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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


RIC Airport
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3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Also, we can look at the short-range models, but they are not always precise about where bands will develop. Quite a few places well north of Richmond are doing better than expected. There could always be surprises, and we'll have to wait and see how the rest of today goes.

Also, don't forget about the ULL swinging through tomorrow. It, too, could offer some surprises. Hard to say either way, models have varied on its intensity. 

All of the short-range models I've seen aren't even showing it reaching it Richmond at this point. IF it does, I expect it to be a brief snow shower for an hour or so. I can't imagine it'll be anything that will add additional accumulation. Hope I'm wrong. (I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL AND I SUCK AT ALMOST EVERYTHING SO I COULD BE WRONG ABOUT ALL OF THIS AND WE END UP WITH 5") 

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I have no respect for someone who puts out maps the way he does. If you look at his comments on his last call map it's everyone tagging their entire family saying "OMG WE NEED TO PREPARE". It actually really annoys me how he does that for clicks and solely for monetary purposes. I get it, he's taking advantage of his platform but he also takes advantage of people who aren't well versed in winter weather as much as most of us are. I had coworkers shove his first guess map in my face and preached he is always right, of course they didn't like my rebuttal. 

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2 minutes ago, RVAman said:

I have no respect for someone who puts out maps the way he does. If you look at his comments on his last call map it's everyone tagging their entire family saying "OMG WE NEED TO PREPARE". It actually really annoys me how he does that for clicks and solely for monetary purposes. I get it, he's taking advantage of his platform but he also takes advantage of people who aren't well versed in winter weather as much as most of us are. I had coworkers shove his first guess map in my face and preached he is always right, of course they didn't like my rebuttal. 

Yeah, like I said he used to get some right, but after 2018 he seemed to start putting out more bs maps than when he actually disagreed with other mets.

 

Anyway, 1 pm measurements for North Chesterfield. 1st photo on car. 2nd on grass

20250219_130346.jpg

20250219_130406.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Inudaw said:

Anyone in this red line area is going to get less than other areas around.  

Notgood.png

mcd0118.png.f453bddcd5248ad886aba0906b7c6c16.png

 

esoscale Discussion 0118
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1208 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 191808Z - 192315Z

   SUMMARY...Snowfall rates around 1 in. per hour are possible within a
   snow band in parts of northeast North Carolina and southeast
   Virginia. Immediate coastal areas could see slightly higher rates.

   DISCUSSION...As mid-level ascent continues to increase across the
   Mid-Atlantic this afternoon, a coastal trough is expected to deepen
   offshore. By the evening, a deeper surface low should be present off
   the coast from the Carolinas. This process should promote
   low/mid-level frontogenesis across parts of the region. This already
   appears to be occurring in northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia. Wakefield, VA ASOS has reported heavy snow
   within the last 30-45 minutes. This band should continue to
   translate northeastward through the afternoon into the evening.
   Moderate to heavy snowfall is probable within this band with overall
   rates near 1 in. per hour anticipated. Some areas near the immediate
   coast may see slightly higher rates or at least longer duration snow
   as the frontogenetic lift should be maximized in these areas.
   Snowfall intensity will eventually decrease by late evening into
   Thursday morning. With southern extent, towards central North
   Carolina, more of a mix of wintry precipitation is possible along
   the edge of the snow band as there will be greater influence from
   the low/mid-level warm nose.

   ..Wendt.. 02/19/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   35927883 35887899 35857930 35957960 36087975 36247965
               36497933 37137790 37447667 37427611 37347581 37037561
               36597552 36257570 36077666 36027741 35957839 35927883 
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MD 118 graphic

Mesoscale Discussion 0118
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1208 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 191808Z - 192315Z

   SUMMARY...Snowfall rates around 1 in. per hour are possible within a
   snow band in parts of northeast North Carolina and southeast
   Virginia. Immediate coastal areas could see slightly higher rates.

   DISCUSSION...As mid-level ascent continues to increase across the
   Mid-Atlantic this afternoon, a coastal trough is expected to deepen
   offshore. By the evening, a deeper surface low should be present off
   the coast from the Carolinas. This process should promote
   low/mid-level frontogenesis across parts of the region. This already
   appears to be occurring in northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia. Wakefield, VA ASOS has reported heavy snow
   within the last 30-45 minutes. This band should continue to
   translate northeastward through the afternoon into the evening.
   Moderate to heavy snowfall is probable within this band with overall
   rates near 1 in. per hour anticipated. Some areas near the immediate
   coast may see slightly higher rates or at least longer duration snow
   as the frontogenetic lift should be maximized in these areas.
   Snowfall intensity will eventually decrease by late evening into
   Thursday morning. With southern extent, towards central North
   Carolina, more of a mix of wintry precipitation is possible along
   the edge of the snow band as there will be greater influence from
   the low/mid-level warm nose.
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1 minute ago, RIC Airport said:

mcd0118.png.f453bddcd5248ad886aba0906b7c6c16.png

 

esoscale Discussion 0118
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1208 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 191808Z - 192315Z

   SUMMARY...Snowfall rates around 1 in. per hour are possible within a
   snow band in parts of northeast North Carolina and southeast
   Virginia. Immediate coastal areas could see slightly higher rates.

   DISCUSSION...As mid-level ascent continues to increase across the
   Mid-Atlantic this afternoon, a coastal trough is expected to deepen
   offshore. By the evening, a deeper surface low should be present off
   the coast from the Carolinas. This process should promote
   low/mid-level frontogenesis across parts of the region. This already
   appears to be occurring in northern/northeast North Carolina into
   southeast Virginia. Wakefield, VA ASOS has reported heavy snow
   within the last 30-45 minutes. This band should continue to
   translate northeastward through the afternoon into the evening.
   Moderate to heavy snowfall is probable within this band with overall
   rates near 1 in. per hour anticipated. Some areas near the immediate
   coast may see slightly higher rates or at least longer duration snow
   as the frontogenetic lift should be maximized in these areas.
   Snowfall intensity will eventually decrease by late evening into
   Thursday morning. With southern extent, towards central North
   Carolina, more of a mix of wintry precipitation is possible along
   the edge of the snow band as there will be greater influence from
   the low/mid-level warm nose.

   ..Wendt.. 02/19/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   35927883 35887899 35857930 35957960 36087975 36247965
               36497933 37137790 37447667 37427611 37347581 37037561
               36597552 36257570 36077666 36027741 35957839 35927883 

Yep south of the red line. :P

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1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said:

Typical Richmond. Either too far north, south and in this storm too far west 

Come on, man. We knew this yesterday. The models showed up to 4-5 inches yes, including the GFS. Unfortunately, the short-range modles are more in tune with the actuality of what's happening. 3-4 inches is still possible. I'm close to 2 inches at 1:30 pm. We COULD see another 3-4 hours of snow. 

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3 minutes ago, RVAman said:

Come on, man. We knew this yesterday. The models showed up to 4-5 inches yes, including the GFS. Unfortunately, the short-range modles are more in tune with the actuality of what's happening. 3-4 inches is still possible. I'm close to 2 inches at 1:30 pm. We COULD see another 3-4 hours of snow. 

Oh trust me I’m not surprised at all!!! Best rates of the day so far. See how long it lasts. Take whatever we can get 

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