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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


RIC Airport
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9 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

Thank you prob what 2-4 from most of the models for richmond?

Yes as it stands and is currently modeled right now, it doesn't look like this has much of a chance to produce prolific numbers anywhere outside of the deeper south. 2-4 is just as likely as 1-2 or 4-6. Unless things get together in sync I don't think there's a Max potential for anything over 8 for any of us... but still early and you never know. Anything coming out of the Gulf can do special things, or not. At least there's something to look at.

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1 hour ago, Stormpc said:

Yes as it stands and is currently modeled right now, it doesn't look like this has much of a chance to produce prolific numbers anywhere outside of the deeper south. 2-4 is just as likely as 1-2 or 4-6. Unless things get together in sync I don't think there's a Max potential for anything over 8 for any of us... but still early and you never know. Anything coming out of the Gulf can do special things, or not. At least there's something to look at.

6Z Euro AI model has about .30" as far west as RIC. Surface temps still looks cold, a late Friday evening, mainly overnight event.

ecmwf-aifs-all-ma-total_precip_inch-6748000.thumb.png.90db69347b7d3860bce97f8e666244f7.png

 

12z ICON did inch south with the axis of heaviest accumulations. 

VA.thumb.png.a5df0c94f21fee99da8888b0875c3dd1.png

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Nice run for Central Virginia on the gfs. Looks like it's taking steps toward the other globals. Be interesting to see if the ensembles also shifted south and east. If you're in the Richmond area you want it to hold right there. Hampton Roads needs another 50 to 75 MI. Good stuff.

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13 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Nice run for Central Virginia on the gfs. Looks like it's taking steps toward the other globals. Be interesting to see if the ensembles also shifted south and east. If you're in the Richmond area you want it to hold right there. Hampton Roads needs another 50 to 75 MI. Good stuff.

The Canadian is a hair south of the GFS. 

12z.thumb.png.cb7f225e25f6bc423c68c6684e80c1ee.png

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