Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[wasnow215]

1 minute ago, RVAman said:

I said I didn’t think you’re lying. I was just curious to see if it was actual temps or an app my guy. Holy.  

You actually said that's very low for what was projected and that's what I said. So you just repeated the same thing I said in my original reply. It's from the WeatherBug app

[wasnow215]

Just now, wasnow215 said:

You actually said that's very low for what was projected and that's what I said. So you just repeated the same thing I said in my original reply. It's from the WeatherBug app

My question was would that have any effect for tomorrow or is it just radiational cooling because it's clear right now. I also mentioned it's been this way all winter that the projected temperatures have been higher than the actual temperatures especially in the morning before noon.

[wasnow215]

7 minutes ago, RVAman said:

I said I didn’t think you’re lying. I was just curious to see if it was actual temps or an app my guy. Holy.  

NWS for Petersburg at the airport is 28° right now

[RVAman]

4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

You actually said that's very low for what was projected and that's what I said. So you just repeated the same thing I said in my original reply. It's from the WeatherBug app

I guess you’re just naturally argumentative. I’m not here to debate about anything. If you think I’m saying you’re lying by my comments that’s fine, but I wasn’t. There’s a difference between apps and actual temperatures. For example, the weather app on iPhones tends to exaggerate everything and is completely wrong on start times, even for rain. If you use weather bug for that, great- nothing wrong with that. I just know sometimes apps are wrong and was curious if you had an outdoor thermometer to verify it. I hope I cleared that up enough for you. Back to the system we’re tracking. 

[RVAman]

Every model besides the HRRR have gone North. Including the GFS. Uh oh

[RIC Airport]

The latest HRRR, which runs every hour, has some intense rates around RIC between 1-3pm tomorrow, but it only has surface temps of about 33-34 degrees. This is only thru 3pm.

 

[RIC Airport]

5 minutes ago, RVAman said:

Every model besides the HRRR have gone North. Including the GFS. Uh oh

Looks like the GFS is correcting from earlier runs. Looking more like the Euro now. 

[Conway7305]

What a sharp cutoff

[RIC Airport]

Here is the 00z Euro, there was actually an uptick for RIC from the 18z and 12z runs. 

[RIC Airport]

This run only goes out 18 hours, but the the latest HRRR still suggest 1-2" per hour rates (10:1 ratio) starting at about 1pm, @wasnow215. 

Surface temps during that time hovering just above freezing unfortunately cuts down on ratios. 

 

 

[RIC Airport]

RIC is down to 28°F, colder than progged, @wasnow215, @RVAman. This could bode well if the models remain 1-2 degrees too warm. If you believe the HRRR and 3K NAM, there could be a nice surprise later this morning and especially in the afternoon. I'd be happy if RIC overperforms and my hunch is too low.

[seether]

26 here in Chester, Va near Thomas Dale High according to my home weather station but could be a degree or 2 too cold, either way we are WELL below predicted.

[seether]

Weather Channel has went from 1-3 in Chester, va when I went to bed at 11 Pm to 5-10 this morning at 4 am.

[seether]

New update, Back to 3-6 lmao.

[RIC Airport]

1 hour ago, seether said:

New update, Back to 3-6 lmao.

Temps are also up now that clouds rolled in. RIC now at 33, but precip is on the doorstep.

[Conway7305]

Wherever the banding sets up wii be key to those higher accumulations.

 

[Stormpc]

Farmville to Lynchburg to Roa currently getting thumped. That's a favorable vector for Ric for this 1st round to get it started. 

[Conway7305]

Anyone seeing snow yet?  Must be not hitting ground yet.  Radar looks solid