overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: Courtesy of @RIC Airport Average is 4.6 between all models. These are based off of the 18z. That GFS 5.4 is on the 10:1 ratio, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: That GFS 5.4 is on the 10:1 ratio, right? I’m not so sure if these totals are taking account for a higher ratio or not. I imagine they’re based on 10:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Some slight improvements on the 00z HRRR from the 18z. 4-5" around RIC 8-12" across Hampton Roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Some slight improvements on the 00z HRRR from the 18z. 4-5" around RIC 8-12" across Hampton Roads 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Saw this photo of upstate New York 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Ok, seems like more metereologists are shifting more moisture to Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NAM is weaker I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 What time is it starting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I mean the snow in Richmond area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Low is closer to the coast so there is that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, overcautionisbad said: I mean the snow in Richmond area I believe around 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NAM overall isn't much different than the 18z. DT was insane to think otherwise. The precip is a hair more North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 00z NAM 12k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NAM jumped the totals roughly an inch or so over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: 00z NAM 12k I'd be willing to bet that precip that is purple up north ends up being right around Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 NAM is better than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: NAM overall isn't much different than the 18z. DT was insane to think otherwise. The precip is a hair more North. Yep about the same, there is another round that should come in from ULL i think at hour 39 or so that may add another inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NAM still isn’t done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 59 minutes ago, RVAman said: FWIW the HRRR is much juicier. I've never seen HRRR verify RVAman. Ever And it changes from hour to hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: 00z NAM 12k This is also before the ULL. Add on another .5 - 1 inch and you have your total at a 13:1 ratio. 5-7 is very much in the playbook according to the NAM and HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2nd ULL needs to come through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, wasnow215 said: I've never seen HRRR verify RVAman. Ever And it changes from hour to hour The NAM is better than the HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Conway7305 said: 2nd ULL needs to come through NAM won't show that like other models will for whatever reason. It will come through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Low definitely closer to coast this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 NAM better than 18z but not close to 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Just now, wasnow215 said: NAM better than 18z but not close to 12z Right, just looking at 12k. I haven’t looked at 3K, and phone is about to die. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: 00z NAM 12k If this is based on 10:1 ratios, I could see RIC max at 7”. More SE of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: NAM won't show that like other models will for whatever reason. It will come through. any reasoning behind this for the NAM or is it just weakening and dying over the mountains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Sernest14 said: any reasoning behind this for the NAM or is it just weakening and dying over the mountains? I think it has issues with the mountains. I think that giant dry slot in the middle of the system won't occur either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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