RVAman Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM That’ll take the air outta the balloon real quick. Here we are again. This hobby really sucks lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM NAM will fluctuate, it’s been all over the place. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM I’m gonna throw the towel in until it happens. No more watching models or reading forecasts for me. Hope for the best. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:17 PM So even tho 80% of the model runs since Thursday night have been snowy, the individual model runs that fluctuate to less snow are the ones that are right for SOME on here? Got it! Self inflicting mental anguish lol The blend is what matters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 03:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:19 PM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: So even tho 80% of the model runs since Thursday night have been snowy, the individual model runs that fluctuate to less snow are the ones that are right for SOME on here? Got it! Self inflicting mental anguish lol The blend is what matters Clearly what I’m saying is I’m not going to be concerned about it any longer and wait to see what happens. Never did I say it won’t snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:26 PM By Tue it will be all rain. North shift always happens due to the SE Ridge. Is what it is. Sucks around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:45 PM 21 minutes ago, RVAman said: Clearly what I’m saying is I’m not going to be concerned about it any longer and wait to see what happens. Never did I say it won’t snow. Friday you said "no accumulation". Models disagree. That's all I'm saying. But this is a happy day! My Eagles, A team I've loved and rooted for, been to dozens of games etc etc, for 50 years now (I'm almost 57 lol) are trying to keep the Chiefs from a 3peat! So don't wanna beef with anyone. So I'm gonna hold on my prediction of 3-5", even tho it will be a wet heavy snow, that I made Friday, and we will see what happens! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:50 PM 12z GFS still comming in strong, even S of 6z …FWIW. The NAM Deflated everyone…lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:53 PM Close for RVA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:54 PM 3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 12z GFS still comming in strong, even S of 6z …FWIW. The NAM Deflated everyone…lol GFS amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 03:55 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 03:55 PM 4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 12z GFS still comming in strong, even S of 6z …FWIW. The NAM Deflated everyone…lol Just now, wasnow215 said: GFS amazing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM This hobby will drive you nuts lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 04:06 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:06 PM ABC 8's map. Not sure if the other channels I posted last night updated or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM The main board just hates you guys- everyone saying it’s coming north. I for one hope Richmond gets 16” of snow to quiet those people up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM Of course its backyard talk nothing new with this board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:11 PM Just now, Prestige Worldwide said: The main board just hates you guys- everyone saying it’s coming north. I for one hope Richmond gets 16” of snow to quiet those people up It's all good haha-I've had almost 8" of snow in 2 storms-the 2 Jan storms we had in 6 days. Besides the amount of days in March and April it's 68° and sunny here where it's 50° and dreary up there, is worth living down here just for that hahahahaha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:19 PM 11 minutes ago, Prestige Worldwide said: The main board just hates you guys- everyone saying it’s coming north. I for one hope Richmond gets 16” of snow to quiet those people up lol, hopefully the GFS is correct 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 04:50 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:50 PM 30 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: lol, hopefully the GFS is correct Could the Ukmet portend the 12z Euro? I don't usually look at it, but this is the coldest run in a while. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Sunday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:51 PM trending colder it seems- hopefully euro follows 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:24 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:24 PM I'm liking the Euro so far! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:27 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:27 PM 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: I'm liking the Euro so far! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:31 PM Here are the 12z, 6z and 00z maps for comparison. Euro definitely ticked back south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:35 PM 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Here are the 12z, 6z and 00z maps for comparison. Euro definitely ticked back south. Beautiful!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:38 PM 7 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Here are the 12z, 6z and 00z maps for comparison. Euro definitely ticked back south. Good Trends! Maybe playing catchup to GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:41 PM I do like the little nudge South on the euro. Very razor thin line still which is worrisome. I'll just rely on maps here and not watching TT lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM Will be interested to see the EPS. Hopefully a tick S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:58 PM 12z vs 6z vs 0z EPS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 06:33 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 06:33 PM 28 minutes ago, RVAman said: I do like the little nudge South on the euro. Very razor thin line still which is worrisome. I'll just rely on maps here and not watching TT lol. Surface temps are so marginal. We need precip to start earlier in the morning. Euro has RIC at 29°F at 7 am ahead of the precip, but it's up to 37°F by 11 am when the precip starts, and it just stays at 33°F during the event. Euro has 850mb temps rising above 0°C around 7-8pm. The GFS has RIC at 32° at 7 am and at 36°F by 11 am, dropping to 33°F for most of the afternoon. But, the heavy rates help RIC drop to 32°F at 5 pm, where it stays for the rest of the night. 850mb temps on the GFS don't go above 0°C until Wednesday afternoon. Just highlighting the differences I've seen between the Euro and GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 06:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:37 PM I 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Surface temps are so marginal. We need precip to start earlier in the morning. Euro has RIC at 29°F at 7 am ahead of the precip, but it's up to 37°F by 11 am when the precip starts, and it just stays at 33°F during the event. Euro has 850mb temps rising above 0°C around 7-8pm. The GFS has RIC at 32° at 7 am and at 36°F by 11 am, dropping to 33°F for most of the afternoon. But, the heavy rates help RIC drop to 32°F at 5 pm, where it stays for the rest of the night. 850mb temps on the GFS don't go above 0°C until Wednesday afternoon. Just highlighting the differences I've seen between the Euro and GFS. I like the S shift on the Euro. Hopefully it’s playing catch up to the GFS with colder air entrenched. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted Sunday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:02 PM still dont believe any of it. Its just to warm imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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