wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:36 PM 5 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 6z GFS pumping out some storm opportunities in LR Yeah it did! So did the 0z Euro! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Sunday at 12:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:45 PM I like the Miller A on the EURO. Classic east coast bomb. Been showing up around the 20-22 Jan period on both globals in one form or another. Probably our next best window. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:44 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:44 PM 5 hours ago, Conway7305 said: 6z GFS pumping out some storm opportunities in LR 5 hours ago, wasnow215 said: Yeah it did! So did the 0z Euro! 4 hours ago, Stormpc said: I like the Miller A on the EURO. Classic east coast bomb. Been showing up around the 20-22 Jan period on both globals in one form or another. Probably our next best window. 12Z Euro is a nice hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:49 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:49 PM 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 12Z Euro is a nice hit! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:56 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:56 PM Frigid during the event, @mikeeng92. And if realized, it would be the coldest snowstorm in Richmond since 2/18/1979 (PD1) when temperatures during the height of the event were only around 10°F. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 06:12 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 06:12 PM 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Frigid during the event, @mikeeng92. And if realized, it would be the coldest snowstorm in Richmond since 2/18/1979 (PD1) when temperatures during the height of the event was only around 10°F. Just looked at the 2/16/2015 storm where RIC finished with 7.2". Temps started in the upper teens and dropped to 13°F at RIC during that event. Notice the time stamp below where RIC, even as early as the 8pm ob, was already at 17°F with moderate snow so very cold storms can happen here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Sunday at 06:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:16 PM What a winter month that was, caused a ton of problems in the area with burst pipes. Had the Arctic front snow squalls a couple days before that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 06:22 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 06:22 PM 4 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: What a winter month that was, caused a ton of problems in the area with burst pipes. Had the Arctic front snow squalls a couple days before that. I found some colder observations from that night. I had to make sure I saved them because snow falling in the low teens in Richmond is exceedingly rare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted Sunday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:38 PM 12z Euro is an absolute fever dream! Would completely make up for this last storm and then some haha 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 06:51 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 06:51 PM 5 hours ago, chris624wx said: 12z Euro is an absolute fever dream! Would completely make up for this last storm and then some haha Yes, and a fresh snowcover with an arctic airmass gets you record cold afterwards. -9°F at RIC and single digits at ORF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Sunday at 07:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:43 PM 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: Frigid during the event, @mikeeng92. And if realized, it would be the coldest snowstorm in Richmond since 2/18/1979 (PD1) when temperatures during the height of the event was only around 10°F. Its how we get a snowstorm here. NNE wind https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-met&rh=2025011212&fh=246&r=atl&dpdt=&mc= 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 09:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:12 PM 12z EPS not bad 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 10:40 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 10:40 PM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: 12z EPS not bad 18z GFS was a nice hit as well. Brought back the storm. Temps are cold! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:56 PM 14 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18z GFS was a nice hit as well. Brought back the storm. Temps are cold! Nice both are in agreement of storm 1/21 seems to be favoring the Tidewater and southern areas but plenty of time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: 18z GFS was a nice hit as well. Brought back the storm. Temps are cold! That's uh wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 12:25 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 12:25 AM 39 minutes ago, chris624wx said: That's uh wow! Wakefield finally provided the ORF airport storm total from the last event. Looks like 1.7" for the 10th-11th and then 0.2" for the 5th-6th. So, the 1"+ drought is over there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 12:47 AM Author Share Posted Monday at 12:47 AM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: Nice both are in agreement of storm 1/21 seems to be favoring the Tidewater and southern areas but plenty of time 18Z GEFS only really had 2 good hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 12:51 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:51 AM 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18Z GEFS only really had 2 good hits. Still early. Will take P9 or P10! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Monday at 12:51 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:51 AM 2 hours ago, RIC Airport said: 18z GFS was a nice hit as well. Brought back the storm. Temps are cold! I will take an average of the Euro and GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:02 PM Deep south snows on GFS. let’s see what the ensemble say. hopefully further north. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Monday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:14 PM That's where we want to be, not in the bullseye this far out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Monday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:25 PM https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025011318&fh=150 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 12:44 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:44 AM 1 hour ago, ldub23 said: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025011318&fh=150 18Z GEFS had a slight up tick from 12z in the mean, still quite of few shut outs unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM On 1/11/2025 at 3:55 PM, chris624wx said: Thanks for your perspective! It's nice to learn these things from people who have been here a long time. I moved here in early 2020 so I've only experienced a few events, and I've learned I got really spoiled with the two back to back storms in January 2022. I had a bit of foreboding when I was seeing Raleigh having mixing issues last night but I was hoping that wouldn't matter haha now I know! On 1/11/2025 at 5:18 PM, ldub23 said: Another thing to look at is wind direction. When i woke up at 2am last night and saw the wind was south at6mph at Patrick Henry i knew we were going straight to rain within minutes. 99.9% of our all snow events occur with a NNE wind. Anymore east and its a guarantee the rain will come. On 1/11/2025 at 5:40 PM, Stormpc said: Yes I was long asleep by then. The South Winds really did nothing to the surface temperatures since they were down to 32 or 33 all the way near Wilmington but it got warm up top pretty fast. Once we lost the rates that was it. With all the waterways there's so many microclimates around here. It's a very challenging place in all seasons. I do believe there are better days ahead with at least one or two more legitimate shots. Wakefield wrote an excellent summary on this event and tried to explain what happened that led to the precip type issues. Worth a read if you have a few minutes. https://www.weather.gov/akq/jan10_11_2025_winterstorm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM 43 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18Z GEFS had a slight up tick from 12z in the mean, still quite of few shut outs unfortunately. Nice uptick from 12z. 4 ensemble members snow 10+ with the winner being P23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:46 AM 18 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Nice uptick from 12z. 4 ensemble members snow 10+ with the winner being P23 P03, and P23 look like a snow apocalypse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:08 AM Although there haven’t been any major storms, these light snow events combined with cold temperatures have made January 2025 the best stretch of winter in years. For the first time since the 2016 blizzard, Richmond has officially recorded seven consecutive days with a snow depth of 1 inch or more. Snow depth is measured daily at 7 a.m. (12z), and the recorded depth goes for that calendar date, even if the snow melts later in the day. You can see the 12z daily snow depth in the first attachment below. January 5th has a 0 snow depth because the snow did not begin until later in the evening. The next attachment below shows Richmond's longest snow cover stretches from 2000 to 2025. Two back-to-back snowstorms helped make January 2025 have one of the most consistent snow cover periods over the last 25 years. Notice that the snowy winter of 2009-10 had 1 inch + snow cover lasting 14 days (16 days if you include trace amounts). The record for Richmond is 21 days from the winter of 1947-48. Furthermore, the first 12 days of this month rank among the top 20 coldest first 12 days of January since records began in 1897. With the continued cold temperatures projected over the next two weeks, this January has the potential to be the coldest since at least 1988. So far this month, Richmond has received 6.5 inches of snow. To rank among the top 10 snowiest Januarys, an additional 8 inches of snow would be needed by the end of the month. January 2025 is off to a great start and hopefully we can score in a big way before things are all done, we are due for a 20"+ season. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 02:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 AM 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Although there haven’t been any major storms, these light snow events combined with cold temperatures have made January 2025 the best stretch of winter in years. For the first time since the 2016 blizzard, Richmond has officially recorded seven consecutive days with a snow depth of 1 inch or more. Snow depth is measured daily at 7 a.m. (12z), and the recorded depth goes for that calendar date, even if the snow melts later in the day. You can see the 12z daily snow depth in the first attachment below. January 5th has a 0 snow depth because the snow did not begin until later in the evening. The next attachment below shows Richmond's longest snow cover stretches from 2000 to 2025. Two back-to-back snowstorms helped make January 2025 have one of the most consistent snow cover periods over the last 25 years. Notice that the snowy winter of 2009-10 had 1 inch + snow cover lasting 14 days (16 days if you include trace amounts). The record for Richmond is 21 days from the winter of 1947-48. Furthermore, the first 12 days of this month rank among the top 20 coldest first 12 days of January since records began in 1897. With the continued cold temperatures projected over the next two weeks, this January has the potential to be the coldest since at least 1988. So far this month, Richmond has received 6.5 inches of snow. To rank among the top 10 snowiest Januarys, an additional 8 inches of snow would be needed by the end of the month. January 2025 is off to a great start and hopefully we can score in a big way before things are all done, we are due for a 20"+ season. This is good info. Thanks RIC! All we need is a clean Miller A and we are set 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 12:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:26 PM Anybody see the 6Z GFS? Has a few inches of snow by Monday and then a bigger storm with snow the following Thursday and Friday less than 10 days from now for both of them obviously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted yesterday at 12:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:40 PM 13 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Anybody see the 6Z GFS? Has a few inches of snow by Monday and then a bigger storm with snow the following Thursday and Friday less than 10 days from now for both of them obviously. It’s pretty cool to look at! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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