weathafella Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:02 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That has been showing up for several runs. Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November” Expand But he’s also thinking-you guys all know we’ll have a foot of upslope post crops right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:02 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That has been showing up for several runs. Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November” Expand going to suck hard if we get two cutters between mon event and the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 We got mood flakes and some sleet! Down here near New Haven. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:13 PM, Lava Rock said: going to suck hard if we get two cutters between mon event and the 20th. Expand Don’t by a 330 hr OP run..toss that shit to Pluto. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:16 PM, Spaizzo said: We got mood flakes and some sleet! Down here near New Haven . Expand A few snow showers up this way the last hour or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:16 PM, WinterWolf said: Don’t by a 330 hr OP run..toss that shit to Pluto. Expand would you say the same if it showed sn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 5:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Tell that to the Euro/EPS Expand A Euro 1008 low moving well west of us.....be afraid....be very afraid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:17 PM, Lava Rock said: would you say the same if it showed sn Expand I sure would..it’s two weeks out for god sakes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:02 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That has been showing up for several runs. Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November” Expand Wait....You're not optimistic that will change for the better? What? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:17 PM, weathafella said: A Euro 1008 low moving well west of us.....be afraid....be very afraid. Expand Lol..screamer is now a whisper. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Definitely screaming just above where folks live though-maybe Mitchland gets into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Per euro Kevin may get 15-25 mph winds though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 989mb over WNE on euro, nothing crazy. Hopefully some heavy downpours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 In the meantime, great ski day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Some colder air behind the system on the 10th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Nice flip to snow in VT on the euro after some rain. Shut 'em down east of there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 The worst of the weather will likely be overnight Sunday anyways when everyone will be sleeping. It will be pretty breezy for everyone...would suspect sustained winds 15-25 mph (lesser for those sheltered) with gusts 30-40. Certainly nothing special. We'll see stronger wind gusts probably with the CAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:19 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol..screamer is now a whisper. . Expand Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Always lean meh on the winds except the immediate coast and CC obviously, Nothing new to them there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface Expand I think you meant 925 and up (higher). What’s the mechanism to mix down? I mean you call this in every system west of us so what’s your thinking of how it evolves and why? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 GEFS showing the transition well as the AK trough retrogrades and the PNA rises. SE trough starting to develop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:40 PM, weathafella said: I think you meant 925 and up (higher). What’s the mechanism to mix down? I mean you call this in every system west of us so what’s your thinking of how it evolves and why? Expand Lots of warm air rising from his mouth?? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 You want to mix the winds down to the surface, You're going to need convection and i don't see it happening so its going to be nothing more that we don't already see in these types of systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Nice flip to snow in VT on the euro after some rain. Shut 'em down east of there. Expand Net gain? or too big a warm push prior to the flip? Ton of water in that pack right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:47 PM, bwt3650 said: Net gain? or too big a warm push prior to the flip? Ton of water in that pack right now. Expand Could be net gain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:57 PM, CoastalWx said: Could be net gain. Expand Snow maps are too high but if one can get it a bit further SE, wave riding up the front could dump for someone. Usually a narrow zone. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 On 12/6/2023 at 6:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface Expand I no pro..but much won’t make it to the surface in these set ups. Wind will fail as it almost always does inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 1) Strong convection 2) steep llvl lapse rates That's what you need to really get the wind to perform in these setups. Heavy rain can certainly help with momentum transport, however, the heavy rain also further weakens the lapse rates and can enhance llvl inversions. It is certainly possible there could be a rouge 45-55 mph gust inland if there are any embedded areas of strong convection. I still think there may be a forced line of convection along the front, but instability seems pretty weak and there probably won't be much, if any, lightning. If anything, this line would help get some gusts in the 35-40 mph range as opposed to 25-35 which will be more common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 The February 2016 event is a textbook scenario of how you get a big wind event in these setups. That had steep mid-level lapse rates and low-level lapse rates and unseasonably high llvl theta-e given the impressive warmth/moisture surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 We take the EPS changes after day 10. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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