RIC Airport Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 00Z GFS below, virtually unchanged from previous 4 runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Will they go boom or bust? Why did they wait so long. "Trickling into the solutions"??? It's nowcasting time. Seems silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Why did they wait so long. "Trickling into the solutions"??? It's nowcasting time. Seems silly. They have to wait for the low to get into a specific spot for it to be even useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Is it trickling into the 00z ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Is it trickling into the 00z ? Not related but the 00z GFS does depict the ULL better. Those types of ULLs tend to produce quick amounts of accumulation. We can certainly hope. Okay I’m done. Bed time. I hope. One more eye open for any changes. Eyes closing.. eye.. close.. ing.. zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 58 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: True enough. Here's NBC 12's update moments ago. Not much change. They say 3-6 in Richmond. 6 is possible south and east. They say it will start between 7am and 10 am and stick immediately Such a lazy forecast- they always do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Zach Daniel posted 9 minutes ago. WTVR stuck with its map. Seems WRIC stuck with 5-10 as well. Im starting they just know something I dont and only NBC 12 disagrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Zach Daniel posted 9 minutes ago. WTVR stuck with its map. Seems WRIC stuck with 5-10 as well. Im starting they just know something I dont and only NBC 12 disagrees. Assuming they are running with 15:1. Most qpf is around .4-.5 which puts it in the range then the trickle nw that tends to happen as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Sernest14 said: Assuming they are running with 15:1. Most qpf is around .4-.5 which puts it in the range then the trickle nw that tends to happen as well That does make sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Like I said bring me 3-5 inches and ill be happy haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Radar depiction down in the south at the gulf looks much more amplified (assuming a stronger low). Hopefully can power through more than what the models show to give us a little shift nw. also looked a couple hours early and is heavier in western/central tn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 good luck, hope this turns out alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Yeah, I'm a night owl. Apparently DT is as well. He updated his forecast after the 00z and some 2 am data. He seems rather confident Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, overcautionisbad said: Yeah, I'm a night owl. Apparently DT is as well. He updated his forecast after the 00z and some 2 am data. He seems rather confident Lol!! Last call of the last call. 2025 version of defining words. "Last" -coming after all others in time, space or degree. Or in this case "last" AGAIN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nice surprise this morning waking up with that glow through the window. Earlier onset than expected. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nice surprise this morning in Scott’s Addition. Anything not treated is snow covered and still getting some light snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Hope all of the storms near the gulf doesn’t rob of us any energy, lift 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I’m thinking 6-8 here in Chester is going to be obtainable. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Storm is an unorganized mess right now .. Hopefully it can get its self together or this will be a storm of bands, where a few miles can make a big difference… if your in that Heavy band or not… It’s not snowing here in my part of Glen Allen at the moment but we did get a dusting from the first band that came through… Next one seems to be the doorstep in the next 30mins or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 6 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: Storm is an unorganized mess right now .. Hopefully it can get its self together or this will be a storm of bands, where a few miles can make a big difference… if your in that Heavy band or not… It’s not snowing here in my part of Glen Allen at the moment but we did get a dusting from the first band that came through… Next one seems to be the doorstep in the next 30mins or so Check out the radar out of Wilmington NC. Coastal just getting going ahead of the gulf energy. That should get transported north and enhahce the area of snow already breaking out in Central Virginia by noon or so. I think everything looks to be on schedule. I haven't looked at any morning runs but just judging by radar it looks pretty good, in my opinion. On schedule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Snowing here in Henrico. Everything covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nice size flakes and intensity so early, I was not expecting everything to be covered by now. 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Midlo Snow Maker said: Nice size flakes and intensity so early, I was not expecting everything to be covered by now. LOLOLOLOLOLILIO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Nice band coming through. Still going with 4-6" in the city. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Didn't take much to get thru virga stage here to your west. First flakes on time! (3rd time this year... wut?! Lol) 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 We could be looking at the higher end of the 3-5 prediction I did if it continues and the low pushes up enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Agree with everything is on schedule (maybe even a little ahead) with the storm still organizing it can form the dry air pockets & also rob the moister in the backend of the storm.. looks like it’s already doing . staying in the heavier bands are key to how much accumulation we all get Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 9Z SREF gives RIC 4" at 10:1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: 9Z SREF gives RIC 4" at 10:1 ratio Should easily be 12-15 to 1 ratios with this storm with temps in low to mid 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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