RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 10:31 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 10:31 PM 4 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Well, it is still above freezing currently. Were we supposed to be colder than this already? There’s snow and sleet reaching the ground in the 757 where my folks are. Dewpoints are in the low single digits. Any precip will cause temperatures to fall below freezing quickly with evaporative cooling. I'm just pointing out that sleet is pretty far east and practically on our doorstep this early, essentially right at the onset, is not a good sign. We want a solid 6-8+ hours of snowfall before any sleet arrives if we want to maximize accumulations. It's early, but obviously sleet doesn't take up as much room as snow, so it won't accumulate as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 10:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:34 PM 1 minute ago, RVAman said: You mean speaking facts? Got it. I'm not arguing about something we can't control. I'm just saying let it play out. I know you don't think anything is really gonna come of this and that's fine but some do and we will see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:36 PM I thought the onset of snow was supposed to start after 8. Precip Shield still looks nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM 30" on the GFS for the next system for DC. If that happens and Richmond and Lynchburg get 1/5 of that... Sigh. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:39 PM I still think we get some good action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 10:40 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 10:40 PM Just now, benjammin said: 30" on the GFS for the next system for DC. If that happens and Richmond and Lynchburg get 1/5 of that... Sigh. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk Right, next weekend is still on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted Sunday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:41 PM I still think we get some good actionI'm from Arlington. I lived there for 40+ years. Snow envy is real. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted Sunday at 10:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:41 PM 5 minutes ago, RVAman said: You mean speaking facts? Got it. Saying you’re speaking facts, is not the same as actually doing it. Especially on the internet. If your cynicism was to be believed, then it would mean the models all went to hell today, and that’s not what happened. They converged and came to a consensus. Some models ticked south, and some ticked north. Everything else seems to have remained the same. If all of the current data holds true, we will see more snow than we’ve seen in awhile, even if it isn’t as much as we’d like. But yes, it is Richmond. You *could* be right. It doesn’t mean you *will* be right. I personally don’t care that much, it’s been so long that we’ve gone without. Hell, if I woke up to 50 degrees and rain tomorrow, I’d laugh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 10:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:48 PM Moderate snow here in Moseley 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:01 PM RIC can you post the ensemble frames for next wknd storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted Sunday at 11:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:02 PM 21 minutes ago, benjammin said: I'm from Arlington. I lived there for 40+ years. Snow envy is real. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk Sidebar...is it okay if I'm stanning because you're posting from a P9 Pro XL?? I am still on P8 Pro but still loving it one plus year on... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Sunday at 11:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:05 PM Flurries here in midlo 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 11:07 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:07 PM 4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: RIC can you post the ensemble frames for next wknd storm Yes, I will. They are still running, not quit through next weekend yet, maybe another 10 minutes. 12z Euro AI was south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted Sunday at 11:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:08 PM 2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Flurries here in midlo This is exciting! Hopefully we’ll get some break through here in the city soon. I imagine it’s a little warmer here in the Fan versus outside the city limits. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Sunday at 11:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:10 PM This is why I don’t post much here .. The storm hasn’t even started yet & people are going nutty.. Dry air? that’s always at the start of every storm.. some of you either need to stop drinking or start and come back around 10pm By then there should be some decent action started and a better idea where this will all go .. smh lol 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Sunday at 11:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:15 PM It’s crazy! If you watch the models and then see the radar, it’s actually better than modeled at the moment 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Sunday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:21 PM 8 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: This is why I don’t post much here .. The storm hasn’t even started yet & people are going nutty.. Dry air? that’s always at the start of every storm.. some of you either need to stop drinking or start and come back around 10pm By then there should be some decent action started and a better idea where this will all go .. smh lol We’ve had plenty of experience failing and not much action past few years so we should all be pros at this by now. Expect the worst and hope for the best. It’s just nice to even have chances especially 5 days into Jan. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:30 PM 17 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: It’s crazy! If you watch the models and then see the radar, it’s actually better than modeled at the moment You can’t really watch the radar unless you actually have something hitting the ground .. most of it is Virga right now, also here in central VA the mountains steal allot of the precip and never make it over or split the percip up.. That’s why whenever the heavy bands set up is going to be key for the amount of snow everyone gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 11:32 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 11:32 PM 27 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: RIC can you post the ensemble frames for next wknd storm It's hard to separate the current event from next weekend, but I tried to slow this down this period and you can see the hits. Seems to me, the ENS are south of the op. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Sunday at 11:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:36 PM Instant stickage on deck. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:37 PM 3 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: You can’t really watch the radar unless you actually have something hitting the ground .. most of it is Virga right now, also here in central VA the mountains steal allot of the precip and never make it over or split the percip up.. That’s why whenever the heavy bands set up is going to be key for the amount of snow everyone gets More so combining radar with reporting of early start and more souther areas (not true radar depiction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Sunday at 11:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:39 PM 2 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Instant stickage on deck. Where are you at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:43 PM 2 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Where are you at Near chesterfield airport. Ground whitening up quick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:54 PM Lightly snowing in the Fan neighborhood now! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted Sunday at 11:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:59 PM Snowing in Varina (eastern henrico) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Monday at 12:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:00 AM 4 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Lightly snowing in the Fan neighborhood now! Can’t beat walking around the fan in the snow! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 12:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:04 AM Man this is great-front end thump delivering! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Monday at 12:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:04 AM 4 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Can’t beat walking around the fan in the snow! Stop in the Bamboo for a drink 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Monday at 12:05 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:05 AM Just now, JB Fins said: Stop in the Bamboo for a drink Oh I wish I was down there! I was replying to SoCo. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Monday at 12:18 AM Share Posted Monday at 12:18 AM This storm is big, still snowing in Kansas City. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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