RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 10:07 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 10:07 PM 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: according to GFS, it’s a long duration overrunning snow event. 24 hours. Still skeptical but happy it’s holding course 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 10:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:09 PM 3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: according to GFS, it’s a long duration overrunning snow event. 24 hours. Still skeptical but happy it’s holding course That’s actually one of the best runs I’ve seen yet! Lock it up…lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 10:51 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 10:51 PM One reason why this thread exists. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 11:15 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:15 PM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: That’s actually one of the best runs I’ve seen yet! Lock it up…lol AKQ is still favoring north. I also remain skeptical of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Just now, RIC Airport said: AKQ is still favoring north. I also remain skeptical of the GFS. Skeptical of Euro too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Just now, wasnow215 said: Skeptical of Euro too? 18z so far is north of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 11:18 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:18 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: AKQ is still favoring north. I also remain skeptical of the GFS. GFS actual snow depth is 4-6" It's not crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 11:19 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:19 PM 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 18z so far is north of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 11:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:19 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: 18z so far is north of 12z. But we don't look at one run as being a trend right either way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 11:21 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:21 PM 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: But we don't look at one run as being a trend right either way? The GFS was on its own being the coldest and farthest south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:26 PM 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The GFS was on its own being the coldest and farthest south. Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:26 PM Just now, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 11:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:33 PM 7 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. Euro seems to be more distancing itself away from the GFS to me. And we know who usually wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Saturday at 11:34 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 11:34 PM 12 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro has been trending to the GFS this time around so we will see. Gonna waiver back and forth some. 12 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Exactly It's been more consistent so there is that. But, when you look at the ensembles (GEFS/EPS) over the last couple of days, there was always a more northerly signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM Still thinking 4-5 inches for RVA with a max of what GFS is throwing out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Saturday at 11:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:44 PM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Still thinking 4-5 inches for RVA with a max of what GFS is throwing out. I said 3 to 5 about 48 hours ago I'm gonna stick with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Saturday at 11:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:51 PM 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 12:00 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:00 AM People in the main thread are another breed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 12:07 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:07 AM 13 minutes ago, RVAman said: I know I'll be gone, but this would be wonderful! Just hope 18z Euro isn't the beginning of a trend. @wasnow215cautioned that it may not be after only one run. 00z runs will be interesting. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 12:16 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:16 AM 8 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: I know I'll be gone, but this would be wonderful! Just hope 18z Euro isn't the beginning of a trend. @wasnow215cautioned that it may not be after only one run. 00z runs will be interesting. I’m not buying that map from NBC12. I expect by tomorrow evening or Monday morning the totals will be down to 1-3 or 2-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted Sunday at 12:17 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:17 AM Hope y'all in the interior do well with this one, but not enthused a bit for Southside HR. Hopefully we get a better look for a storm before the winter is over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 12:20 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:20 AM 3 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Hope y'all in the interior do well with this one, but not enthused a bit for Southside HR. Hopefully we get a better look for a storm before the winter is over. I hope so too. Sucks it’s halfway to March already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Sunday at 01:03 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:03 AM Wow, aggressive call this early from 12. I mean, they usually hold off on a map until closer I thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted Sunday at 01:35 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:35 AM Eh history would say this will favor areas north of Richmond. Still hope to get at least 2 or 3 inches at the airport. ^^;; 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 02:36 AM Share Posted Sunday at 02:36 AM 0z NAM comes in much better/colder. FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 03:26 AM Share Posted Sunday at 03:26 AM 0z NAM FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Sunday at 03:42 AM Share Posted Sunday at 03:42 AM NAM looking like that is a very good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 04:00 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:00 AM 32 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 0z NAM FWIW GFS still with its larger totals, but RIC proper has no room for error. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Sunday at 04:01 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:01 AM GFS Holds Steady, minor adjustments but nothing crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Sunday at 04:07 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:07 AM 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: GFS still with its larger totals, but RIC proper has no room for error. 3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: GFS Holds Steady, minor adjustments but nothing crazy Timing this run is about 6-7am and surface temps are mostly at 32 during the event. The 850 0C lines creeps close, but remains below freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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