Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 07:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:17 PM 15 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: still dont believe any of it. Its just to warm imo 18z data will tell. If S shift is real on Euro and continues, then we should be solidly in the game instead of fringed. Also need the NAM to come back around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Sunday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:22 PM Wife just got home from JMU visiting daughter, treating roads all the way home on 64. No surprise to maintain budgetary numbers but just sharing. As far as the main board or thread goes, thanks again to RIC Airport for keeping this thread alive when Midlo dialed it back to do, I am sure, more important things, than moderate the occasional train wreck. What grates my cheese, and it has been this way a long time, the folks that preach no regionalism hate from time to time, are some of the biggest offenders. As stated, it's weather, it's going to weather. Don't tell us to move, kids and life events make that impossible for most. So, that is why sometimes, I root for us to jackpot and for them to get shut out although, it is a lot more fun when everybody scores even our more further south bretheren. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 07:26 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 07:26 PM Here is the latest map from AKQ, updated about 10 minutes ago. You can tell they didn't collaborate with RNK in the Buckingham and Appomattox areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 07:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:38 PM 14 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Wife just got home from JMU visiting daughter, treating roads all the way home on 64. No surprise to maintain budgetary numbers but just sharing. As far as the main board or thread goes, thanks again to RIC Airport for keeping this thread alive when Midlo dialed it back to do, I am sure, more important things, than moderate the occasional train wreck. What grates my cheese, and it has been this way a long time, the folks that preach no regionalism hate from time to time, are some of the biggest offenders. As stated, it's weather, it's going to weather. Don't tell us to move, kids and life events make that impossible for most. So, that is why sometimes, I root for us to jackpot and for them to get shut out although, it is a lot more fun when everybody scores even our more further south bretheren. I'll be very clear about that last part. I have to assume people who say that are joking. Because if anybody lives in a region of the country or moves their family there because of snow they are completely insane. And if they talk about it and they're being serious about it there's some insanity there too lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 07:43 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 07:43 PM Watches just issued to our west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 07:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:53 PM 9 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Watches just issued to our west. Winter Storm Watch here now!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:54 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 VAZ048-060>062-068-069-509>516-100400- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0004.250211T1300Z-250212T1500Z/ Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Amelia-Powhatan- Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches and ice accumulations around two tenths of an inch possible around the eastern Piedmont. * WHERE...A portion of central Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100400- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0004.250211T1800Z-250212T1500Z/ Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Accomack- 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of southeast Maryland and southeast Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 VAZ064-075>078-082-083-085-517>522-100400- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0004.250211T1500Z-250212T1500Z/ Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Charles City-New Kent-Middlesex-Western King William-Eastern King William- Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex- 251 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow and mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches and ice accumulations around a light glaze possible. * WHERE...Portions of east central, eastern, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 08:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:16 PM Thanks @yoda! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 08:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:21 PM Once again the NAM looks to go N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:26 PM 4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Once again the NAM looks to go N. Tomorrow it'll be in range then I'll be concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 08:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:28 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Tomorrow it'll be in range then I'll be concerned 6 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Once again the NAM looks to go N. It actually ticked south from 12 Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:34 PM 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: It actually ticked south from 12 Z Yeah it’s a hair south from 12z but still North, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM 19 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Once again the NAM looks to go N. 12 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: It actually ticked south from 12 Z 6 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Yeah it’s a hair south from 12z but still North, NAM is colder, but is basically a IP/ZR fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: NAM is colder, but is basically a IP/ZR fest. It looks like the NAM slides the initial batch of moisture more NW instead of W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 08:51 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 08:51 PM 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: It looks like the NAM slides the initial batch of moisture more NW instead of W. Yeah, and that was the 3K NAM only through hour 60. Look at the ZR amounts on the 12K NAM through hour 84, although probably overdone. Once RIC hits freezing, it's at freezing all night with ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 08:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:59 PM The DAMN NAM…lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 09:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:01 PM Unbelievable, the GFS throws us a HECS and the Nam gives us zilch. We are within 2 days of event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 09:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:08 PM Is the NAM even accurate this far outt or is it usually a better model 24 hours to the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 09:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:15 PM @Conway7305 @RIC Airport icon and RGEM solid!-irs all the models pretty much vs the NAM? I feel pretty good about that lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 09:26 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 09:26 PM 10 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: @Conway7305 @RIC Airport icon and RGEM solid!-irs all the models pretty much vs the NAM? I feel pretty good about that lol GFS is starting soon, so we'll see if it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Sunday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:32 PM Nam tends to run warm too so keep that in mind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 09:52 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 09:52 PM GFS not backing down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 09:53 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 09:53 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: GFS not backing down 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 09:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:59 PM 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Surface temps are colder throughout! Little help with the pics @RIC Airport 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Sunday at 10:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:00 PM Looks like it moved the axis of the heaviest snow about 25 mi North. Less down in the Tidewater area as well but that's expected. I don't think there's going to be any accumulation south of Williamsburg. Looking great for areas from Ashland to Alexandria RIC... who knows. That's too fine a line. That could be a major bust in either direction. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Sunday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:06 PM Wow, trying to remember a battle between the models this far apart so close to the onset of an event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 10:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:07 PM Just now, JB Fins said: Wow, trying to remember a battle between the models this far apart so close to the onset of an event. It’s crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 10:10 PM GFS has been the most steady with this storm. Not much waivering from run to run. I’ll have new respect if she wins. Euro has been back a fourth. Will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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