CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 At least it allows for something on the 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 HRRR ftw. More flakes today than most of last winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Hoping for big CAD Sunday night - won't turn rain to snow but would tone down the furnace Pic is looking down the unmaintained road just past the house. Note the pulley for our clothesline. No sled tracks since the storm, though one went by on much less snow after the Nov. 22 event. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:27 PM, weatherwiz said: The February 2016 event is a textbook scenario of how you get a big wind event in these setups. That had steep mid-level lapse rates and low-level lapse rates and unseasonably high llvl theta-e given the impressive warmth/moisture surge. Expand That looks like this 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:35 PM, CoastalWx said: At least it allows for something on the 17th. Expand The ensembles are pretty clueless beyond D10 right now. Check out this animation for the last 48 hours on the EPS…12z on the 4th, 12z yesterday and 12z today….all 3 of these are valid Dec 18th 00z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: The ensembles are pretty clueless beyond D10 right now. Check out this animation for the last 48 hours on the EPS…12z on the 4th, 12z yesterday and 12z today….all 3 of these are valid Dec 18th 00z Expand the period even later (Xmas) seems to have higher confidence bc models have been consistent longer or that has been postulated for the last week plus here , but does that hold up in your opinion ..if the 10-14 day is up in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:53 PM, ORH_wxman said: The ensembles are pretty clueless beyond D10 right now. Check out this animation for the last 48 hours on the EPS…12z on the 4th, 12z yesterday and 12z today….all 3 of these are valid Dec 18th 00z Expand Would be nice to pull something in that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:43 PM, WxWatcher007 said: HRRR ftw. More flakes today than most of last winter. Expand That’s how we know this winter won’t be like last… so different in most ways already. Had a feeling when it started clouding up close to noon…that HRRR was gonna be right today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 That period after looks less hostile now. Not sure if that is because things are indeed changing or maybe it's pushed back a few...but kind of encouraging to me. I wouldn't be too confident yet...but at least it didn't get worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:48 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That looks like this Expand That one had steep mlvl lapse rates (which steepened through the evening) and a nice little plume of MLCAPE > 250 J/KG. None of this will be present Sunday. I thought llvl lapse rates were steeper but I guessnot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Euro op has a powerful LLJ..but probably inverted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Would be nice to pull something in that time. Expand Tug on a few of these 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:57 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: the period even later (Xmas) seems to have higher confidence bc models have been consistent longer or that has been postulated for the last week plus here , but does that hold up in your opinion ..if the 10-14 day is up in the air Expand I think they are having trouble with the transition period. There’s a strong MJO wave moving through phases 5-6-7 over the next 10-12 days but that is probably conflicting a bit with the low frequency stuff closer to the dateline. So it’s destructive interference if that is indeed the case. I think models are confident in a good period once we’re out of that destructive interference period which is why very late December into January has consistently looked good. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Here it comes https://x.com/bennollweather/status/1732391944372777033?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Here it comes https://x.com/bennollweather/status/1732391944372777033?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Expand Looks like a fooking Atari game. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Here it comes https://x.com/bennollweather/status/1732391944372777033?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Expand Lol..what a crock of crap that is. Sell hard. These guys are ridiculous…Twitter junkies looking for clicks. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 50 knot winds at 850mb in the winter on southerly flow…can you get any more mundane for a high wind threat? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Nice winter appeal today. Coating of snow this morning and then off and on flurries all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:22 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol..what a crock of crap that is. Sell hard. These guys are ridiculous…Twitter junkies looking for clicks. Expand Ridiculous. Pretty graphics and customized outputs to raise the hype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:45 PM, weatherwiz said: Ridiculous. Pretty graphics and customized outputs to raise the hype. Expand Yup. Hard to ever take these guys seriously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 7:43 PM, tamarack said: Hoping for big CAD Sunday night - won't turn rain to snow but would tone down the furnace Pic is looking down the unmaintained road just past the house. Note the pulley for our clothesline. No sled tracks since the storm, though one went by on much less snow after the Nov. 22 event. Expand What a beautiful time it’s been. Hard to believe how nice a few good wet snows can be. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:24 PM, ORH_wxman said: 50 knot winds at 850mb in the winter on southerly flow…can you get any more mundane for a high wind threat? Expand 50kt? It’s like double that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 4:45 PM, dendrite said: 12/10 is a torch. It’s just a backside flip to snow on the western slopes with enough CAA making it in in time. Expand Remind me.......where does this rank on the "fraud" list? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:48 PM, powderfreak said: What a beautiful time it’s been. Hard to believe how nice a few good wet snows can be. Expand I would love to take a rip right down thru there right now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:59 PM, moneypitmike said: Remind me.......where does this rank on the "fraud" list? Expand 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:21 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like a fooking Atari game. Expand Atari graphics ftl. His “mph” look more like “knots”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:59 PM, dryslot said: I would love to take a rip right down thru there right now. Expand Hopefully not a rip like John Kerry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:59 PM, dendrite said: 50kt? It’s like double that. Expand Just let em go. When their Xmas decorations end up in your yard.. you can pop them . They don’t understand the setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 8:59 PM, dryslot said: I would love to take a rip right down thru there right now. Expand Lol. That is the exact same thought I had when I saw that picture. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now