RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 07:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:40 PM 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Don't think the 18z HRRR will make many fans. Nope. Both SREF and HRRR are a step back for RIC. Looks like most of our accumulation is going to come from the ULL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 07:41 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 07:41 PM 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: Nope. Both SREF and HRRR are a step back for RIC The ULL seems to save us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 07:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:42 PM 18z NAM running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 07:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:47 PM HRRR has wild swings. I only look at it during the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: Still snowing I-95 and east at hour 48. Sticking with my 4-6" guesstimate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM 10 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: HRRR has wild swings. I only look at it during the event. I never look at it. It's crap. Edit: Too harsh...its not great outside 8 hours... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM Just now, Stormpc said: I never look at it. It's crap. Woah now… it does a pretty phenomenal job during real time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:50 PM 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: HRRR has wild swings. I only look at it during the event. An hour before the next hour lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 07:55 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 07:55 PM Chesterfield Schools will be closing is now the word on the street. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Tuesday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:55 PM What good is a model that tells me what is happening right now? I have windows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM Mark Sudduth @hurricanetrack US Highway 17 between Jacksonville and Bew Bern in North Carolina treated ahead of the anticipated winter storm tomorrow and tomorrow night. I am making my way to Southeast Virginia for all day coverage tomorrow. https://x.com/hurricanetrack/status/1891937076603412783 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:02 PM No big changes so far on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM 3 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Mark Sudduth @hurricanetrack US Highway 17 between Jacksonville and Bew Bern in North Carolina treated ahead of the anticipated winter storm tomorrow and tomorrow night. I am making my way to Southeast Virginia for all day coverage tomorrow. https://x.com/hurricanetrack/status/1891937076603412783 Someone shared this with me. TWC definitely needs to be contacted and tell them how inaccurate this is. There have been multiple 6"+ snowstorms at ORF since 2010. OTTMH in 2022, 2018, 2017, 2014? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM 8 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Chesterfield Schools will be closing is now the word on the street. Chesterfield County goes pretty down south to where we will see higher accumulations. Better safe than sorry at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:04 PM 1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said: No big changes so far on the NAM Nothing really, maybe just a hair S on precip line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted Tuesday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:06 PM 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Nothing really, maybe just a hair S on precip line Precip field is a little more consolidated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Tuesday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:07 PM Initial thump is 50 Mi South. Let's see what happens when this thing turns the corner like on 12z Looks nothing like 12z...shunted south but RIC and south look to do ok 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 08:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:09 PM Unfortunately the low is further SE this run will be less accumulations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Tuesday at 08:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:09 PM Looking like it's going to lose qpf and not as amped on this run. Let's see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted Tuesday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:10 PM Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM I was wrong about the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shadowzone Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM 8 minutes ago, Hyphnx said: Chesterfield County goes pretty down south to where we will see higher accumulations. Better safe than sorry at this point. Definitely closed - announcement coming soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM Snow storm canceled for Baltimore Philly and New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Tuesday at 08:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:14 PM LOL. We lost half our snow in RIC. Great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted Tuesday at 08:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:14 PM Bad 18z NAM run for RIC compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM 18z NAM now more in line with the others and less of an outlier. Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 08:15 PM Well, 15z SREFS gave a heads up as I indicated earlier 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 08:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:16 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM Blows my mind how much they hate RIC getting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:17 PM Sref are pretty much an indicator of what the NAM will most likely do. Works a majority of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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