Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 08:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:58 PM 1 minute ago, overcautionisbad said: I promise you I dont want small snow. I honestly would rather it do nothing. Just enought to inconvenience me is really annoying. If I'm going to be inconvenienced, it better be exciting. Just how I am I hear ya, I just want enough snow so my kids can go real sledding and not have to worry about dealing with the mud after one run… Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 08:59 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 08:59 PM 3 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: I promise you I dont want small snow. I honestly would rather it do nothing. Just enought to inconvenience me is really annoying. If I'm going to be inconvenienced, it better be exciting. Just how I am Taking words out of my mouth. At a minimum, lets do BETTER than anything we've already had this year. We have the potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 08:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:59 PM 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: I hear ya, I just want enough snow so my kids can go real sledding and not have to worry about dealing with the mud after one run… Lol Cant blame you there. 3-4 is kind of light for sledding in my experience. 5 would be good for that I think Lol, DT is quiet. Where's his last call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Tuesday at 09:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:00 PM 2 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: I promise you I dont want small snow. I honestly would rather it do nothing. Just enought to inconvenience me is really annoying. If I'm going to be inconvenienced, it better be exciting. Just how I am Well it’s not like we are in a snow belt area here lol.. 3+ storms are rare around here .. enjoy it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:01 PM 1 minute ago, overcautionisbad said: Cant blame you there. 3-4 is kind of light for sledding in my experience. 5 would be good for that I think Lol, DT is quiet. Where's his last call? DT is getting drunk while typing up his usual excuse when wrong. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:10 PM Just now, eaglesin2011 said: Well it’s not like we are in a snow belt area here lol.. 3+ storms are rare around here .. enjoy it Honestly, it seemed to happen a lot more often in the past. Hard as hell to find a list though. Google and ai is no help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted Tuesday at 09:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:19 PM Never seen someone bust every storm like DT does. General public still thinks he's good at what he does for some reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Tuesday at 09:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:20 PM Might be wishful thinking, but this was posted in the SE forum: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:22 PM 1 minute ago, Shad said: Never seen someone bust every storm like DT does. General public still thinks he's good at what he does for some reason. He really fell off after 2018. I know some people who stopped following him as a result. Btw, does anyone know who gorecasted the lowest amount for Richmond last time when we just got ice. Did anyone get that right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 09:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:25 PM Don’t know what WRIC is smokin unless they are counting on high ratios but huge bust potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Don’t know what WRIC is smokin unless they are counting on high ratios but huge bust potential Updated Bernier's Best Bet Map is 5-10"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 09:33 PM Tim Pandajis has an updated map. Will @Stormpcmix? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:35 PM 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Updated Bernier's Best Bet Map is 5-10"? That would be acceptable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 09:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:38 PM 6 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Updated Bernier's Best Bet Map is 5-10"? Would love for him to be right but I’m not buying that personally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:39 PM Just now, RVASnowLover said: Would love for him to be right but I’m not buying that personally You don't think 5 is plausible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:39 PM 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: Don’t know what WRIC is smokin unless they are counting on high ratios but huge bust potential That map will be redone. Just now, RVASnowLover said: Would love for him to be right but I’m not buying that personally Truthfully they’re trying to save their ass from the 12 pm map. Expect it to go down dramatically by tonight’s news. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 09:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:43 PM 3 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: You don't think 5 is plausible? The low end of that is definitely possible. High end seems very unlikely at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:45 PM Seems they are leaving it open due uncertainty about a deformation zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 09:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:48 PM DT says his last call snow map is at 6 pm. So middle of the 00z runs around 11 tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 09:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:54 PM GFS was realistic between 5-6 for RVA. It does look like the low comes closer to the coast this run FWIW. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:54 PM 4 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: DT says his last call snow map is at 6 pm. So middle of the 00z runs around 11 tonight lol He will backtrack significantly or he’ll be stubborn and keep totals up to 10. WRIC is being irresponsible in my opinion with this map. The comments on Facebook just show how uninformed people are. I went to the grocery store at lunch and people are mass purchasing groceries. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:55 PM We are now in nowcasting mode. Models are virtually going to be locked in. If the NAM busts open again at 0z it’ll be a major outlier and the only model doing so. 3-5 is still the best bet. I think JB is trying to help Matt not look awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 09:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:56 PM 1 minute ago, RVAman said: We are now in nowcasting mode. Models are virtually going to be locked in. If the NAM busts open again at 0z it’ll be a major outlier and the only model doing so. 3-5 is still the best bet. I think JB is trying to help Matt not look awful. So JB is another met on WRIC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:56 PM If someone could please post DTs final map when he posts that’d be great. He blocked me after calling him out years ago for his maps being irresponsible and looking for clicks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 09:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:57 PM Just now, wasnow215 said: So JB is another met on WRIC? John Bernier is the chief meteorologist at WRIC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:00 PM 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: We are now in nowcasting mode. Models are virtually going to be locked in. If the NAM busts open again at 0z it’ll be a major outlier and the only model doing so. 3-5 is still the best bet. I think JB is trying to help Matt not look awful. Guess we'll see tomorrow. One thing is for sure. The airport will measure 2 inches no matter what 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 10:02 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 10:02 PM 8 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: GFS was realistic between 5-6 for RVA. It does look like the low comes closer to the coast this run FWIW. Almost identical to 12z, maybe not as high in Hampton Roads, but probably noise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 10:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:03 PM NBC 12 about 8 minutes ago. These ranges seem a bit like cop outs honestly. Big difference between 2 and 6. 5 and 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:06 PM Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:10 PM These so called NAM resolution issues earlier. I wonder if it had any bearing on us. Probably not. Will see at 0z. I know the low pressure offshore SC/NC during the storm has been jumping around a LOT. Also intense thunderstorms in the GOM may have robbed some moisture on 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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