RVAman Posted Monday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:18 PM NBC12 is saying snow from 5 pm to 11pm. Depending on rates we could be looking at another layer of 2-4 inches. This would be insane due to the ground already being frozen. It’s dark out and it’s 11 am. Roads are freezing over already. Went on a walk with my son and the roads noticeably are getting icy again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 04:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:27 PM Anyone see GFS for weekend. Looks pretty good no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Monday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:28 PM I thought it looked like an ice storm from hell but haven’t looked deep yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:30 PM 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Anyone see GFS for weekend. Looks pretty good no? Local stations are already calling for snow on Saturday. This could be the good one. Coastal snow is always the best here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:30 PM 1 minute ago, mikeeng92 said: I thought it looked like an ice storm from hell but haven’t looked deep yet That would be quite the change. Have seen that anywhere, unless I missed something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:30 PM Just now, RVAman said: Local stations are already calling for snow on Saturday. This could be the good one. Coastal snow is always the best here. Yeah it wasn't as good for us as last night but the Canadian is good and there is still time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 04:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:37 PM 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Yeah it wasn't as good for us as last night but the Canadian is good and there is still time I feel like if they’re putting it on the radar this early we’re in pretty good shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 04:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:42 PM 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: I feel like if they’re putting it on the radar this early we’re in pretty good shape Agree wholeheartedly -the concern for these types of stores for our region is either they don't develop until they get past us on the coast or it's closer to the coast and we get more mix and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted Monday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:44 PM 7 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Yeah it wasn't as good for us as last night but the Canadian is good and there is still time 12Z GFS has trended warmer than the previous 3 runs, but the moisture is certainly in the right place. I assume this would be a textbook Miller A evolution? Latest EPS ensembles have the coastal low much further off the coast than the American solution. Will be interesting to see if the models begin to converge at all. Given the arctic blast, I would be surprised to see us not have enough cold air for this event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 04:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:49 PM 5 minutes ago, Dick_LeBoof said: 12Z GFS has trended warmer than the previous 3 runs, but the moisture is certainly in the right place. I assume this would be a textbook Miller A evolution? Latest EPS ensembles have the coastal low much further off the coast than the American solution. Will be interesting to see if the models begin to converge at all. Given the arctic blast, I would be surprised to see us not have enough cold air for this event. Your thoughts make a lot of sense thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:56 PM Light snow falling here in Henrico. Mixed with sleet / freezing rain 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Issue with the weekend storm is a Great Lakes low. Those always screw us over keeping warmer track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:06 PM Just now, JFLETCHER said: Issue with the weekend storm is a Great Lakes low. Those always screw us over keeping warmer track. We have the coastal low, but the GL low messes up the thermals and we get ice or rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:11 PM 4 hours without power now. Getting cold inside. No fireplace. May be time to put food outside. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Monday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:14 PM 46 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Anyone see GFS for weekend. Looks pretty good no? No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:14 PM 2 minutes ago, RVAman said: 4 hours without power now. Getting cold inside. No fireplace. May be time to put food outside. That stinks man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 05:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:17 PM RIC do you have the ensemble members for 12z GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:18 PM Ensemble mean still pretty decent for 12z GEFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 06:57 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 06:57 PM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: Ensemble mean still pretty decent for 12z GEFS EPS was not as impressive, but still signaling something. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 07:02 PM 6 hours ago, RVAman said: Yes, I took my break. I apologize for glooming and dooming yesterday. Weather made my emotions high. I apologize, all. Hopefully we can get some more on the back end. You're good. I was also so cautious, but that's because of how things have turned out in recent memory. But, at least the one, two, three, four snow inch drought is over. Now we need a 6" storm to end that drought. Heck, could use a foot! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 07:07 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 07:07 PM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: RIC do you have the ensemble members for 12z GEFS? Sorry, I was out at an appointment earlier and wasn't able to pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:31 PM CMC ensemble members Some big hits 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 07:34 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 07:34 PM This evening’s Back end snows on HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 07:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:39 PM 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: This evening’s Back end snows on HRRR. looks like about an inch additional, maybe 1.5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 08:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:22 PM If it fills out like the GRAF is showing I’d say even 2 possibly 3 more. Air is already moist. edit: scratch that. Graf backed off a good amount. Maybe .5-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 08:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:27 PM 51 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: This evening’s Back end snows on HRRR. Only showing about an hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted Monday at 08:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:27 PM Growing more concerned over the freeze/refreeze tonight. Some roads are still a slushy mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Monday at 08:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:28 PM Just now, Hyphnx said: Growing more concerned over the freeze/refreeze tonight. Some roads are still a slushy mess. Black ice will be big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:39 PM https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14ePPFwrCw/?mibextid=wwXIfr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Monday at 08:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:48 PM Love snow but hate the slop. Need some more snow and some refreezing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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