December 2023

[weathafella]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

But he’s also thinking-you guys all know we’ll have a foot of upslope post crops right?

[Lava Rock]

10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

going to suck hard if we get two cutters between mon event and the 20th. 

[Spaizzo]

We got mood flakes and some sleet! Down here near New Haven


.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

going to suck hard if we get two cutters between mon event and the 20th. 

Don’t by a 330 hr OP run..toss that shit to Pluto. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Spaizzo said:

We got mood flakes and some sleet! Down here near New Haven


.

A few snow showers up this way the last hour or so. 

[Lava Rock]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Don’t by a 330 hr OP run..toss that shit to Pluto. 

would you say the same if it showed sn

[weathafella]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tell that to the Euro/EPS

A Euro 1008 low moving well west of us.....be afraid....be very afraid.   

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Lava Rock said:

would you say the same if it showed sn

I sure would..it’s two weeks out for god sakes. 

[bwt3650]

15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That has been showing up for several runs.

Powderfreak can hang the pictures he took this week in the lodge for Christmas week when customers are skiing down a death ribbon. “Look at these powder days from later November”

Wait....You're not optimistic that will change for the better?  What?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, weathafella said:

A Euro 1008 low moving well west of us.....be afraid....be very afraid.   

Lol..screamer is now a whisper. . 

[weathafella]

Definitely screaming just above where folks live though-maybe Mitchland gets into it.

[weathafella]

Per euro Kevin may get 15-25 mph winds though 

[Torch Tiger]

989mb over WNE on euro, nothing crazy. Hopefully some heavy downpours!

[alex]

In the meantime, great ski day 

[dryslot]

Some colder air behind the system on the 10th.

[CoastalWx]

Nice flip to snow in VT on the euro after some rain. Shut 'em down east of there.

[weatherwiz]

The worst of the weather will likely be overnight Sunday anyways when everyone will be sleeping. It will be pretty breezy for everyone...would suspect sustained winds 15-25 mph (lesser for those sheltered) with gusts 30-40. Certainly nothing special. We'll see stronger wind gusts probably with the CAA

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol..screamer is now a whisper. . 

Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface 

[dryslot]

Always lean meh on the winds except the immediate coast and CC obviously, Nothing new to them there.

[weathafella]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface 

I think you meant 925 and up (higher).  What’s the mechanism to mix down?   I mean you call this in every system west of us so what’s your thinking of how it evolves and why?

[brooklynwx99]

GEFS showing the transition well as the AK trough retrogrades and the PNA rises. SE trough starting to develop

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I think you meant 925 and up (higher).  What’s the mechanism to mix down?   I mean you call this in every system west of us so what’s your thinking of how it evolves and why?

Lots of warm air rising from his mouth??

[dryslot]

You want to mix the winds down to the surface, You're going to need convection and i don't see it happening so its going to be nothing more that we don't already see in these types of systems.

[bwt3650]

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Nice flip to snow in VT on the euro after some rain. Shut 'em down east of there.

Net gain? or too big a warm push prior to the flip?  Ton of water in that pack right now.

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:

Net gain? or too big a warm push prior to the flip?  Ton of water in that pack right now.

Could be net gain.

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Could be net gain.

Snow maps are too high but if one can get it a bit further SE, wave riding up the front could dump for someone.  Usually a narrow zone.

[WinterWolf]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Actually take a look from 925 down.. it’s a screamer and much will make to surface 

I no pro..but much won’t make it to the surface in these set ups. Wind will fail as it almost always does inland.  

[weatherwiz]

1) Strong convection 

2) steep llvl lapse rates

That's what you need to really get the wind to perform in these setups. Heavy rain can certainly help with momentum transport, however, the heavy rain also further weakens the lapse rates and can enhance llvl inversions. 

It is certainly possible there could be a rouge 45-55 mph gust inland if there are any embedded areas of strong convection. I still think there may be a forced line of convection along the front, but instability seems pretty weak and there probably won't be much, if any, lightning. If anything, this line would help get some gusts in the 35-40 mph range as opposed to 25-35 which will be more common.

[weatherwiz]

The February 2016 event is a textbook scenario of how you get a big wind event in these setups. That had steep mid-level lapse rates and low-level lapse rates and unseasonably high llvl theta-e given the impressive warmth/moisture surge. 

[CoastalWx]

We take the EPS changes after day 10.