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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


RIC Airport
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3 minutes ago, Dick_LeBoof said:

Radar is filling in that dry band now.  I think the next 1.5 hours is our window. 

That filled in a bit ago. Our Southwest side of the state it is done, and it is pushing this way as we speak. At the end of the day, we got measurable snow. It could have been absolutely nothing. While I'm a bit upset the roads didn't cave like I hoped (better for safety and overall emergencies in general) I'm content with 2 inches. 

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LOL at DTs latest update. 

"

115  pm Radar update....    

Everything north and west of the black line is light snow and  snow intensity is so light that I doubt if anybody north of the black line is going to get anything over 2 inches  and that includes Richmond.  In essence everything north and west of the black line is falling apart faster the Kansas City's offense line in the super bowl.. The blue area is represent pockets of moderate snow embedded in the light snow.   

There is No doubt my forecast is going to bust terribly in the Virginia Piedmont and in the Richmond Metro area.  Even worse is the fact that all the short Range model data have also performed  very badly.  

Usually you can anticipate some kind of   error or   break down at some portion of a forecast because of various factors. You  should  expect some kind of glitch in the short range models that  missed a particular aspect of a storm whether it's rain or high winds or cold or snow.  But even early this WED morning all of the short Range models had Richmond getting 5 inches of snow and that is  clearly not happening.  
 
Even the low end snow forecast are going to be wrong . No one  north and west of the  Black line  is getting 2-6” of snow.   And  yeah from what I can   see  all the TVs forecast in the Richmond Metro area are going to bust too.

Raleigh and Northeast North Carolina still have a really good chance of getting three to six inches of snow out of this and Hampton Roads it still has a very good chance of getting eight of more inches out of this

The last two events I did really well and  I was very pleased with the forecast.  Forecast.  but this one  I will end up easily being my worst perform of the winter.  A very difficult and frustrating storm."

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Light to occasionally moderate snow now. Currituck.  Flake size alternating between smaller and fatter dendrites. Sidewalks driveway and Street caved. 25.6°. I suspect the main roads are still okay but that will go down hill real quickly. It's getting dark even with the high Sun angle. That's usually a good sign things are going as planned. Not going outside to measure but I suspect around a half inch. It's real windy as well. Being right on the shoreline it looks like a blizzard at times with the snow blowing off the roofs.

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6 minutes ago, derek015 said:

LOL at DTs latest update. 

"

115  pm Radar update....    

Everything north and west of the black line is light snow and  snow intensity is so light that I doubt if anybody north of the black line is going to get anything over 2 inches  and that includes Richmond.  In essence everything north and west of the black line is falling apart faster the Kansas City's offense line in the super bowl.. The blue area is represent pockets of moderate snow embedded in the light snow.   

There is No doubt my forecast is going to bust terribly in the Virginia Piedmont and in the Richmond Metro area.  Even worse is the fact that all the short Range model data have also performed  very badly.  

Usually you can anticipate some kind of   error or   break down at some portion of a forecast because of various factors. You  should  expect some kind of glitch in the short range models that  missed a particular aspect of a storm whether it's rain or high winds or cold or snow.  But even early this WED morning all of the short Range models had Richmond getting 5 inches of snow and that is  clearly not happening.  
 
Even the low end snow forecast are going to be wrong . No one  north and west of the  Black line  is getting 2-6” of snow.   And  yeah from what I can   see  all the TVs forecast in the Richmond Metro area are going to bust too.

Raleigh and Northeast North Carolina still have a really good chance of getting three to six inches of snow out of this and Hampton Roads it still has a very good chance of getting eight of more inches out of this

The last two events I did really well and  I was very pleased with the forecast.  Forecast.  but this one  I will end up easily being my worst perform of the winter.  A very difficult and frustrating storm."

He’s so full of shit. 

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On 2/16/2025 at 7:20 PM, overcautionisbad said:

Well, I think this century Hampton Roads gets more significant snowfalls than Richmond

On 2/16/2025 at 7:33 PM, DJnVa said:

I know you said "this century", but Norfolk officially recorded 0 snow in 2023 and 2024, so we're due.

On 2/16/2025 at 7:36 PM, chris624wx said:

Yeah the past couple of winters have been sad until we had the event in January 2025, which only really whet the appetite for me haha 

In 2023 and 2024, many areas experienced a notable lack of snow. However, there is some truth that ORF has been performing better than RIC relative to the average and certainly have gotten bigger storms. In fact, ORF was one of the few stations that saw an increase in its 30-year average when the snowfall data from 1991 to 2020 was released, whereas RIC lost 1.5 inches.

For a station with snowfall observations dating back to 1874, consider how many top 10 snowfall months it has recorded this century. We can confidently say that February 2025 will be added to this list.

480722170_682139254252137_6038120886536362916_n.thumb.jpg.2b7009a8bfd6bb6a3d9acc927df21d58.jpg

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2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

In 2023 and 2024, many areas experienced a notable lack of snow. However, there is some truth that ORF has been performing better than RIC relative to the average and certainly have gotten bigger storms. In fact, ORF was one of the few stations that saw an increase in its 30-year average when the snowfall data from 1991 to 2020 was released, whereas RIC lost 1.5 inches.

For a station with snowfall observations dating back to 1874, consider how many top 10 snowfall months it has recorded this century. We can confidently say that February 2025 will be added to this list.

480722170_682139254252137_6038120886536362916_n.thumb.jpg.2b7009a8bfd6bb6a3d9acc927df21d58.jpg

ORF may not get every snow event but they have definitely gotten more big storms than RIC 

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21 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

Euro is King, that’s all I got to say. The strengthening coastal may slow down the precept shield moving to the south east.  

 I think our next window of opportunity will be in early March. I’m only looking at the euro now lol

Apaprently not one hour more than 3 days before. Before that you can't believe it at all.

 

 

Anyway 2:25 measurements. Lower amoutn is car. Higher amount is grass

20250219_142529.jpg

20250219_142548.jpg

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