I feel like icing would be minimal. JMHO. 12z GFS trended that way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: 12z GFS trended that way... I'm just using an old man rule of thumb. It's hard to get ZR from a coastal. Unless, we had a sharp front aligned more N-S and stalled over the Cape I suppose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 49 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes there is not a single poster here that would not want to live through that and witness. No matter how much they “say” they don’t. We know 4 kids, no thank you....I will take a few feet of snow though I think/hope the GFS is trying to tell us something, maybe our bad luck will finally run out next week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm just using an old man rule of thumb. It's hard to get ZR from a coastal. Unless, we had a sharp front aligned more N-S and stalled over the Cape I suppose. Ice is like wind....9/10 times its overdone on guidance...and the one time it isn't fuels Kevin's sideways weather takes for another 10 years. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 This is obviously hugely subjected to change ...but, there is some value in noticing the excessive ( more so than even is typical at this range) variability, and not assuming the worst just because one may not see it literally illustrated on a given model run. This look is wild for the 23rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm just using an old man rule of thumb. It's hard to get ZR from a coastal. Unless, we had a sharp front aligned more N-S and stalled over the Cape I suppose. yeah, I hear ya. I spent time having some fun with the Nov 1921 ice storm earlier. According to reanalysis, that was a coastal. But that was exceptionally rare. By and large, it's more typical to get it done the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 A win is just getting it cold for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. The GFS would work, with a nice High pressing in from Quebec Ontario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: yeah, I hear ya. I spent time having some fun with the Nov 1921 ice storm earlier. According to reanalysis, that was a coastal. But that was exceptionally rare. By and large, it's more typical to get it done the other way. I think that was my "unless..." example though? Wasn't there a more N-S front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This is obviously hugely subjected to change ...but, there is some value in noticing the excessive ( more so than even is typical at this range) variability, and not assuming the worst just because one may not see it literally illustrated on a given model run. This look is wild for the 23rd We just need to get that closed 534dm contour about 100mi bodily south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 Break out the sandbags Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We just need to get that closed 534dm contour about 100mi bodily south. pretty wild wavebreaking showing up on the OP runs now... this is a trillion times better than what was advertised for this time period a few days ago 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ice is like wind....9/10 times its overdone on guidance...and the one time it isn't fuels Kevin's sideways weather takes for another 10 years. That’s because the valley of Metheun where you live sees neither Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: That’s because the valley of Metheun where you live sees neither I don't want either, so it works out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't want either, so it works out. If this does indeed turn into an icestorm , will EMassWx blog on it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 GEFS a little interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2023 Share Posted December 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Break out the sandbags 2-3” of rain during the cold season is about avg these days . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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