JB Fins Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Just a little bit of pingers and snow as we walked the pug in Tuckahoe. I would be happy with an inch at this point, just to remind us what it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Yep first very, light flakes here in Glen Allen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 Only a tiny window left for any frozen at RIC. Per the sounding chart from the most recent HRRR, the surface temp never gets below freezing. By 2pm, it already has dewpoint and wet bulb above freezing so any precip at that point would be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, Topher said: Dogs first snow since 2021, was in Charleston for a bit, now husband is stationed here for another couple years. Awesome! Glad they got to see some, even if it was brief. Hopefully there is more before this winter is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 29 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Ouch It actually looks like it's happening sooner. The precip just isn't heavy enough to cool the column sufficiently. KRIC started reporting rain at the onset but did go over to sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Snowing moderately in Bon Air. Just changed over about 10 minutes ago. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 It prob will turn back over from sleet and rain to snow /sleet rain a few times depending on intensity . Again a few miles is going to make a difference of what everyone gets. It’s back to light snow here in my part of Glen allen at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, Stormpc said: Edit: Friday's system making an abrupt comeback on 12z GFS. That's how Newport News and South can score. Still unlikely but at least there's a chance. It looks nice, but I remain skeptical. The 00Z Euro was better last night, but a lot needs to happen for this to become a meaningful event in our region. But we are still several days away, and things can change. The timing of this is when the pattern starts to relax, which is when the more significant storms tend to happen so at least there is that. Also, I was not overly impressed with the ensembles, although the signal is still there. We also need a deeper trough and it goes negative so the storm gets pulled in enough. Maybe the 12Z Euro, which is running now, will offer increased support south of 40N. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Finally some flakes in ashland. Looks like it should stay snow for a bit and pick up based on radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 6 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: Finally some flakes in ashland. Looks like it should stay snow for a bit and pick up based on radar I'm in Ladysmith 18 miles from you. Hopefully we can cash in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tigersaint11 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 We've got light snow and 34 degrees in Hanover...started to pick up a bit in the last 20 minutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 Radar is still looking decent, hopefully most people can get a dusting if the rates cool the temperatures enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Snow on the east end. Not sticking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Snow 33 in tuckahoe. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Some good looking banding beginning to form now on the radar! Hopefully the column stays cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 55 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: It looks nice, but I remain skeptical. The 00Z Euro was better last night, but a lot needs to happen for this to become a meaningful event in our region. But we are still several days away, and things can change. The timing of this is when the pattern starts to relax, which is when the more significant storms tend to happen so at least there is that. We also need a deeper trough and it goes negative so the storm gets pulled in enough. Maybe the 12Z Euro, which is running now, will offer increased support south of 40N. FWIW, this is what the 12z Euro had for Friday. But, we can enjoy today before FWIW, this is what the 12z Euro had for Friday. But we can enjoy today before getting reeled in on another event that has its challenges. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Sticking minus concrete/roads- hopefully can pick up and have those start to cave too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 Everyone north of the yellow should be all snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Big flakes now hopefully the turnover holds off a few more hours.. definitely on the line for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Sticking now east end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tigersaint11 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 32 and moderate snow in Hanover...elevated surfaces have a dusting....yard is getting there too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 It’s been this way for a long time, but we can see how the short term models that had the snow missing to the north were absolutely wrong even 6z this morning. Nothing is perfect but still the euro and the GFS most reliable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 12 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: It’s been this way for a long time, but we can see how the short term models that had the snow missing to the north were absolutely wrong even 6z this morning. Nothing is perfect but still the euro and the GFS most reliable. I was just about to mention that the GFS certainly had a better handle on this band, while others had it farther north, and most of the Richmond area was getting fringed. The GFS had RIC a bit too cold, though, and had RIC down to 27°F at 7am when it was only 33°F at the time. Every event is different. In the big storms, often, the short-range models can pick up on warm air aloft that the bigger models don't pick up as well. The February 14-18, 2003 (PD II) storm comes to mind. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blzbba Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Pretty snow with big flakes and some (occasional sleet mixing) for about an hour now in Chesterfield, sticking on the grass. Better than last year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Decent coating so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 35 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Everyone north of the yellow should be all snow. Unfortunately, the yellow is advancing northward, so sleet will likely start mixing back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Hopefully this band stalls a bit before pulling north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, mikeeng92 said: Hopefully this band stalls a bit before pulling north. Yes, that would be great if it stayed long enough to give everyone at least an inch or two. Maybe all it takes is another hour at these rates. KRIC actually reached freezing with moderate snow about 30 mins ago, and no model, at least since 00z, has had it this cold this late in the day. Remember the HRRR sounding I posted? At some point, you just have to nowcast and not look at the models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 18z NAM giving about an inch or so over the next couple hours- fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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