AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Ukie was the most amped with mixing to dc at 12z. Very interested now to see what it spits out, not to mention the Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, jlewis1111 said: That would be great if it was monday 0z run bro not sat 0z run with 4 days to go True lol-IF it's a trend. Like I said CMC was the most NW 12 hours ago -now it's the most SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, wasnow215 said: True lol-IF it's a trend. Like I said CMC was the most NW 12 hours ago -now it's the most SE. UKmet was most north west at 12z today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Ukie was the most amped with mixing to dc at 12z. Very interested now to see what it spits out, not to mention the Euro You're right my bad. I mixed up my non US globals lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Inudaw said: UKmet was most north west at 12z today. Yes I realize that now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Ukie was the most amped with mixing to dc at 12z. Very interested now to see what it spits out, not to mention the Euro 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Yes I realize that now 00z GEFS coming in slightly better, fwiw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: 00z GEFS coming in slightly better, fwiw. North of the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: 00z GEFS coming in slightly better, fwiw. Ensembles worth a ton right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS still produces nothing for Hampton Roads Southside and North Carolina so I'd rather not pay attention except to look for the trends. I'm going to hug the snowiest models and go to sleep. Thank you CMC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: North of the op? 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Ensembles worth a ton right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Not sure that is done, I'll refresh and update in a few. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Not sure that is done, I'll refresh and update in a few. You really provide some quality analysis and graphics in this thread. Thank you! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 My gut tells me south and east is still good at this point. Gives wiggle room with temps. To @AlexD1990's point what I don't like is those runs were drier also. That trend needs to stop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Just now, AlexD1990 said: You really provide some quality analysis and graphics in this thread. Thank you! Just now, wasnow215 said: My gut tells me south and east is still good at this point. Gives wiggle room with temps. To @AlexD1990's point what I don't like is those runs were drier also. That trend needs to stop. Thank you, @AlexD1990 Here is an updated map, @wasnow215. This should cover the entire event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Real quick -LAST NIGHT'S 0z CMC was very amped and pretty much all sleet in RVA. 24 hours later most SE. Onto the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Thank you, @AlexD1990 Here is an updated map, @wasnow215. This should cover the entire event. I'm certainly not kicking it out of bed, fringed lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: You really provide some quality analysis and graphics in this thread. Thank you! I'm moving to Chicago the end of next month. Thread members need to nominate a new leader for next winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: I'm certainly not kicking it out of bed, fringed lol How much did you get from the January 2022 and January 2018 coastal blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Btw-I used to sleep pretty good til about the first week of January lol. Can't Euro be shifted an hour earlier? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: I'm moving to Chicago the end of next month. Thread members need to nominate a new leader for next winter. Need a skilled map person lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS was not that bad in the last storm. It nailed the heavy snow band and had QPF right. It was just unfortunate that instead of snow it was a pretty bad ice storm for most of us. Trends look fine for this storm imo. Instead of a north trend we lee getting a deamp trend but it still is a nice snowstorm either way. Could easily tren back to a larger storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: How much did you get from the January 2022 and January 2018 coastal blizzard? Lol I'm getting old in that I can't automatically remember. I do remember getting stuck at my parents house after checking up on them in 2018, and I had a Jeep. I do believe both storms were 10"+ I was also one of the few that made our really well in the Boxing Day Storm, that was also 10-12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Need a skilled map person lol Is this where I mention that my day job is a GIS Analyst? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, chris624wx said: Is this where I mention that my day job is a GIS Analyst? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, chris624wx said: Is this where I mention that my day job is a GIS Analyst? Done then - you're it! Lol-Your compensation will be exactly the same as @RIC Airport! Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, wasnow215 said: Done then - you're it! Lol-Your compensation will be exactly the same as @RIC Airport! Haha The adoration of greatful snow weenies east of i-95? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, mikeeng92 said: GFS was not that bad in the last storm. It nailed the heavy snow band and had QPF right. It was just unfortunate that instead of snow it was a pretty bad ice storm for most of us. Trends look fine for this storm imo. Instead of a north trend we lee getting a deamp trend but it still is a nice snowstorm either way. Could easily tren back to a larger storm. Agreed, Over the years Ive seen these storms trend right back to its amped solutions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: GFS was not that bad in the last storm. It nailed the heavy snow band and had QPF right. It was just unfortunate that instead of snow it was a pretty bad ice storm for most of us. Trends look fine for this storm imo. Instead of a north trend we lee getting a deamp trend but it still is a nice snowstorm either way. Could easily tren back to a larger storm. I kept looking at "snowdepth" on US Weather for real amounts and it wasn't near the high numbers 10:1 was showing. Snow depth to me is the most conservative maps to view anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Conway7305 said: Agreed, Over the years Ive seen these storms trend right back to its amped solutions I think tomorrows sets of runs are where things will probably settle in to close to the final solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: The adoration of greatful snow weenies east of i-95? Lol Yes and man if we could we would have him start out with 4" of free snow in his backyard! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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