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Holiday Forecasts 2024


Brian D
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On 10/15/2024 at 10:32 AM, Brian D said:

Thought I'd add Election Day into the mix this year. Looks like a front will be moving through, and possible energy with it. If that happens, a little wet wx on tap for some, but the front itself shouldn't be a big issue. Make sure to vote if you haven't already. :) 

Election Day Nov 5 wx map.gif

Looks like that energy running the boundary will be happening, causing Election day to be wet. Get out and vote if you haven't already. :) 

Nov 5 wx map.gif

Nov 5 pm wx map.gif

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On 8/23/2024 at 2:38 PM, Brian D said:

Veteran's Day forecast looks pretty mellow with HP over the sub. Chilly, but nice. Possibly some wet wx along the S areas if it's not further S. And can't forget the possibility of LER/S for some. 

Veteran's Day Nov 11 forecast map.gif

A decent call here except my timing was a little quick. Nothing in the S areas except the boundary, which is dry. And there will be some LER/S across the Lakes during the day into the overnight as HP is moving into region on a N to NW flow. 

Nov 11 wx map.gif

Nov 12 wx map.gif

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 8/23/2024 at 2:46 PM, Brian D said:

Thanksgiving is late this year, which is typical for a leap year. Looks like it'll be turning blustery, and cold as a boundary moves through starting on Wed. Expecting LES, and as HP moves through the sub, another system will start to affect the W sub during the weekend. Nov in general will tend to be a bit of a rollercoaster with cooler winning out I believe, except the mid part of the month has a rather warm, wet feel to it. Potential strong storms with GOM moisture available. 

Thanksgiving Nov 28 forecast map.gif

Good forecast for Thanksgiving. Evolution was a little different than anticipated. We have a trough swinging in from the N, and a system in the S areas moving through Wed into early Thurs am. But a blustery, cold Thanksgiving was what I saw as the end result with plenty of LES. Weekend call not good, as LP gets squelched by another area of HP as it moves out of the W into KS over the weekend. HP quicker than I thought. 

Mid month stm brought good rains, and my call for a cooler Nov busted horribly. Thought early Nov would be more seasonable to cooler with mid month much milder, and a colder end. 2 of 3 isn't bad, but early Nov threw the final call way off. That's OK, as it was nice to have extended mild wx. Probably going to pay for it tho. :) 

Nov 28 am wx map.gif

Nov 28 pm wx map.gif

1801914080_Nov30wxmap.gif.c2b37a13d69fbc38eff8fe841112244e.gif

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 10/14/2024 at 10:04 AM, Brian D said:

Worked up the last forecasts for the year. On Pearl Harbor Day Dec 7 it looks like fair wx under HP with a system moving in from the W bringing in milder temps, and a threat of rn/sn. 

Pearl Harbor Day Dec 7 wx map.gif

Sorry for the delay, computer went down last week. 

Decent call here. Milder temps with some mixed precip.

Dec 7 wx map.gif

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 10/14/2024 at 10:07 AM, Brian D said:

On the Christmas holiday this year, I'm expecting a system moving across the sub bringing in colder wx, with some rn/sn, and LES on the backside on Christmas Day for some.

Christmas Eve & Day Dec 24-25 wx map.gif

I was slow on this cast. System moves through Mon-Tues, and less cold air behind. Christmas turning out to be a very nice day for most with some rain entering the S sub. May your holiday be a blessed one. Merry Christmas ev1!  :) 

Dec 23 wx map.gif

Dec 24 wx map.gif

Dec 25 wx map.gif

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On 10/14/2024 at 11:10 AM, Brian D said:

New Years holiday is looking chilly as HP moves in. Look for LES across the Lakes, along with an exiting front in the SE areas on the 31st. 

EDIT: Just a quick note, it looks like Dec will be quite variable. Looking at the month to end near avg, and quite possibly below. There's a decent chance that may be the case.

New Years Eve & Day Dec 31-Jan 1 wx map.gif

New Year's Day is going to be a repeat of last year, in fact a repeat of the past several years with overcast skies. It'll be the 5th overcast New Year's Day in a row. 

When was the last time a sunny New Year's Day happened? New Year's Day 2020

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On 10/14/2024 at 10:10 AM, Brian D said:

New Years holiday is looking chilly as HP moves in. Look for LES across the Lakes, along with an exiting front in the SE areas on the 31st. 

EDIT: Just a quick note, it looks like Dec will be quite variable. Looking at the month to end near avg, and quite possibly below. There's a decent chance that may be the case.

New Years Eve & Day Dec 31-Jan 1 wx map.gif

Pretty good call for the end of the year. LP scooting across the S sub on the 31st with HP entering into the picture bringing in colder wx that will kick off some LES. Looks like Dec will end up being near to above avg. Last week of the month very mild. 

Dec 31 wx map.gif

Jan 1 wx map.gif

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11 hours ago, Spartman said:

New Year's Day is going to be a repeat of last year, in fact a repeat of the past several years with overcast skies. It'll be the 5th overcast New Year's Day in a row. 

When was the last time a sunny New Year's Day happened? New Year's Day 2020

Considering the colder months tend to have the higher % of cloudy days, it's a crap shoot. Better luck next year. :) 

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On 12/30/2024 at 10:16 AM, Brian D said:

Considering the colder months tend to have the higher % of cloudy days, it's a crap shoot. Better luck next year. :) 

The past couple of overcast New Year's Days were followed by very cloudy Januaries including last year. 

Bet New Year's Day 2026 won't be any better than tomorrow's New Year's Day or the past several New Year's Days since 2021. Welcome to the new norm.

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