Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[RIC Airport]

33 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

100% -and it looks like returns are coming in more south than some of the short term models and even the GFS had it this morning and 0Z last night. You see that @RIC Airport? Or am I having “radar hallucinations”? Haha
 

Definitely activity to the south of Richmond. It has that SW to NE orientation, but the band looked to be lifting north. So, I imagine precip should begin in the next couple of hours. Dew points are in the low-mid teens, and temps are in the mid-30s, but this band looks heavy enough to wet bulb us to freezing or below, hopefully. As long as the entire column is below freezing.

And yes, better to see the band forming south of us than right over,@wasnow215.

[RIC Airport]

15 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Seeing the same, looks like Danville area is seeing snow make it down per traffic cams so hopefully a good sign for us

I just tried looking around Emporia, and the roads look wet, but the camera is too grainy to know that it's rain, snow....or even sleet. That is probably what the yellow colors are picking up that way. 

https://www.weatherbug.com/traffic-cam/?latlng=36.7029,-77.5497&camId=430919&fbclid=IwAR1ReRnrZczKGm12u22Y7P1qTxNGyC7b4wQxK8UGrzwAeGBaoHGiip7FqH8

 

Also, the AWOS appears to be down, lol. 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kemv

[Stormpc]

That band and orientation looks like the GFS from four or five runs ago. Short-term models didn't have that as significant.  Overrunning is a tough thing to predict. Once that Coastal gets going it may push the best forcing further north, quicker than we want.

[Topher]

Very light snow in northern Newport News.

 

Now big flakes and sleet 

[SoCoWx]

Fwiw, DT basically just called it off for RVA. Said any snow that does fall here will very quickly change over to rain.

[Stormpc]

Snow on the I-64 cameras well South into Newport News almost to the shipyards.

Meanwhile I sit at 44° with partly sunny skies South of the Border on the coast. Not this time for me.

Edit: Friday's system making an abrupt comeback on 12z GFS. That's how Newport News and South can score. Still unlikely but at least there's a chance.

[Topher]

18 minutes ago, Topher said:

Very light snow in northern Newport News.

 

Now big flakes and sleet 

 Dogs first snow since 2021, was in Charleston for a bit, now husband is stationed here for another couple years. 

[Conway7305]

I’m working  down in Williamsburg today. Just started snowing. 

[eaglesin2011]

Yup precip light snow/rain sleet should start in the next hour or two in the Richmond/Henrico area 

[JB Fins]

Just a little bit of pingers and snow as we walked the pug in Tuckahoe.

I would be happy with an inch at this point, just to remind us what it looks like.

[eaglesin2011]

Yep first very, light flakes here in Glen Allen 

[RIC Airport]

Only a tiny window left for any frozen at RIC. Per the sounding chart from the most recent HRRR, the surface temp never gets below freezing. By 2pm, it already has dewpoint and wet bulb above freezing so any precip at that point would be rain. 

[JB Fins]

Ouch 

[RIC Airport]

1 hour ago, Topher said:

 Dogs first snow since 2021, was in Charleston for a bit, now husband is stationed here for another couple years. 

Awesome! Glad they got to see some, even if it was brief. Hopefully there is more before this winter is over. 

[RIC Airport]

29 minutes ago, JB Fins said:

Ouch 

It actually looks like it's happening sooner. The precip just isn't heavy enough to cool the column sufficiently. KRIC started reporting rain at the onset but did go over to sleet.

 

[SoCoWx]

Snowing moderately in Bon Air. Just changed over about 10 minutes ago.

[eaglesin2011]

It prob will turn back over from sleet and rain to snow /sleet rain a few times depending on intensity . Again a few miles is going to make a difference of what everyone gets. It’s back to light snow here in my part of Glen allen at the moment 

[RIC Airport]

1 hour ago, Stormpc said:

 

Edit: Friday's system making an abrupt comeback on 12z GFS. That's how Newport News and South can score. Still unlikely but at least there's a chance.

It looks nice, but I remain skeptical. The 00Z Euro was better last night, but a lot needs to happen for this to become a meaningful event in our region. But we are still several days away, and things can change. The timing of this is when the pattern starts to relax, which is when the more significant storms tend to happen so at least there is that.

 

Also, I was not overly impressed with the ensembles, although the signal is still there.

 

We also need a deeper trough and it goes negative so the storm gets pulled in enough. Maybe the 12Z Euro, which is running now, will offer increased support south of 40N. 

[Sernest14]

Finally some flakes in ashland.  Looks like it should stay snow for a bit and pick up based on radar

[JFLETCHER]

6 minutes ago, Sernest14 said:

Finally some flakes in ashland.  Looks like it should stay snow for a bit and pick up based on radar

I'm in Ladysmith 18 miles from you. Hopefully we can cash in.

[tigersaint11]

We've got light snow and 34 degrees in Hanover...started to pick up a bit in the last 20 minutes.

[RIC Airport]

Radar is still looking decent, hopefully most people can get a dusting if the rates cool the temperatures enough. 
 

[wasnow215]

Snow on the east end. Not sticking 

[mikeeng92]

Snow 33 in tuckahoe. 

[Dick_LeBoof]

Some good looking banding beginning to form now on the radar!  Hopefully the column stays cold.  

 

 

[RIC Airport]

55 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

It looks nice, but I remain skeptical. The 00Z Euro was better last night, but a lot needs to happen for this to become a meaningful event in our region. But we are still several days away, and things can change. The timing of this is when the pattern starts to relax, which is when the more significant storms tend to happen so at least there is that.

We also need a deeper trough and it goes negative so the storm gets pulled in enough. Maybe the 12Z Euro, which is running now, will offer increased support south of 40N. 

 

FWIW, this is what the 12z Euro had for Friday. But, we can enjoy today before FWIW, this is what the 12z Euro had for Friday. But we can enjoy today before getting reeled in on another event that has its challenges.

[Sernest14]

Sticking minus concrete/roads- hopefully can pick up and have those start to cave too

[RIC Airport]

Everyone north of the yellow should be all snow. 
 

 

[eaglesin2011]

Big flakes now hopefully the turnover holds off a few more hours.. definitely on the line for sure 

[wasnow215]

Sticking now east end