mikeeng92 Posted Thursday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:19 PM I agree, next weeks storm looks like a fail and will probably trend warm for us. Im hoping 2/15- 2/16 is our storm if the block is real and gets going by then. The EURO AI was a nice hit and the ensembles have a decent look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:20 PM We're just not going to do well all the down here on the coast with transient highs and no blocking . That's why I've been checked out the past few weeks haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:23 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Thursday at 10:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:45 PM 50 minutes ago, RVAman said: This is what I’m getting at. Getting excited and posting weenie maps in our region 7-10 days before the event is asking to deflate hopes. Yes, I do hate saying it. I want snow, everyone does. The realistic truth is that we are not in the best position anymore and it quite literally takes a miracle to get a decent 6+ inch event here. We haven’t had 8+ inches in over 7 years. I was messing with you -I have had 7 1/2 inches of snow here in Southwestern Chesterfield Co. Lasted for WEEKS bc of the cold and the fact I live on the shady side of the street lol. it was the best January I've seen in this area in at least several years. How many double digit snowstorms has there been ever in the history of Richmond? 10? 12? Since records have been kept? I think we can score 2-4" of pure snow before sleet etc Tuesday. I'm looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM 18 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: I was messing with you -I have had 7 1/2 inches of snow here in Southwestern Chesterfield Co. Lasted for WEEKS bc of the cold and the fact I live on the shady side of the street lol. it was the best January I've seen in this area in at least several years. How many double digit snowstorms has there been ever in the history of Richmond? 10? 12? Since records have been kept? I think we can score 2-4" of pure snow before sleet etc Tuesday. I'm looking forward to it. I’d like to agree with you but I am highly doubtful we see anything more than a dusting. Like I said, not trying to be a downer. I’m just relying on the last few months / years of the same occurrences happening over and over again. Don’t be shocked to see it ALL shift even well above DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Thursday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:06 PM Just now, RVAman said: I’d like to agree with you but I am highly doubtful we see anything more than a dusting. Like I said, not trying to be a downer. I’m just relying on the last few months / years of the same occurrences happening over and over again. Don’t be shocked to see it ALL shift even well above DC. What about my snow I got here? Haha-the one Sunday night into Monday and then the late Friday into Saturday within 6 days. It was terrific! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Thursday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:25 PM Don't forget ice -also the euro model is the least frozen and snowy. But when it did snow a few weeks ago it had the most snow and people said they had too much but this time Euro is king again? Just funny the mindset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:11 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:11 AM 0z GFS is SOUTH for next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Friday at 04:15 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:15 AM 6 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 0z GFS is SOUTH for next week! How far? 20 more miles please https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020700&fh=126 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:19 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:19 AM 3 minutes ago, ldub23 said: How far? Trying to post pic but too large-way south! Like south of RVA jackpots south! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:23 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:23 AM https://weather.us/model-charts/standard/2025020700/virginia/snow-depth-in/20250212-0900z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:26 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:26 AM I’ve been driving on the road for four hours and just checked the runs. 0z GFS is nice!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:28 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:28 AM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: I’ve been driving on the road for four hours and just checked the runs. 0z GFS is nice!!! Also I read in the other thread about how more info was just ingested into the GFS for this run. MAYBE this is a start of a trend??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:29 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:29 AM 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:32 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:32 AM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: I know it's one run but goodness-actually some wiggle room north for some down here. But I'll sign the dotted line right now for this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:34 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:34 AM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: I know it's one run but goodness-actually some wiggle room north for some down here. But I'll sign the dotted line right now for this! Agreed, Interesting to see the ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:36 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:36 AM Just now, Conway7305 said: Agreed, Interesting to see the ensembles One thing is for sure as a LONG time Eagles fan tracking serves as a good distraction haha. Need kickoff just to get here already! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:37 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:37 AM 0z ICON was decent as well. Storm following a similar path, not as robust. 4-5” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:42 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:42 AM 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: One thing is for sure as a LONG time Eagles fan tracking serves as a good distraction haha. Need kickoff just to get here already! Commanders fan here. You guys played well and deserved the win. Way too many fumbles for us. I will be routing for the Eagles Sunday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:45 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:45 AM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Commanders fan here. You guys played well and deserved the win. Way too many fumbles for us. I will be routing for the Eagles Sunday! I was terrified of Daniels heading in! He's already great and heading towards superstar! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 04:53 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:53 AM Gfs ensembles excellent! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 04:54 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:54 AM 0z ICON, for some reason it cut off S Va but it’s nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 05:22 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:22 AM GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 05:51 AM Share Posted Friday at 05:51 AM Euro N again identicall to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Friday at 12:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:18 PM So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Friday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:06 PM 47 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. How is this possible lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 01:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:24 PM 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. They've sort of been meeting in the 65/35 euro leans range this winter so I think 3 to 5 inches of snow as possible with sleet after 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Friday at 01:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:27 PM 18 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: How is this possible lol I will say that GFS last night had more information put into it they were talking about that on the other thread. Dropsonde? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted Friday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:28 PM Not buying the GFS. It will cave to the Euro soon enough. Probably the 12z or 18z if I had to guess. I get we hope for snow but we also have to be realistic. I’d say a front end snow start following by heavy cold rain is the likely scenario. Likely no accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Friday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:40 PM Yep, we have lived this since the days on Eastern. Shoot, started there on early 2000's and it was the same then, EURO>GFS>NAM>UKMET>CMC YOU ALWAYS WANT THE EURO IN YOUR CORNER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now