SoCoWx Posted yesterday at 05:09 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:09 PM 12 hours ago, wasnow215 said: CMC looks decent Edit-it ends up as weak sauce and NC gets decent snow as it passes to our south and east and OTS Dec. 2004 + Dec. 2010 redux? I feel like every so many years, there’s a monster storm, and it very narrowly only clobbers Hampton Roads and no one else. Don’t get me wrong, of course. Good for them! They get snow even less than we do! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: @Conway7305, @wasnow215, @RVAman12z GFS sliding south from earlier runs, max potential seems to be about 6". My question is, when will we finally have a pure snowstorm again? Especially after the ice being responsible for this water fiasco in Richmond. We certainly don’t need more ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted yesterday at 05:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:40 PM 28 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: My question is, when will we finally have a pure snowstorm again? Especially after the ice being responsible for this water fiasco in Richmond. We certainly don’t need more ice. No doubt. Avula has to be reconsidering his career change getting hit with this in the first month. Working downtown today, brought my own water but now apparently, pressure becoming an issue in the building and without restrooms, will have to head home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 06:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:17 PM Just really really seems like everything is converging for a 2-4" snow overnight Friday into Sat? Anyone say anything different right now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted yesterday at 07:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:50 PM 1 hour ago, wasnow215 said: Just really really seems like everything is converging for a 2-4" snow overnight Friday into Sat? Anyone say anything different right now? That's what I'm seeing as well. Here is some data using the latest GEFS ensembles, and a meteogram with the outputs of the deterministic models plotted together. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Seems like the trends so far today continue to look good for maybe at least a 2-4 inch snow down here in Hampton Roads. If we're not going to get an amped low south of Hatteras, I'll take a weaker slider. We had some pretty decent snows in January 2022 from some sliders on back to back weekends! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Seems like the trends so far today continue to look good for maybe at least a 2-4 inch snow down here in Hampton Roads. If we're not going to get an ample low south of Hatteras, I'll take a weaker slider. We had some pretty decent snows in January 2022 from some sliders on back to back weekends! 84 hour NAM looked good. This is at 1am Saturday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 hours ago, SoCoWx said: My question is, when will we finally have a pure snowstorm again? Especially after the ice being responsible for this water fiasco in Richmond. We certainly don’t need more ice. Still wondering the same, maybe better luck Friday night into Saturday for a 3-6" event and no ice or slop in between. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 hours ago, SoCoWx said: Dec. 2004 + Dec. 2010 redux? I feel like every so many years, there’s a monster storm, and it very narrowly only clobbers Hampton Roads and no one else. Don’t get me wrong, of course. Good for them! They get snow even less than we do! 1/29/2022, 1/22/2022, 2/20/2020, 2//26/2015, 1/7/2017, 2/26/2015, 1/29/2014, etc. Plenty of examples. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 18Z ICON was farther north than 12Z with the heavier snow axis. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago For once the northern trend might work in our favor. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Looks like a solid 3-5 around here with great ratios with how cold it will be fri night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Heard ICON ensembles are more NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 23 hours ago Author Share Posted 23 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Heard ICON ensembles are more NW Interesting, not available on wxbell. Anybody have a map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago 18z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18z GFS It was looking good for Hampton Roads until it drove the low through Greenville, NC. Not what we want to see here. Good hit for the interior though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 3 minutes ago, chris624wx said: It was looking good for Hampton Roads until it drove the low through Greenville, NC. Not what we want to see here. Good hit for the interior though Really warms too relatively speaking right at the end of the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago 18z GEFS still showing the axis of heavier amounts over same areas. 50th Percentile High end Amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 21 hours ago Author Share Posted 21 hours ago Euro continues its stubbornness at 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Euro continues its stubbornness at 18z. What's the low track look like?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago 6 minutes ago, chris624wx said: What's the low track look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Yikes, not great but prefer that over the GFS right now for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Just now, chris624wx said: Yikes, not great but prefer that over the GFS right now for me . Yeah, I’d take this in a heartbeat over anything with more ice. Richmond *STILL* doesn’t have water in most neighborhoods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago 14 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Yeah, I’d take this in a heartbeat over anything with more ice. Richmond *STILL* doesn’t have water in most neighborhoods. Hanover having issues, too. And I just saw that there was another malfunction at the city treatment site. Hang in there! I hope you have access to water or some friends who are not affected and can provide you a place to shower or something. I'm sure they are working around the clock to resolve the situation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Euro ensembles @RIC Airport good sir? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Expecting either a 2-4 event or a 4-6 event for this weekend. It could bomb as well. THIS is a setup we want, for us here in Central VA and yall down in the south east. Too bad it’s on a Friday into Saturday and not Sunday into Monday again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Also, this is a good sign for the rest of winter. It’s the first week of January and we received a 6” storm. That’s the first time in a long long while around these parts. We could end up being well above average by the end of March. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 54 minutes ago, RVAman said: Also, this is a good sign for the rest of winter. It’s the first week of January and we received a 6” storm. That’s the first time in a long long while around these parts. We could end up being well above average by the end of March. I got right at 4” from this past storm here in Varina. Wouldn’t mind another 4” to get me near climo, this early in the season. I think right now, we’re in a good spot for this next event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 18 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: I got right at 4” from this past storm here in Varina. Wouldn’t mind another 4” to get me near climo, this early in the season. I think right now, we’re in a good spot for this next event. Did you account for the additional snowfall last night? RIC got 6 total from the storm. Actually surprised it melted as much as it did today. It never “felt” like 6 inches were on the ground at one time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 7 minutes ago, RVAman said: Did you account for the additional snowfall last night? RIC got 6 total from the storm. Actually surprised it melted as much as it did today. It never “felt” like 6 inches were on the ground at one time. Actually I didn’t. It may have been closer to 5”. I was surprised also how quick it had melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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