Brian D Posted June 9 Author Share Posted June 9 Friendship day in early Aug is looking rather warm with a threat of shwrs/stms. (Note: I accidently labeled July 28 as Friendship day when it's actually Parent's day. Made the correction.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 9 Author Share Posted June 9 Senior Citizens day looks interesting. Generally fair, pleasant wx. Could be a hint of Fall in the air for some, and possibly a tropical entity affecting the SE US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 9 Author Share Posted June 9 Labor Day is a little early this year, and I'm looking for wet wx to start the weekend. By Monday, it should be a bit cooler, with scattered showers for some. Fallish pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 15 Author Share Posted June 15 On 4/30/2024 at 1:49 PM, Brian D said: Next up is Father's Day, and I'll also include Juneteenth, as it is only 3 days after. Expecting a system moving through prior to Father's Day, with CA HP clearing things out briefly, before another system encroaches upon the sub. This will be affecting the sub around, and on Juneteenth. Mid June looks wet, and stormy as we approach the Summer Solstice. Father's day cast is partly correct. Slow on bringing HP through as it will be leaving the sub starting today. But for the rest of it, pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 On 5/1/2024 at 7:55 PM, Brian D said: July 4th is on a Thursday this year. Looks pretty nice to me. Could get real warm in the W sub on the backside of HP moving through, ahead of next system lurking to the W. Looking stormy for the 4th of July now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 29 Author Share Posted June 29 13 hours ago, Spartman said: Looking stormy for the 4th of July now That map is a.m. July 5. July 4 will have a ridge over most of the sub with shwrs/stms affecting areas of the W&S sub. So, at this point it will be close call. Wx moving in a little quicker than anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 17 hours ago, Brian D said: That map is a.m. July 5. July 4 will have a ridge over most of the sub with shwrs/stms affecting areas of the W&S sub. So, at this point it will be close call. Wx moving in a little quicker than anticipated. Weather Underground/TWC and GFS want the 4th of July to be a total washout. Either way, not going to be a good night for fireworks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted June 30 Author Share Posted June 30 4 hours ago, Spartman said: Weather Underground/TWC and GFS want the 4th of July to be a total washout. Either way, not going to be a good night for fireworks. Most of the sub looks OK. Some may not have a "good day", and fireworks will be iffy for a few. Everyone else looking OK, at this juncture. Guess we shall see on that day what actually goes down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 3 Author Share Posted July 3 On 5/1/2024 at 6:55 PM, Brian D said: July 4th is on a Thursday this year. Looks pretty nice to me. Could get real warm in the W sub on the backside of HP moving through, ahead of next system lurking to the W. July 4 looks pretty decent for most of the sub, except down nearer the OHRV area during the am hrs, where a more solid chance of rain exists. By fireworks time, tho, most of the W sub looking pretty iffy as shwrs/stms encroach upon that timeframe. Close call on this forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 27 Author Share Posted July 27 On 5/1/2024 at 7:52 PM, Brian D said: Parent's Day looking pretty decent with most of the sub under the influence of HP. Looks like a boundary may affect the southern most part of the sub. W areas could get a little on the hot side with a boundary in the Plains. Looks like a pretty good call here. Timing off a little, but a good forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 Finished up more forecasts for Sept-Oct. Grandparents Day comes shortly after Labor Day each year, and this year it looks like some wet weather will be entering our sub after some nice days under HP (although radiational cooling could have us see some cool am temps). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 Next is Constitution/Citizens Day. Looks like a cool, wet day with scattered showers in the N areas, and more organized weather in the S areas. Brisk weather moving in is what it looks like. On that note, Sept, in general has a much more Fallish feel this year than we have seen in recent years. 2020 was the last year we saw a cooler month that ended being near avg for the sub. Since 2015, Sept's have been rather warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 As we enter Oct, we come to Child Health Day. Looks pretty nice under HP, with some cool am temps probable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 On Columbus Day, I'm looking for a front moving through with possible energy from the W riding along it in the S areas. It looks like HP will stay a little N. Mid Oct may see a more W/E flow, keeping things a little milder, and wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 Lastly, for Oct, is Halloween. Looks like a strong front/system moving through bringing brisk weather behind. N/W areas will probably have a chilly evening for trick-or-treaters with some wet weather possible in the S/E areas. Looks to be moving rather quickly. Oct will be a month of variable patterns, so it's hard to get a read on how warm or cool it will get. Going with a near to above avg end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 On 6/9/2024 at 2:50 PM, Brian D said: Friendship day in early Aug is looking rather warm with a threat of shwrs/stms. (Note: I accidently labeled July 28 as Friendship day when it's actually Parent's day. Made the correction.) CA front moving through the N with shwrs/stms. LP that I have noted is running a bit more N than I thought along the boundary, and coming in the W sub on Monday. That will affect the southern half of the sub Mon-Tues. So I was too slow on the N part, and too quick on the S part. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 20 Author Share Posted August 20 On 6/9/2024 at 2:53 PM, Brian D said: Senior Citizens day looks interesting. Generally fair, pleasant wx. Could be a hint of Fall in the air for some, and possibly a tropical entity affecting the SE US. Looks like a good call here. Nothing tropical in the SE tho. Wasn't sure about that anyway. Definitely an early Fall feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 23 Author Share Posted August 23 Veteran's Day forecast looks pretty mellow with HP over the sub. Chilly, but nice. Possibly some wet wx along the S areas if it's not further S. And can't forget the possibility of LER/S for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 23 Author Share Posted August 23 Thanksgiving is late this year, which is typical for a leap year. Looks like it'll be turning blustery, and cold as a boundary moves through starting on Wed. Expecting LES, and as HP moves through the sub, another system will start to affect the W sub during the weekend. Nov in general will tend to be a bit of a rollercoaster with cooler winning out I believe, except the mid part of the month has a rather warm, wet feel to it. Potential strong storms with GOM moisture available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted August 26 Share Posted August 26 On 8/23/2024 at 3:46 PM, Brian D said: Thanksgiving is late this year, which is typical for a leap year. Looks like it'll be turning blustery, and cold as a boundary moves through starting on Wed. Expecting LES, and as HP moves through the sub, another system will start to affect the W sub during the weekend. Nov in general will tend to be a bit of a rollercoaster with cooler winning out I believe, except the mid part of the month has a rather warm, wet feel to it. Potential strong storms with GOM moisture available. I like the sound of this!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted August 31 Author Share Posted August 31 On 6/9/2024 at 2:56 PM, Brian D said: Labor Day is a little early this year, and I'm looking for wet wx to start the weekend. By Monday, it should be a bit cooler, with scattered showers for some. Fallish pattern. My timing is slow with frontal progressions, but the overall pattern I saw is there. Looks like a pretty nice end to summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 7 Author Share Posted September 7 On 7/29/2024 at 10:05 AM, Brian D said: Finished up more forecasts for Sept-Oct. Grandparents Day comes shortly after Labor Day each year, and this year it looks like some wet weather will be entering our sub after some nice days under HP (although radiational cooling could have us see some cool am temps). Pretty so-so cast for this day. No wet wx to speak of will enter the sub, but there will be LER for some. LP will hang back as CAN front moves in across the N areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted September 16 Author Share Posted September 16 On 7/29/2024 at 10:13 AM, Brian D said: Next is Constitution/Citizens Day. Looks like a cool, wet day with scattered showers in the N areas, and more organized weather in the S areas. Brisk weather moving in is what it looks like. On that note, Sept, in general has a much more Fallish feel this year than we have seen in recent years. 2020 was the last year we saw a cooler month that ended being near avg for the sub. Since 2015, Sept's have been rather warm. Busted this cast. Pattern I was picking up on looks to be coming in to some degree later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 6 Author Share Posted October 6 On 7/29/2024 at 10:15 AM, Brian D said: As we enter Oct, we come to Child Health Day. Looks pretty nice under HP, with some cool am temps probable. Pretty good call here with HP over the region, and cooler, but pleasant conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 13 Author Share Posted October 13 On 7/29/2024 at 10:20 AM, Brian D said: On Columbus Day, I'm looking for a front moving through with possible energy from the W riding along it in the S areas. It looks like HP will stay a little N. Mid Oct may see a more W/E flow, keeping things a little milder, and wet. An OK call for this day. LP scooting through the Lakes bringing wet wx with HP strengthening over MN. No energy riding the S areas, instead there will be weak trough, and LER across the Lakes. There is a chance for a mix of rain/snow across NE MN Monday am. We quickly warm back up as HP moves SE, and brings a return flow later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 14 Author Share Posted October 14 Worked up the last forecasts for the year. On Pearl Harbor Day Dec 7 it looks like fair wx under HP with a system moving in from the W bringing in milder temps, and a threat of rn/sn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 14 Author Share Posted October 14 On the Christmas holiday this year, I'm expecting a system moving across the sub bringing in colder wx, with some rn/sn, and LES on the backside on Christmas Day for some. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 14 Author Share Posted October 14 New Years holiday is looking chilly as HP moves in. Look for LES across the Lakes, along with an exiting front in the SE areas on the 31st. EDIT: Just a quick note, it looks like Dec will be quite variable. Looking at the month to end near avg, and quite possibly below. There's a decent chance that may be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 15 Author Share Posted October 15 Thought I'd add Election Day into the mix this year. Looks like a front will be moving through, and possible energy with it. If that happens, a little wet wx on tap for some, but the front itself shouldn't be a big issue. Make sure to vote if you haven't already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 30 Author Share Posted October 30 On 7/29/2024 at 10:23 AM, Brian D said: Lastly, for Oct, is Halloween. Looks like a strong front/system moving through bringing brisk weather behind. N/W areas will probably have a chilly evening for trick-or-treaters with some wet weather possible in the S/E areas. Looks to be moving rather quickly. Oct will be a month of variable patterns, so it's hard to get a read on how warm or cool it will get. Going with a near to above avg end. Decent call here. System quickly heading NE through the Lakes bringing much needed precip, and some snow IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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