RIC Airport Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 Richmond set a new daily rainfall record yesterday of 2.73". There was an additional 0.77" since midnight for a storm total precip of 3.50". Not many such wet days over the last 10 years to this was a pretty impressive event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 Looks like you all got more than us, which looks like what was modeled closer to the event, guess we’ll see later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 3 hours ago, Inudaw said: First flakes of the season for Richmond metro area. A few hours to go. Might get a coating if it stays heavy enough. 3 hours ago, SoCoWx said: It is really coming down in the Fan. Beautiful to see after last “winter”. 26 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Looks like you all got more than us, which looks like what was modeled closer to the event, guess we’ll see later. Hopefully not the last, looking for a big event later on. We deserve it! Thank you for the snow pics, @snowchill! Looks like Powhatan and Louisa Counties are the only school districts closed, but there are a slew of delays copied from NBC12's website. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 Officially 0.2" of snow at RIC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 Not a flake here but glad yall got some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 Despite what is being advertised as an unfavorable wintery pattern heading into late December and early January, temperatures on the 12z Euro ensembles for Richmond and Norfolk didn't look torchy, at least now. There are lots of 40s and 50s for highs and a fair amount of subfreezing lows at RIC, although Norfolk's lows were slightly elevated. Today's 18z operational GFS run, however, did have 60s at Richmond and Norfolk for highs on Christmas Day, so of course, things could trend warmer as we get closer. I'm personally rooting for seasonable temperatures while we go through this upcoming pattern because it seems like the last 3-4 years, we've been prone to torch (70+) more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 20 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Despite what is being advertised as an unfavorable wintery pattern heading into late December and early January, temperatures on the 12z Euro ensembles for Richmond and Norfolk didn't look torchy, at least now. There are lots of 40s and 50s for highs and a fair amount of subfreezing lows at RIC, although Norfolk's lows were slightly elevated. Today's 18z operational GFS run, however, did have 60s at Richmond and Norfolk for highs on Christmas Day, so of course, things could trend warmer as we get closer. I'm personally rooting for seasonable temperatures while we go through this upcoming pattern because it seems like the last 3-4 years, we've been prone to torch (70+) more often than not. 12Z Euro and 18Z GFS takes the next storm out to sea. If true, we'll have a chance to dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 7 hours ago, RIC Airport said: 12Z Euro and 18Z GFS takes the next storm out to sea. If true, we'll have a chance to dry out. Cat2 hurricane strength Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 3 hours ago, ldub23 said: Cat2 hurricane strength Yeah, looks like GFS went back west at 00z and the 06z run followed suit, @ldub23. Yay!.... I guess, if you want a winter time coastal that gives us rain and not snow. Also, GFS is still trying to push us into the 60s just in time for Christmas and the day after ahead of a storm that tracks through the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 51 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Yeah, looks like GFS went back west at 00z and the 06z run followed suit, @ldub23. Yay!.... I guess, if you want a winter time coastal that gives us rain and not snow. Also, GFS is still trying to push us into the 60s just in time for Christmas and the day after ahead of a storm that tracks through the Ohio Valley. No cold anywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 The 12Z GFS still has the coastal affecting the area and Hampton Roads, in particular, is clobbered with the worst rains and wind as the storm moves up the coast and meanders for several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 12z Euro is back east with the coastal, barely gets 0.25" up to RIC, but still has 1-2" of rain for Hampton Roads and most of NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted December 12, 2023 Share Posted December 12, 2023 I am good with that amount, my Christmas lights were shorting out with the 3" from the past Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 16 hours ago, JB Fins said: I am good with that amount, my Christmas lights were shorting out with the 3" from the past Sunday. Euro was even further west at 00Z. The 0.25" line basically went from I-95 to US HWY 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 The GFS is still stubbornly further west. Below is today's 06Z where the coastal stalls and meanders off the coast for most of next week, then tries to end the precip as a mix and snow for parts of the state as colder air gets drawn in. Widespread 1-3" of rain for the region, with some places 3-4"+. The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell. Still, no signs of a torch, if anything the Euro Ensembles trended cooler toward the end, but certainly the temps are nothing notable for December if you're looking for true cold. Below are the Euro Ensemble mean daily temps for Richmond and Norfolk the next 15 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 4 hours ago, RIC Airport said: The GFS is still stubbornly further west. Below is today's 06Z where the coastal stalls and meanders off the coast for most of next week, then tries to end the precip as a mix and snow for parts of the state as colder air gets drawn in. Widespread 1-3" of rain for the region, with some places 3-4"+. The El Nino wet pattern that we were waiting for 3-4 months ago, is certainly here as of 3 weeks ago. Now we just need these coastals to get timed with cold. Time will tell. Not seeing any drastic changes on the 12Z GFS for the weekend coastal, precip totals were still 2-3" for many areas. Rain looks to start Sunday afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 Euro caves to the GFS and is even farther west with the coastal storm and brings widespread 2-4" of rain. Pretty wound up, too, @JB Fins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted December 14, 2023 Share Posted December 14, 2023 5 hours ago, RIC Airport said: Euro caves to the GFS and is even farther west with the coastal storm and brings widespread 2-4" of rain. Pretty wound up, too, @JB Fins. I was always leaning towards the GFS because it’s just been doing better lately. I’ll take more rain! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 14, 2023 Share Posted December 14, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 31 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Interesting. I personally rarely look at the Icon. I guess it can be useful for some things, but it rarely leads the way on anything. But, would be cool if it panned out although the heaviest accumulations, as depicted, are north of our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 15 hours ago, Rhino16 said: I was always leaning towards the GFS because it’s just been doing better lately. I’ll take more rain! The 12Z GFS was farther east with the track of the coastal storm than the last 2 or 3 GFS runs. The strongest winds are along I-95 and east. The arrival of the rain is earlier Sunday morning with the heaviest in the afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 Starting to look like high temperatures on Christmas Day will be closer to normal. Obviously still subject to fluctuations, but encouraging if you're wanting a more wintry feeling and not the low-mid 70s we saw on Christmas in 2021 and 2015. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 The 12Z Euro has the coastal slightly east of its last 1-2 runs. Widespread 1-3" of rain. It also has a 2nd low and tries to bring precip with it and perhaps it's cold enough for snow I-95 and west? It's something to watch in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 58 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The 12Z Euro has the coastal slightly east of its last 1-2 runs. Widespread 1-3" of rain. It also has a 2nd low and tries to bring precip with it and perhaps it's cold enough for snow I-95 and west? It's something to watch in the coming days. Euro forms a second low on the heels of the big coastal. It throws moisture westward where it might be cold enough in parts of the Piedmont for snow Tuesday morning, @Rhino16, @snowchill, @JB Fins, @ldub23. I think this was what the Icon was trying to do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted December 14, 2023 Share Posted December 14, 2023 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: Euro forms a second low on the heels of the big coastal. It throws moisture westward where it might be cold enough in parts of the Piedmont for snow Tuesday morning, @Rhino16, @snowchill, @JB Fins, @ldub23. I think this was what the Icon was trying to do. Euro very close to the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 14, 2023 Author Share Posted December 14, 2023 14 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Euro very close to the ICON @ldub23a few ensemble members supports something. Ensemble member 12, the snowiest member, looked interesting, but unlikely to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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