wasnow215 Posted Monday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:02 PM A little jaded NGL and I'm rarely jaded lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Monday at 03:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:10 PM Well... the ICON is definitely a tick north and a healthier precip field at 54 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted Monday at 03:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:11 PM RGEM still a no go. Still good for Hampton roads area though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Monday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:14 PM **Storm isn't over at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Monday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:16 PM ICON is wetter and slightly north. Not a huge change, but it looks like the bleeding has hopefully stopped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted Monday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:17 PM Just reading the annual, sometimes more than annual, demise in the main thread. Again, since we have to depend on our little thread here, and I am worried with RIC_Airport moving, time to thank Inudaw, red tagger, for posting in here. I forget who it was in Chester, not DT, but it was similar handle to WxMan1, another red tagger we would get from time to time and I miss Heidi the Horrible from Cville. Now, with Bob Chill in VA and cameos from Midlo, maybe this thread will stay alive and keep me out of the main thread more. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Monday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:17 PM RDPS went north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted Monday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:20 PM From the vantage point of Lynchburg, I'd love an 8" storm for there and for Richmond and it would be great if at least NOVA would get 6". But what I want or wish does not influence the weather... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 03:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:23 PM 10 minutes ago, Inudaw said: RGEM still a no go. Still good for Hampton roads area though. How reliable do you feel RGEM has been last few years? Seems like it's usually off but I don't keep official records of it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Monday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:24 PM Any way you slice it it looks like there's no way this is not going to be a solid thump from Newport News through Chesapeake. It's the northern and southern edges that are vacillating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted Monday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:27 PM Just now, wasnow215 said: How reliable do you feel RGEM has been last few years? Seems like it's usually off but I don't keep official records of it lol GGEM and conversely its Regional counter part RGEM have been improving compared to the American counterparts. I don't think its as highly rated as the shorter range models such as Nam (under 48 hours) HRR and FV that have been developed lately. Usually its used as an idicator of how the GGEM will be have (global version). I'd argue its 3rd or 4th on the short range model tier. More interested in what the HRDps shows once with in 48 hours. High Resolution version of the Canadian model suit. Problem is with that we are at the far southern edge of its box of influence. lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted Monday at 03:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:27 PM 2 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Any way you slice it it looks like there's no way this is not going to be a solid thump from Newport News through Chesapeake. It's the northern and southern edges that are vacillating It is absolutely possible, albeit unlikely, that Tidewater will not get a good event. This is the weather and until the snow is on the ground unlikely things can and will happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted Monday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:36 PM Icon stopped the bleeding and had slight north expansion 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted Monday at 03:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:42 PM Roads starting to be sprayed 288 / short pump.. hopefully it’s a sign of better things to come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Monday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:43 PM Nam and Icon both shifted pretty early in the runs. Noticeable improvement with amplification thru the deep south/TN Valley. This resulted in a modest shift in track but more importantly, the gulf tap is better. More juice. That's the easy snow we all need for a decent storm. I'm pretty much out on coastal enhancement but there's a nice path to victory still. If gfs and euro have similar bumps its a great sign as we're in the short range. Those types are adjustments can happen into game time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted Monday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:47 PM Similar adjustment on the gfs. May not make a difference this run but these are the things all of us want to see 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Monday at 03:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:47 PM 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Nam and Icon both shifted pretty early in the runs. Noticeable improvement with amplification thru the deep south/TN Valley. This resulted in a modest shift in track but more importantly, the gulf tap is better. More juice. That's the easy snow we all need for a decent storm. I'm pretty much out on coastal enhancement but there's a nice path to victory still. If gfs and euro have similar bumps its a great sign as we're in the short range. Those types are adjustments can happen into game time. Exactly what the 3K nam was showing and the results at the end of its range at 60. Nice waa thump for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted Monday at 03:53 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:53 PM I'm going to laugh when the tv mets go "See, this is why we wait. RVA only getting 3 inches." Meanwhile the models come out today and tomorrow showing the NW shift. I'm no weather person, but I can see patterns They seem to avoid mentioning 2 days of model runs showing big numbers, but speak up the moment only 2 model runs show lower numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted Monday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:54 PM Gfs is a beauty for everyone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted Monday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:57 PM Does it look like (at the airport specifically in Richmond) that start time is a little later now maybe 11 AM or noon? On Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Monday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:04 PM The Canadian seems basically unchanged at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted Monday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:06 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted Monday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:10 PM 15 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Gfs is a beauty for everyone Don't have RIC's super zoomed in maps but yeah! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted Monday at 04:54 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 04:54 PM 42 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Don't have RIC's super zoomed in maps but yeah! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:10 PM Ukmet still a shut out basically north west of Norfolk. But it did "improve." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:11 PM Ukie increased amounts in RIC from trace to an inch. Another good sign. NC coast still the jack though. Baby steps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Monday at 05:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:12 PM 1 minute ago, Inudaw said: Ukmet still a shut out basically north west of Norfolk. But it did "improve." Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CavalierHoo Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:21 PM Well now.....lets see how true this trend is. Euro is rollin'. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Euro says no to every single one of us. Game over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derek015 Posted Monday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:31 PM The euro is so bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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