derek015 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 minute ago, RVAman said: Watch DT be onto something… I think there’s a 5% chance he’s right but imagine.. I was surprised his first call that came out earlier today was unchanged from his first guess yesterday. He just added a new post about the SREFs increasing precip in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, CavalierHoo said: Someone in the main thread said the NAM 3k was a "shutout for most". Am I wrong or doesn't 95% of Va get snow on that run, and 50% gets more than 8"? THey are referencing Northern VA/DC points north and in Maryland. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, CavalierHoo said: Someone in the main thread said the NAM 3k was a "shutout for most". Am I wrong or doesn't 95% of Va get snow on that run, and 50% gets more than 8"? Think they are mainly from Maryland and north 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Just now, CavalierHoo said: Someone in the main thread said the NAM 3k was a "shutout for most". Am I wrong or doesn't 95% of Va get snow on that run, and 50% gets more than 8"? I posted the 12K and 3K NAM on the last page. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 8 minutes ago, RVAman said: Watch DT be onto something… I think there’s a 5% chance he’s right but imagine.. haha, I hope he is right and if he is, he deserves it. He will let everyone know the NW correction is real…lol On the flip side the NAM could be out to lunch which is a possibility and corrects SE. On another positive note. The latest SREF runs were better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said: Someone in the main thread said the NAM 3k was a "shutout for most". Am I wrong or doesn't 95% of Va get snow on that run, and 50% gets more than 8"? For them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just now, wasnow215 said: For them They don’t like when we get snow. I don’t mind when they do. The difference is when we are projected to get snow and it turns into mixed precip, that’s when it gets annoying. If they win, they win. If we win, they seem to get upset. (Not all or even most, a select few). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 RGEM weaker. ICON was a bit north and west. Icon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 ICON looks good for most in here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 minutes ago, Inudaw said: RGEM weaker. ICON was a bit north and west. Icon Icon gives RIC 6.7”….. 18z icon gave RIC 4.2” Juicier… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The HRRR is looking so good. Quality meaty bands coming through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 10 minutes ago, Dick_LeBoof said: The HRRR is looking so good. Quality meaty bands coming through. Where are you seeing that? 0z isn’t showing that for RIC. About bedtime ladies and gents. 0z will save us. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 00z GFS is an improvement, particularly for RIC. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 DT seems more confident I find it entertaining because he is right sometimes. He is just rather rude and obnoxious. He's been wrong a lot too. It's like he is never humbled by it. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 27 minutes ago, Dick_LeBoof said: The HRRR is looking so good. Quality meaty bands coming through. Looks ok but not as good as NAM. IMO HRRR is more accurate 24 hours before a storms arrival. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Good Trends tonight!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Just now, Conway7305 said: Good Trends tonight!!! Closer local view 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 7 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 00z GFS is an improvement, particularly for RIC. 18z gave RIC 6.3” juicier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Improvement on the southern fringe too with just a hair less sleet. Colder further south than 18z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 7 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Improvement on the southern fringe too with just a hair less sleet. Colder further south than 18z Hoping we can all cash in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 How about that energy swinging through later in the morning into the afternoon? That's starting to show up on a few of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 minutes ago, Stormpc said: How about that energy swinging through later in the morning into the afternoon? That's starting to show up on a few of the models I’ve seen this on quite a few TV stations as well. GRAF appears to be showing snow on the backend between 9am - 1 pm Thursday. Who knows at this point. Getting some sleep. I gave up earlier but the later models reeled me back in. Everyone get some rest. We wake up to the trend holding or at least 1-2 inches around RIC, and more to the SE of VA. Goodnight everyone! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 I should add I meant 1-2 for us RVA folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 15 minutes ago, Stormpc said: How about that energy swinging through later in the morning into the afternoon? That's starting to show up on a few of the models I think because this isn't going to be a complete phase, some of the energy is being left upstream so this Upper Level Low will rotate through the region as the main surface low departs. It should have enough lift associated with it to spark some scattered snow showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Just had a thought. How funny would it be if we got 20 inches in RVA after all. 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Anyway, back to reality. John Bernier WRIC has a new map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Looks like even the horrible UKMET improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 10 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said: Anyway, back to reality. John Bernier WRIC has a new map Lets keep the increases going 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 00z Euro is primarily a Hampton Roads and NE NC jackpot but has higher totals overall compared to 18z. The axis of snows did move a tick west, so although it's not the GFS or NAM, it's still an improvement. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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