wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:36 PM Everything is still solid. Looks like the 12z NAM is coming in good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:37 PM Snow cancel for Newport News. Next winter will be 1395 days without snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Saturday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:58 PM Why is the dc forum tripping over the NAM? We arent even in the Nam zone yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Saturday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:59 PM 21 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Snow cancel for Newport News. Next winter will be 1395 days without snow. Bro really? Dont be a weenie... Have you seen next weekend's storm? Stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Saturday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:02 PM 2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Bro really? Dont be a weenie... Have you seen next weekend's storm? Stop Yea, a few flurries in Newport News then change to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Saturday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:12 PM 9 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Yea, a few flurries in Newport News then change to rain bro not for next weekend lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Saturday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:24 PM 11 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: bro not for next weekend lol The R/s line always ends up further north but even if i doesnt its rain here. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025010406&fh=174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 03:53 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 03:53 PM The latest GFS, fwiw. Still shows a band of snow on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 04:00 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:00 PM 1 hour ago, RVAman said: RIC usually gives us the most hope in this thread. It kind of feels slower this morning. My gut is in a hard place of feeling like I’ll wake up with a dusting followed by freezing rain that gets rid of it all. It’s hard to shake that feeling around here. Models did trend a bit North this morning as well. We are in a tough spot this go around, and no, I don't like what I see. The airport getting an inch is possible, but it's not 100%. Hopefully, the next storm will come through for our region. The back end snow offers the most hope, but the band's location differs from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Saturday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:06 PM Every model this am has the snow trending more south. Not sure what you guys are looking at. Compare the 12z gfs yday to todays 12z gfs and you will see what Im talking about. Euro is still south Icon south other models going toward the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:15 PM 2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Every model this am has the snow trending more south. Not sure what you guys are looking at. Compare the 12z gfs yday to todays 12z gfs and you will see what Im talking about. Euro is still south Icon south other models going toward the euro. The clown maps are underdoing the mixing. Each site has a slightly different algorithm, but they are based on a 10:1 ratio. Sites like TT even tell you that their snow map numbers include sleet. For Metro Richmond, 1-4" is a good forecast but has high bust potential. Also, recent runs (including the Euro) have us turning over to rain for a time. That was not the case until about 24 hours or so ago. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 04:29 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:29 PM I wasn't impressed with this GFS run for next weekend, it heavily impacts the Northeast while we remain on the southern fringe. At least the storm is still present, so maybe the Euro will produce a more favorable outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 04:37 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:37 PM 22 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The clown maps are underdoing the mixing. Each site has a slightly different algorithm, but they are based on a 10:1 ratio. Sites like TT even tell you that their snow map numbers include sleet. For Metro Richmond, 1-4" is a good forecast but has high bust potential. Also, recent runs (including the Euro) have us turning over to rain for a time. That was not the case until about 24 hours or so ago. I think many of us will see 3 inches before it actually mixes. At least 2 inches for sure with that beginning thump. There's 2 to 3 inches right there. And then another one to 2 inches on the backside makes it 3 to 5 inches and that's my call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:40 PM 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: I think many of us will see 3 inches before it actually mixes. At least 2 inches for sure with that beginning thump. There's 2 to 3 inches right there. And then another one to 2 inches on the backside makes it 3 to 5 inches and that's my call I’m prepared to be disappointed tbh. I hope you’re right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 04:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:49 PM Y’all will like the UK. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 04:56 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:56 PM 17 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: I think many of us will see 3 inches before it actually mixes. At least 2 inches for sure with that beginning thump. There's 2 to 3 inches right there. And then another one to 2 inches on the backside makes it 3 to 5 inches and that's my call I think this is a high end possibility and would hope for that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM 33 minutes ago, nj2va said: Y’all will like the UK. Just another possibility and why @wasnow215 is keeping us on our heels. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:57 PM if the UK verified, we would all have over a foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:58 PM Just now, RIC Airport said: Just another possibility and why @wasnow215 is keep us on our heels. I feel like the UK and the euro have been the same basically with the UK a little south of the euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:03 PM 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Just another possibility and why @wasnow215 is keep us on our heels. I thought the CMC looked better too -I've been kind of running around today and I have to work in a little bit but it looks like the CMC gave us some more frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:04 PM The king is coming out soon! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: I thought the CMC looked better too -I've been kind of running around today and I have to work in a little bit but it looks like the CMC gave us some more frozen On the colder side of things, also had a nice band on the back end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 05:16 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:16 PM 15 hours ago, RIC Airport said: The local TV stations are not as conservative. NBC 12 increased their totals, @wasnow215. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:19 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: NBC 12 increased their totals, @wasnow215. They are not totally discounting the models that are showing the more southern tracks. Nor should anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 05:27 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:27 PM 7 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: They are not totally discounting the models that are showing the more southern tracks. Nor should anyone. Euro held strong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:27 PM Someone in Mid Atlantic forum said the euro heavy snow shifted south, can anyone confirm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:29 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: Euro held strong. It's better than the last two runs isn't it? Can one of you amazing people do a comparison map lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:30 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: It's better than the last two runs isn't it? Can one of you amazing people do a comparison map lol? yes, it brings to heavier snows into Richmond. 8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 05:31 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 05:31 PM 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Someone in Mid Atlantic forum said the euro heavy snow shifted south, can anyone confirm? 12z Kuchera vs 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:32 PM Have to like a UK/EURO combo within 48 hours. Not saying we get that much but damn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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