RIC Airport Posted Friday at 08:00 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:00 PM 10 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Massive! Does that include both storms? Yes, but mostly the 1st from looking at the dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 08:36 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:36 PM NAM actually trended south again! But still not much snow, front end thump. Trending in right direction 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM 2 hours ago, ldub23 said: Can Newport News break the 1000+ day streak of not an inch of snow? 3 years to the date that RIC measured over an 1" or 1,095 days. Might be the same for you in the News. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM NAM isn't great, but an improvement. It brings some snow into Central VA, but still mostly sleet/ZR. Hoping it's overamplified as I've heard its bias is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:44 PM The trends have been just terrific for us snow lovers today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Friday at 09:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:09 PM ICON is a significant improvement and gives Richmond area some snow from the Coastal as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:14 PM NAM is awful. How accurate is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Friday at 09:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:17 PM On the other hand, the RGEM looks like a *slight* step back, but basically unchanged (mostly sleet/ice with 1-3" in Central VA). It's a DC/NoVA jackpot with the 6" line near Fredericksburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Friday at 09:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:19 PM 3 minutes ago, RVAman said: NAM is awful. How accurate is it? If I remember correctly, the mets in the main thread state it's wheelhouse is 36-48 hours. Believe they just stated how precip happy it gets, a popular phrase is "getting NAM'd" in the main thread as it always shows a lot but rarely verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 09:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:28 PM We need the upper end of 3”. No grass being seen please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Friday at 09:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:53 PM The GFS does not cave. Going to be virtually identical to 12z. Also significantly drier than other models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted Friday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:22 PM 18z UKMET stays south but only goes out to 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Friday at 10:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:40 PM However, past events when dealing with marginal thermals have often trended towards more sleet/freezing rain as opposed to snow across much of the area. As such, confidence in precip types remains rather low. However, confidence in an impactful winter event with at least Winter Weather Advisory level snow/sleet/freezing rain has increased. Winter Storm Watches will likely be need for a portion of the FA (the highest confidence being along and N of I-64 with Richmond being in an area of greater uncertainty). However, per collaboration with WPC and neighboring offices, will hold off on any headlines for this update cycle and will reevaluate overnight. From Wakefield 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 10:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:49 PM Mighty quiet in here. Have we lost hope? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 10:59 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:59 PM I’m still pumped! Everything shifted south. GFS even inched south. i’m more worried about a dry slot screwing everything up. I think we will get snow on front and back end and it probably will mix w/ sleet and freezing rain in middle. Waiting on someone to post the 18z euro when it is available . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 11:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:03 PM I’ll be satisfied with no less than 2 inches. Take it or leave it! (As I tell my wife) jk jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 11:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:09 PM RIC Airport sent me this. John Bernier is my go-to trusty local guy. I’d be happy with this. Hopefully we edge out the 4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:20 PM 31 minutes ago, RVAman said: Mighty quiet in here. Have we lost hope? I actually never lost hope! Two days ago and everybody was down I just thought we were way too far away from the actual event to give up. I'll save it for the rest of my life. Weather models aren't super reliable any of them outside of 72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:20 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:23 PM 3 minutes ago, RVAman said: RIC gets the hammer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:26 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: RIC gets the hammer I can’t tell if you’re joking or not haha. I trust your opinion greatly. We are nervous yet excited down here. It’s been too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 11:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:27 PM Just now, RVAman said: I can’t tell if you’re joking or not haha. I trust your opinion greatly. We are nervous yet excited down here. It’s been too long. Well, tbh, I can't tell exactly where RIC is by county on these maps...but it looks like yall are barely in the good snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted Friday at 11:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:28 PM 18z Euro 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 11:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:57 PM 30 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, tbh, I can't tell exactly where RIC is by county on these maps...but it looks like yall are barely in the good snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 11:59 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:59 PM 18z still 7-8 inches in RVA, 11” on northside Looks like it ticked north slightly from 12z. There will be fluctuations like this every run but hopefully general track is ironed out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 12:09 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:09 AM 9 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 18z still 7-8 inches in RVA, 11” on northside Looks like it ticked north slightly from 12z. There will be fluctuations like this every run but hopefully general track is ironed out. If Richmond got 7-8 inches I would literally cry. This will be my 2.5 year old son's first snow storm. I hope it does well. Even 2-4 or 4-6 will make me so happy for my boy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM Im actually up visiting my parents house till Tuesday in Fredericksburg so I think we’re good here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM 1 minute ago, RVAman said: If Richmond got 7-8 inches I would literally cry. This will be my 2.5 year old son's first snow storm. I hope it does well. Even 2-4 or 4-6 will make me so happy for my boy. I would appreciate one more decent snow at home before I return to school for my final semester. Who knows where I’ll end up next winter! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:19 AM 6 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: I would appreciate one more decent snow at home before I return to school for my final semester. Who knows where I’ll end up next winter! Our plan is to move to Tampa next January. I hope we can cash in this winter one last time. Been here since 94. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 12:19 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:19 AM 6 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Im actually up visiting my parents house till Tuesday in Fredericksburg so I think we’re good here. You lucky bastard! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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