December 2023

[dendrite]

19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I read this...then look at the time.

DEPRESSING 

Well I’m not that close to sunset…lol. Looks like I’m about 9 minutes earlier than you. But I start losing the sun behind the western pines and oaks a bit after 2pm. 
 

However, the sunsets start creeping upward starting tomorrow. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

It could make for a fun night at Clarke’s!

Hopefully white out with big gusts!

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Well I’m not that close to sunset…lol. Looks like I’m about 9 minutes earlier than you. But I start losing the sun behind the western pines and oaks a bit after 2pm. 
 

However, the sunsets start creeping upward starting tomorrow. 

My office room window at home faces East and it sucks this time of year because it starts getting dark by like 3 PM with the sun towards the other end of the house. Glad we finally start ticking later (Albeit slowly) with sunsets in the next few days but still like another 4-5 weeks of the sun rising later...yuck

[weathafella]

12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Hopefully white out with big gusts!

Should I book some rooms at one of those nice hotels nearby?

[Lava Rock]

High of 39f. Let the melt commence

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk

[weatherwiz]

3km with a pretty decent squall line moving across far eastern MA and the Cape late Monday morning/early afternoon. That would produce some serious wind gusts

[OceanStWx]

3km has like gusts to 65 kt at Gardiner and a few miles away at AUG 7 kt. 

[Modfan2]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

3km with a pretty decent squall line moving across far eastern MA and the Cape late Monday morning/early afternoon. That would produce some serious wind gusts

That’s where I think the worst of the wind ends being 

[dryslot]

33.1°F Back down to 32.7°F, Not much melting today but plenty tomorrow.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Modfan2 said:

That’s where I think the worst of the wind ends being 

agreed, there and east coastal Maine

[amc]

21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

3km has like gusts to 65 kt at Gardiner and a few miles away at AUG 7 kt. 

Looked like earlier there wasn't really anything in Portland now? Is this now completely a downeast storm now? 

[OceanStWx]

Just now, amc said:

Looked like earlier there wasn't really anything in Portland now? Is this now completely a downcast storm now? 

It's all going to depend on where the mid level front sets up. There won't be any really wind west of that. 

I mean that same NAM run has 8 knots at PWM and 63 knots at Cape Elizabeth.

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

A nice TDS in Tennessee. Forgot what severe weather looks like its been so dead

Is that near Clarksville?  My wife’s friend here in Stowe is distraught as her family’s house just got leveled within the past hour.  They had about 60 seconds to get into the storm shelter from the time of the sirens.  There’s a young baby only a couple months old there and they have nothing left.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Is that near Clarksville?  My wife’s friend here in Stowe is distraught as her family’s house just got leveled within the past hour.  They had about 60 seconds to get into the storm shelter from the time of the sirens.  There’s a young baby only a couple months old there and they have nothing left.

Damn. Tors suck.

[tamarack]

$0s to 50+ in S, Maine/NH and still hanging in the 20s here.  Cloudy and raw feeling despite little/no wind.  Trees have lost some snow to gravity but none to wind/temp.

[amc]

14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

It's all going to depend on where the mid level front sets up. There won't be any really wind west of that. 

I mean that same NAM run has 8 knots at PWM and 63 knots at Cape Elizabeth.

Wow... we'll see I guess, so is westerly ticks are good for wind, bad for snow everyone else is watching right now? I'm all rain here in Gray, so I'm rooting for wind only at this point

[TheMainer]

Got to put 20 miles on the ol lady's sled running around the pond ice fishing today while waiting for mine to come in. Lot of the local lakes have 5-8 inches of ice now which this downpour won't touch so at least we'll be fishing next weekend even with bare ground around. 

 

[weatherwiz]

23 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Is that near Clarksville?  My wife’s friend here in Stowe is distraught as her family’s house just got leveled within the past hour.  They had about 60 seconds to get into the storm shelter from the time of the sirens.  There’s a young baby only a couple months old there and they have nothing left.

I believe that cell did go through the area. 

So sorry to hear that, I hope everyone is alright. I saw a video on X...not sure if if it was that tornado but it was a pretty large tornado tearing through a neighborhood. 

[Layman]

37 minutes ago, dryslot said:

331°F Back down to 32.7°F, Not much melting today but plenty tomorrow.

Just under a 300 degree spread! Must be a record 

[weathafella]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Is that near Clarksville?  My wife’s friend here in Stowe is distraught as her family’s house just got leveled within the past hour.  They had about 60 seconds to get into the storm shelter from the time of the sirens.  There’s a young baby only a couple months old there and they have nothing left.

That’s awful!  I’ll take thunder and lightning but you can keep tornadoes and ice.

[J Paul Gordon]

50F high today 28 low. Looks like a wild ride tomorrow night into Monday. Would be nice to see a few flakes at the end of it, but not putting much down on that.

[qg_omega]

https://x.com/snewxcenter/status/1733487683895226478?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

https://x.com/snewxcenter/status/1733487683895226478?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg

You must follow a gazillion obscure twitter feeds.  Maybe a contest between you and DIT?

[Go Kart Mozart]

FWIW, I started a thread for Sunday/Monday.

[Damage In Tolland]

This is going to be wild . With no vegetation to soak up water.. gonna be some problems in places that flood, water in basements .. etc . CT River will go well above banks 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah for sure, I guess that’s why I keep saying it as QPF falling as snow.  Not jackpot actual snowfall on ground or anything.

In a big coastal, it’ll still show you were the most QPF will fall as snow.  It’s up to you to figure out the ratios.

And ratios drive the deformation bands.  Not QPF.  That’s on the user to adjust the ratio to QPF.

Its a very crude tool.  Like when I see a snow map, the second image is what I see.

 

I feel like the QPF max is also sometimes associated with the mid level deformation. Not always..

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 hours ago, jbenedet said:

The El Niño is already amplifying +NAO conditions and deamplifying -NAO conditions. It’s a mystery to most bc this doesn’t show up in the index. 
 

The MJO is doing that.

[Typhoon Tip]

It's been an interesting 7 days up to this point with this thing.  Back whence ...recall a model run where the GFS had this up just SE of James Bay.  This run of the NAM has it cutting across the Canal.   Seems to be slightly E btw -  has it ending as parachutes in PHL-NYC.  

Nothing in Boston though which is apparently the way it should be now.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

It's been an interesting 7 days up to this point with this thing.  Back whence ...recall a model run where the GFS had this up just SE of James Bay.  This run of the NAM has it cutting across the Canal.   Seems to be slightly E btw -  has it ending as parachutes in PHL-NYC.  

Nothing in Boston though which is apparently the way it should be now.

The primary is still a lakes cutter . What the models and some Mets missed was the 30 mb drop in 12 hours secondary riding up the front over ENY

[Typhoon Tip]

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The primary is still a lakes cutter . What the models and some Mets missed was the 30 mb drop in 12 hours secondary riding up the front over ENY

I dunno.... At some point it's not a secondary.  

Secondary mechanics happen because the primary cyclostrophic flow runs into a problem moving through the terrain of the Apps ... then also because the colder/denser air wedged to the east of the 'divide' is also resistant.  The air mass near the water/or over the water does not have these viscous limitations, so as the mid and upper level mechanics move east the "primary" gets stranded and the "second" low, being generated by the same mechanics that ultimately carried the primary, then takes over.  

When a first low ends up so far up into Canada it's not even on the map, and a low develops on the cold front down in Alafuckinbama, that's not a secondary.  It's just a cyclogenesis.   This is a Miller A low, period.