Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 still snowing at 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Ric will be in a warning. Advisory north and west. If Currituck stays mostly snow they will cash in. Will be interesting to see if that second round of light snow develops late am thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 998 slightly offshore at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Still not done. still snowing at 51 ETA: and 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Wow. Total outlier but you never know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 RIC didn’t we have a surprise storm in 2000 that came closer to coast then forecasters were thinking. Did it have similar setup as this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Just now, Conway7305 said: RIC didn’t we have a surprise storm in 2000 that came closer then forecasters were thinking. Did it have similar setup as this? 1/25/2000 was a surprise, different set up. That formed off the GA/SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 I'll take the 3K please. That 12K is a disaster for anyone south of chesapeake. Or a godsend. Depending on your perspective. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Can we really put much weight into the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 IMO no... so far the outlier. But it's credibility should go up the closer we get to the start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, derek015 said: Can we really put much weight into the NAM? Its been pretty good in this area all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Final 3K NAM run, just amazing!! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Those are almost the amounts we saw on Saturday. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Talk about a NAM bomb. That's going to juice up every forum from Boston through the southeast. Of course it's suspect. Even the 3K looks overdone when comparing other models. But let's see what the rest of the 12 Z Suite brings us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 How can there be a 8" swing in va beach between 12k and 3k? smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, Staged said: How can there be a 8" swing in va beach between 12k and 3k? smh Because the 12K is probably wrong. Has zero support from any other guidance. It happens. I think 3K is probably well overdone as well. I'm rooting for it but it's probably not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 5 minutes ago, Staged said: How can there be a 8" swing in va beach between 12k and 3k? smh 12k has a lot more sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Because the 12K is probably wrong. Has zero support from any other guidance. It happens. I think 3K is probably well overdone as well. I'm rooting for it but it's probably not going to happen. We have burned enough times to not to worry about the 1 model with the least snow lol. But yeah I agree with both points. Although the FV3 showed 16-17 earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 I'm talking more about the far Northwest and Northern extent of what the 12K is showing. That's completely on its own. There's no doubt we're mixing along the immediate Coast but the precip field looks well overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 2 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Both the 3k and 12k picks up mixing for southside Hampton Roads which reduces the numbers there. yeah I noticed that, cant have the good stuff without being close to mixing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 This system is mind boggling. Will the NAM win? Will the king be dethroned by the soon to be retired NAM? STAY TUNED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 What’s encouraging is the HRRR also juiced up with the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Matt DiNardo says their totals map this morning is way too low…. What the hell is going on???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 SREF Plumes looking healthy for KRIC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 16 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Both the 3k and 12k picks up mixing for southside Hampton Roads which reduces the numbers there. Mixing now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 ICON is stuck at 39 hr for me for precip and some totals. Anyone have finals numbers for this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: ICON is stuck at 39 hr for me for precip and some totals. Anyone have finals numbers for this run? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Icon.. less hr.. a bit bump north for the northern blues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 anywhere have the graf free? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 12z RGEM is nice for Hampton Roads and a little better northwest. Doesn't show the ull tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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