overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM Just remember WRIC has John Bernier and that guy is very experienced with this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:56 PM 1 minute ago, overcautionisbad said: Just remember WRIC has John Bernier and that guy is very experienced with this area. He is. He also knows the coastal area pretty well. He is the most seasoned remaining once Duncan stepped down and then rejoined 6 part time. Like I said, 12 hugs the Euro like clockwork. I don't watch Zach on 6 too much but he seems to know his stuff as well. Bernier and 8 taut their most accurate award for several years running, I just don't know who awards those. It should be us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM 4 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Just remember WRIC has John Bernier and that guy is very experienced with this area. Sorry what is WRIC showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:59 PM 2 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Just remember WRIC has John Bernier and that guy is very experienced with this area. Bernier came to my 5th grade class back in 1985. He was fairly new to the area. That was 40 years ago, and still going strong! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM Just checked the soundings to go along with the 700mb fronto plot. Someone is getting hit pretty good 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Sorry what is WRIC showing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Tuesday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:03 PM Looks like the UKIE is sticking with the northern trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:04 PM 2 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Thanks wasn't sure what map was what. Has anyone else changed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Tuesday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:06 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Thanks wasn't sure what map was what. Has anyone else changed? I think they are in the midst of changing...I went to WTVR and NBC12 and maps are either hard to find or taken down for updating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM Sometimes they just have the feels. Still sticking with 6-8 around here but certainly won’t be surprised to see 8-12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:09 PM NBC12 appears to hold tight with their 2-6 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted Tuesday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:11 PM @RVAman I think you have changed your forecasts more than all of tv mets combined my guy This one sure is playing with everyone’s emotions. Can’t wait to see how shakes out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 05:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:14 PM 1 minute ago, Rvarookie said: @RVAman I think you have changed your forecasts more than all of tv mets combined my guy This one sure is playing with everyone’s emotions. Can’t wait to see how shakes out I went from 3-5 to 2-4 to 1-2 now to 4-6. I think that’s pretty similar to what tv Mets have done. This system is just bonkers. Models have gone so many different ways. If I was getting paid the big bucks for guessing what I guess that’s pretty much exactly what they’re all doing haha. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RicwxSaint Posted Tuesday at 05:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:16 PM 14 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: Bernier came to my 5th grade class back in 1985. He was fairly new to the area. That was 40 years ago, and still going strong! I vividly remember the same visit but to a different area elementary school. It was actually snowing the morning he came and he told us he thought we would go home early. Everyone loved him from that moment on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 05:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:20 PM 3 minutes ago, RicwxSaint said: I vividly remember the same visit but to a different area elementary school. It was actually snowing the morning he came and he told us he thought we would go home early. Everyone loved him from that moment on. Matt DiNardo came to my 3rd grade class. I was very into weather back then and knew a lot of terminology other kids didn’t. He pulled me up on stage and gave me a few minute interview on TV. Wish I could find it but that is over 22 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:21 PM 15 minutes ago, JB Fins said: This is very bullish. Could be right but has high bust potential. 4-6" seems reasonable for now. Even the day before, models are struggling with all of the moving pieces. Will continue to see what the short range models say. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:23 PM I'm going 4-8 now. Final call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Tuesday at 05:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:24 PM This or that? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM 5 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: This is very bullish. Could be right but has high bust potential. 4-6" seems reasonable for now. Even the day before, models are struggling with all of the moving pieces. Will continue to see what the short range models say. Idk, felt like NAM got last week right when all else got it wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Just now, overcautionisbad said: Idk, felt like NAM got last week right when all else got it wrong NAM is very good at depicting where the sleet line will be. It can sometimes be a little too juiced up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:29 PM 7 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: This is very bullish. Could be right but has high bust potential. 4-6" seems reasonable for now. Even the day before, models are struggling with all of the moving pieces. Will continue to see what the short range models say. High bust potential yes- however things are trending in the favor of this. The ULL and additional moisture is adding to these totals. Precip shield is way more prominent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: NAM is very good at depicting where the sleet line will be. It can sometimes be a little too juiced up. That's probably what everyone thought in 2018 too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM What worries me is the Euro is so far off from the NAM projection. Either the Euro caves or the NAM caves. I don’t recall ever seeing the Euro cave at 24 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 05:33 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM EURO not moving much now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: What worries me is the Euro is so far off from the NAM projection. Either the Euro caves or the NAM caves. I don’t recall ever seeing the Euro cave at 24 hr. Very difficult to go against the King. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:38 PM The Euro did jog NW from 0z so an improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted Tuesday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:40 PM 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Seems like the Euro is keeping QPFs way down? Can someone explain what drives moisture forecast for this setup? Is it how close the coastal low gets? Or related to energy from the gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:41 PM Euro is a step NW. showing the moisture expanding further as well. I can go against the king now. I’m willing to bet it’s wrong. I could very well be wrong but there are signs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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