RIC Airport Posted Wednesday at 03:50 AM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 03:50 AM 00Z GFS below, virtually unchanged from previous 4 runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Wednesday at 03:51 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:51 AM 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Will they go boom or bust? Why did they wait so long. "Trickling into the solutions"??? It's nowcasting time. Seems silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Wednesday at 03:55 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:55 AM 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Why did they wait so long. "Trickling into the solutions"??? It's nowcasting time. Seems silly. They have to wait for the low to get into a specific spot for it to be even useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Wednesday at 04:03 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:03 AM Is it trickling into the 00z ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:10 AM 6 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Is it trickling into the 00z ? Not related but the 00z GFS does depict the ULL better. Those types of ULLs tend to produce quick amounts of accumulation. We can certainly hope. Okay I’m done. Bed time. I hope. One more eye open for any changes. Eyes closing.. eye.. close.. ing.. zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Wednesday at 04:19 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:19 AM 58 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: True enough. Here's NBC 12's update moments ago. Not much change. They say 3-6 in Richmond. 6 is possible south and east. They say it will start between 7am and 10 am and stick immediately Such a lazy forecast- they always do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Wednesday at 04:53 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:53 AM Zach Daniel posted 9 minutes ago. WTVR stuck with its map. Seems WRIC stuck with 5-10 as well. Im starting they just know something I dont and only NBC 12 disagrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Wednesday at 04:57 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:57 AM 2 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Zach Daniel posted 9 minutes ago. WTVR stuck with its map. Seems WRIC stuck with 5-10 as well. Im starting they just know something I dont and only NBC 12 disagrees. Assuming they are running with 15:1. Most qpf is around .4-.5 which puts it in the range then the trickle nw that tends to happen as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Wednesday at 04:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:58 AM 1 minute ago, Sernest14 said: Assuming they are running with 15:1. Most qpf is around .4-.5 which puts it in the range then the trickle nw that tends to happen as well That does make sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted Wednesday at 05:03 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:03 AM Like I said bring me 3-5 inches and ill be happy haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted Wednesday at 05:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:10 AM Radar depiction down in the south at the gulf looks much more amplified (assuming a stronger low). Hopefully can power through more than what the models show to give us a little shift nw. also looked a couple hours early and is heavier in western/central tn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted Wednesday at 05:43 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:43 AM good luck, hope this turns out alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Wednesday at 08:49 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:49 AM Yeah, I'm a night owl. Apparently DT is as well. He updated his forecast after the 00z and some 2 am data. He seems rather confident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Wednesday at 10:37 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 10:37 AM 1 hour ago, overcautionisbad said: Yeah, I'm a night owl. Apparently DT is as well. He updated his forecast after the 00z and some 2 am data. He seems rather confident Lol!! Last call of the last call. 2025 version of defining words. "Last" -coming after all others in time, space or degree. Or in this case "last" AGAIN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Wednesday at 11:22 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:22 AM Nice surprise this morning waking up with that glow through the window. Earlier onset than expected. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Wednesday at 11:39 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:39 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Wednesday at 11:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:54 AM Nice surprise this morning in Scott’s Addition. Anything not treated is snow covered and still getting some light snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Wednesday at 11:58 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:58 AM Hope all of the storms near the gulf doesn’t rob of us any energy, lift 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted Wednesday at 12:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:12 PM I’m thinking 6-8 here in Chester is going to be obtainable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Wednesday at 12:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:23 PM Storm is an unorganized mess right now .. Hopefully it can get its self together or this will be a storm of bands, where a few miles can make a big difference… if your in that Heavy band or not… It’s not snowing here in my part of Glen Allen at the moment but we did get a dusting from the first band that came through… Next one seems to be the doorstep in the next 30mins or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Wednesday at 12:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:34 PM 6 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Storm is an unorganized mess right now .. Hopefully it can get its self together or this will be a storm of bands, where a few miles can make a big difference… if your in that Heavy band or not… It’s not snowing here in my part of Glen Allen at the moment but we did get a dusting from the first band that came through… Next one seems to be the doorstep in the next 30mins or so Check out the radar out of Wilmington NC. Coastal just getting going ahead of the gulf energy. That should get transported north and enhahce the area of snow already breaking out in Central Virginia by noon or so. I think everything looks to be on schedule. I haven't looked at any morning runs but just judging by radar it looks pretty good, in my opinion. On schedule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Wednesday at 12:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:35 PM Snowing here in Henrico. Everything covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted Wednesday at 12:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:37 PM Nice size flakes and intensity so early, I was not expecting everything to be covered by now. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Wednesday at 12:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:40 PM 2 minutes ago, Midlo Snow Maker said: Nice size flakes and intensity so early, I was not expecting everything to be covered by now. LOLOLOLOLOLILIO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Wednesday at 12:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:42 PM Nice band coming through. Still going with 4-6" in the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Wednesday at 12:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:45 PM Didn't take much to get thru virga stage here to your west. First flakes on time! (3rd time this year... wut?! Lol) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Wednesday at 12:46 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:46 PM We could be looking at the higher end of the 3-5 prediction I did if it continues and the low pushes up enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Wednesday at 12:48 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:48 PM Agree with everything is on schedule (maybe even a little ahead) with the storm still organizing it can form the dry air pockets & also rob the moister in the backend of the storm.. looks like it’s already doing . staying in the heavier bands are key to how much accumulation we all get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Wednesday at 12:48 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:48 PM 9Z SREF gives RIC 4" at 10:1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted Wednesday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:53 PM 4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: 9Z SREF gives RIC 4" at 10:1 ratio Should easily be 12-15 to 1 ratios with this storm with temps in low to mid 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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