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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


RIC Airport
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9 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Wakefield has added 40% pops for Tuesday night over Hampton Roads and 30% pops for the rest of the CWA including Richmond. 

50% pops down by me. Imagine Nags Head gets crushed with a foot of snow and the rest of us substantially less. There's a chance with this one.

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14 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

50% pops down by me. Imagine Nags Head gets crushed with a foot of snow and the rest of us substantially less. There's a chance with this one.

Great! I didn't click down there, haha. But, a chance of snow with temps in the low teens is not something you see often around here. 

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9 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Canadian is nice for Tue/Wed

9 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

GFS at 0z is a  moderate event, the CMC is a  major storm

One can dream. Frigid, too!

But, the March 1980 blizzard also had mid-upper teens in Richmond and only around 20°F at ORF during that storm. 

gem-all-norfolk-instant_ptype-7547200.thumb.png.c39c13d2b9dcf3c68b81d2e4aae72c94.pnggem-all-norfolk-t2m_f-7547200.thumb.png.48e45528b83adae53ac95734f6839c54.pnggem-all-norfolk-total_snow_kuchera-7590400.thumb.png.9ea486b107fa7b1497f7b4a96cf68a65.png

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3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

0z Euro looked better for us 

image.thumb.png.9f9fc7ee21340f45070d40dbc12c76c4.png

Ends up with a couple inches for many for this run. Trending better-and it's less than 4 days away! Let's see if the trends continue. Also 850 temps are 10-15 below, so it'll be pure powder with probably 15-1 ratios.

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3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Anybody up?  Nice trend NW on precip shield.  

1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

Ends up with a couple inches for many for this run. Trending better-and it's less than 4 days away! Let's see if the trends continue. Also 850 temps are 10-15 below, so it'll be pure powder with probably 15-1 ratios.

ecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-instant_ptype-7536400.thumb.png.eadc893c09e6736eb57972c8ccea9a91.pngecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-t2m_f-7536400.thumb.png.2a17dafef302cb3a13641e8385b9341f.png

ecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-total_snow_kuchera-7568800.thumb.png.a2e2c871d5e61ea73c850a15ab9eeb41.png

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4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

ecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-instant_ptype-7536400.thumb.png.eadc893c09e6736eb57972c8ccea9a91.pngecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-t2m_f-7536400.thumb.png.2a17dafef302cb3a13641e8385b9341f.png

ecmwf-deterministic-norfolk-total_snow_kuchera-7568800.thumb.png.a2e2c871d5e61ea73c850a15ab9eeb41.png

Just looked at base reflectivity also and it looks like it only snows from like 9p Tue to 3a Wed! It would be nice to get another 50 mile trend NW.

 

Beaches and our SE Va friends on here gonna do real well with this I think!

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Just now, wasnow215 said:

Just looked at base reflectivity also and it looks like it only snows from like 9p Tue to 3a Wed! It would be nice to get another 50 mile trend NW

Still plenty of time.  5 more days to trend more NW hopefully. 

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Just wanted to post the maps, had a long day...literally falling asleep now. I'll take a deeper look late tomorrow morning. 

Looks like placement of the low was farther north and west from 18z and 12z. Hope later runs remain favorable would be awesome to get snow in the teens. 

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3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Still plenty of time.  5 more days to trend more NW hopefully. 

Really just 4 now which to me means models beginning to converge at least a little. That one shot people posting at least moderate snow here on the Euro was at hour 102!

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35 minutes ago, RVAman said:

GFS said no sir. 

We have the European and the ensembles for Tuesday night and into Wednesday as well as the Canadian and the UKmet I think. I would be surprised if Richmond, didn't get at least 3 inches from Tuesday nights into Wednesday and south n east more.

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EURO and GFS moved in opposite directions. CMC held steady. ICON moved well NW. All are now onshore with precip. 4 days out now. In that mid-range where some consensus appears to be happening. GFS was a bit alarming tho. Overall still like the trends and love it the EURO is onboard. Tomorrow we'll be looking at meso's. The Sunday deal looks dead to me from RIC and SE. 

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6 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

EURO and GFS moved in opposite directions. CMC held steady. ICON moved well NW. All are now onshore with precip. 4 days out now. In that mid-range where some consensus appears to be happening. GFS was a bit alarming tho. Overall still like the trends and love it the EURO is onboard. Tomorrow we'll be looking at meso's. The Sunday deal looks dead to me from RIC and SE. 

it won't be a big deal Sunday but I would be surprised if most places didn't see an inch of snow area wide with some may be getting a tiny bit more and some getting a little bit less. In the evening when the sun goes down

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1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

it won't be a big deal Sunday but I would be surprised if most places didn't see an inch of snow area wide with some may be getting a tiny bit more and some getting a little bit less. In the evening when the sun goes down

I hope you're right. It certainly a Race Against Time with cold air versus precipitation. The cut off still appears Fredericksburg and North for anything appreciable. And that's being squeezed for the north and west as it appears. Hopefully things Trend back today.

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Looks like Tuesday Wednesday storm is going to be a southern slider, I still hope the CMC is still right but it’s going against all other guidance. Models trending in the wrong direction this am .  Sunday storm will hopefully give us an inch so we can see some white for a few days being so cold.  

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39 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Looks like Tuesday Wednesday storm is going to be a southern slider, I still hope the CMC is still right but it’s going against all other guidance. Models trending in the wrong direction this am .  Sunday storm will hopefully give us an inch so we can see some white for a few days being so cold.  

Euro and its ensembles came NW also. 

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