Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[wasnow215]

Just now, wasnow215 said:

I remember it was VERY VERY cold. Powdery snow.

Or maybe I'm thinking if another one. Jan 2015?

[ldub23]

2 hours ago, RIC Airport said:

Bombarded with ZR with a primary low coming up the coast while our surface temperatures are only around 20 degrees?

We simply  dont get freezing rain here luckily. It always warms  up to 35. 

[RIC Airport]

27 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

I remember that storm back in the day.  We found a big open parking lot and took the trucks out to spin around.  I think Short Pump did a little better on accumulations than the city if I can remember correctly. 

25 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

I remember it was VERY VERY cold. Powdery snow.

It was the biggest snowstorm since 2/6/2010. Temps started in the mid-20s, and 3-6" fell initially, followed by warmer temps where RIC peaked at 37°F under +RA. Temps dropped and there was another 2-4" on the back side of the storm, but eastern areas did better on the back end. As you can see from below, the storm started in the south. Even Charlotte recorded 8.4" before eventually flipping.

[RIC Airport]

Maybe some snow showers overnight?

 

[RIC Airport]

https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1879282169052328269

 

GRAF model has it, too!

[RIC Airport]

5 hours ago, RIC Airport said:

GFS is still aggressive with that 2nd wave forming after passage of the cold front.

 

18Z GFS is even more aggressive with this wave that trails the front .

 

[mikeeng92]

anyone feel that possible earthquake?

[Conway7305]

I felt it

[Conway7305]

18z GFS  1/ 20 energy gives us a nice 3” but suppresses the 23rd storm.  It’s really isn’t  that much off track as Low still climbs the coast.  Will see what ensembles say.  Prob some decent hits still. 

[mikeeng92]

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000pk10/executive
 

the boom was incredible 

[RIC Airport]

18Z Euro AI looked very promising for accumulating snows on Sunday into Sunday night as a wave develops after the front passes on Saturday. 

It shows a similar scenario as the 12z Euro for the mid week storm. We have a coastal low arriving from the south, surface temps are below freezing, but we are above freezing at 850mb.

[SoCoWx]

2 hours ago, RIC Airport said:

18Z Euro AI looked very promising for accumulating snows on Sunday into Sunday night as a wave develops after the front passes on Saturday. 

It shows a similar scenario as the 12z Euro for the mid week storm. We have a coastal low arriving from the south, surface temps are below freezing, but we are above freezing at 850mb.

What god do we need to sacrifice a virgin to, to get that to stop happening?  

[Conway7305]

If only the CMC verified.  Would be beautiful!  

[Conway7305]

Also, Ukie  may be a hit and GDPS is solid.  Just need to Euro and GFS. 

[ldub23]

GFS says enjoy the rain. Freeze our rears  off, warm up and rain, freeze again. What we do best. 

[wasnow215]

2 hours ago, ldub23 said:

GFS says enjoy the rain. Freeze our rears  off, warm up and rain, freeze again. What we do best. 

Still a lot of time. Solutions never really get worked out until 36 to 48 hours out

[Stormpc]

Wild run to run differences. Need to first figure out the weekend wave before getting a handle on the 21st/ 22nd.  All potential outcomes are there are depending upon your preferred model run. Pretty crazy. Interesting part is this weekend's situation is not close to model consensus and it's Wednesday already. 

[RIC Airport]

11 hours ago, SoCoWx said:

What god do we need to sacrifice a virgin to, to get that to stop happening?  

Getting a strong high pressure (1040-1050mb) in the right spot, say, over upstate NY, certainly helps. Oh, and a 50/50 low around the 40/70 benchmark.

[RIC Airport]

Don't overlook the potential of snow Sunday evening. Both the GFS and Euro highlight this possibility, though to varying degrees. It all depends on strength and where the band forms but some lucky spots could get some minor accumulations. 

Here was the 6z Euro. 12Z GFS is just starting. 

[RIC Airport]

31 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Don't overlook the potential of snow Sunday evening. Both the GFS and Euro highlight this possibility, though to varying degrees. It all depends on strength and where the band forms but some lucky spots could get some minor accumulations. 

Here was the 6z Euro. 12Z GFS is just starting. 

 

 

[RIC Airport]

Mid week threat is suppressed and OTS on the GFS, but has a 3rd threat next Friday into Saturday. 

[Conway7305]

GEM still has a nice event 1/22

[RIC Airport]

4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

GEM still has a nice event 1/22

It it wins next week over the GFS and Euro, then maybe I'll start looking at it more. 

3rd threat on the GFS next Friday-Sat.

 

[chris624wx]

34 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

 

I need this in case next week is a bust haha

[Stormpc]

Going to be lots of fake outs the next few days. Let's start with the Weekend event and deal with the rest in 5 days. It's all over the place. If you can lock in the morning runs for Richmond you would do it right now.

[wasnow215]

@RIC AirportI need help with timing for Sunday it looks like it won't start possibly in until noon is that what you see? For Richmond,/Glen Allen area

as it stands now obviously