Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[RIC Airport]

2 hours ago, wasnow215 said:

Euro ensembles @RIC Airport good sir?

[RIC Airport]

38 minutes ago, RVAman said:

Did you account for the additional snowfall last night? RIC got 6 total from the storm. Actually surprised it melted as much as it did today. It never “felt” like 6 inches were on the ground at one time. 

27 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said:

Actually I didn’t. It may have been closer to 5”. I was surprised also how quick it had melted. 

It was revised down to 3.5" this afternoon. Admittedly the 6" was too high and not representative of area reports. Not the first time this has happened. 

[ldub23]

ICON hits central NC pretty good. 1-2 here seems  possible.

 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2025010712&fh=90&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

[RIC Airport]

13 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

ICON hits central NC pretty good. 1-2 here seems  possible.

 

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2025010712&fh=90&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

 

 

[krasnyoktyabr]

I'd much rather be on the north side of a storm for once. It's not sexy, but give me 3" with no mixing issues and I'm happy.

[ldub23]

14 minutes ago, krasnyoktyabr said:

I'd much rather be on the north side of a storm for once. It's not sexy, but give me 3" with no mixing issues and I'm happy.

For SE VA this  is a good track. GFS will probably  end  up more  north

[Stormpc]

24 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

 

 

Nice for me. Sloppy slider...OTS. Still wayyy too early. 

[RIC Airport]

7 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

For SE VA this  is a good track. GFS will probably  end  up more  north

It's been pretty consistent. 

[wasnow215]

3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

It's been pretty consistent. 

Unfortunately the trends are showing less qpf every model run it seems. Could be Euro os onto something.

[RIC Airport]

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Unfortunately the trends are showing less qpf every model run it seems. Could be Euro os onto something.

There is about 0.40" at RIC, and yes QPF is a bit less than previous run. Time will tell.

[ldub23]

33 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

It's been pretty consistent. 

Yep more north. I have a feeling this will be an exact  repeat

[wasnow215]

6z runs much better seemingly for slow in our area 

[wasnow215]

GFS, ICON and NAM seems to be in that 2-4" range again -anyone have 6z Euro?

[chris624wx]

Starting to look like a slop of a storm down here. Front end thump of snow maybe and then a mix or just a cold rain. Bleh


.

[Stormpc]

32 minutes ago, chris624wx said:

Starting to look like a slop of a storm down here. Front end thump of snow maybe and then a mix or just a cold rain. Bleh


.

Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow

[wasnow215]

Anybody have 6Z European model?

[chris624wx]

33 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow

Definitely in a better spot still than you are in NENC. Still doesn't look too impressive to me, but a long way to go. Just feeling a little despondent haha 

[ldub23]

1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

Anybody have 6Z European model?

Looks  like  it  keeps precip all snow from here to RIC but its  light  snow. 

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025010806&fh=75

[Conway7305]

ICON was bad. No snow at all  :/

[Dick_LeBoof]

I think the most recent NWS briefing summarizes the event really well. 

Quote

...All of this being said, still need to iron out some details
regarding this event, especially in regards to QPF amounts and
placement, which will have large impacts in regards to total
accumulations. Both the 00z EPS and GEFS did cut back mean QPF and
mean total snowfall a bit from previous runs, while the CMC came in
slightly higher. We will have better details soon as we start to get
into range of some of the higher-res models, but the main takeaway
is that there is a reasonably high chance at this point for a
widespread 1-3" of snow accumulation with the potential for higher
amounts based on how everything evolves going forward.

 

[Conway7305]

12z GFS basically the same as 6z 

[Stormpc]

EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot. 

[RIC Airport]

10 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot. 

EPS favors S & E of RIC as well. 

 

 

[EverythingisEverything]

Local Weather Mets, not to sure on amounts at the moment for SE VA. 

[Conway7305]

Euro showing fantasy storm 1/20

[RIC Airport]

4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Euro showing fantasy storm 1/20

We seem to either be too far south or too far north. But, happy to see another threat, a 3rd threat had been popping up off and on for a while. 

 

[vastateofmind]

Really pulling for y'all in this sub for this coming weekend...I know this past Monday didn't turn out quite as expected.

[JB Fins]

Thanks!  Loved your snow squall pics and play by play last week.

[RVAman]

I’m expecting 2-3 maybe 4 on the high end here in Henrico Friday into Saturday. A much fluffier snow. Will likely all melt very quickly on Saturday afternoon but will be pretty nonetheless. Thought this one would have the opportunity to juice up but not looking likely sadly. 

[RVAman]

12z euro shows basically almost no precip. Maybe an inch if we’re lucky. I’ll take it.