TampaMan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: Little disappointed how we busted low but this winter is already better than last few winters so can’t complain so much . Also, next three weeks looks like we got more potential coming. I had low expectations coming into it due to the NAM and EURO. While I knew it wouldn’t perform the way we all wanted there were moments of truly beautiful snow. Heaviest bands I’ve seen in a long long time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Don't get too much sleep over the next 10 days. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 22 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Don't get too much sleep over the next 10 days. If only one of these things verified 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Interested in seeing the ensemble members for that run. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 33 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Interested in seeing the ensemble members for that run. Wow. Euro is on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Don't get too much sleep over the next 10 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 5 hours ago, chris624wx said: EPS for next week still showing potential. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Gonna be a LONG week tracking the next one. We should start seeing something consistent by Friday or Saturday, we should assume. Both majors have something on the table for next Wednesday Thursday. Starting to get into Euro's hot range. But give the GFS credit for being pretty good with yesterday's storm. Too far south to start with but it did adjust North but might have been 30 miles or so off on the southern end. That's not terrible. If I'm in Central Virginia away from the coast I'm feeling pretty good about next week at this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This ended up being quite the eventful ice storm. I measured .20” of ice but it looks like more in taller trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Ice snuck up on us lol. Hoping power comes back soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Yeah, heard transformer, at least one maybe two, go this morning in the Tuckahoe area. We flickered but then I had to come into the office. Major internet outages happening though, might be sourcing from Ashburn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The big storm is still on the board on the GFS. Most of us would rather take the Canadian version which has a more offshore and southern track. Pretty nice winter storm for the Middle Atlantic the past 24 hours. Lot more ice than I thought. The snow did exactly what it was supposed to do, and where it was supposed to. We need that Saturday system to go through New England to see how it sets up next week's storm. Exciting times for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 23 minutes ago, Stormpc said: The big storm is still on the board on the GFS. Most of us would rather take the Canadian version which has a more offshore and southern track. Pretty nice winter storm for the Middle Atlantic the past 24 hours. Lot more ice than I thought. The snow did exactly what it was supposed to do, and where it was supposed to. We need that Saturday system to go through New England to see how it sets up next week's storm. Exciting times for sure. Loving my cold rain! I never want anything to do with an ice storm. Experienced many growing up in the favorable CAD areas in NE Georgia. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 35 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Loving my cold rain! I never want anything to do with an ice storm. Experienced many growing up in the favorable CAD areas in NE Georgia. Agree. There's nothing good about ice. Serves zero purpose. Back in the mid-90s through early 2000s we used to get several ice events in NOVA. Nothing much the last 15 years. We can debate about why for days on end. Hopefully that storm next week gets a lot of people involved on this board, from the southeast through new england. Each of these storms have been very regional this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Something is up with the 12z Euro. Must be having loading issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Yeah, see my previous post, there is stuff going on today affecting a lot of businesses. Delayed email or not getting delivered, circuits flapping, I know a major artery for internet up and down the east coast goes through Ashburn and they were have trouble earlier, still must be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, JB Fins said: Yeah, see my previous post, there is stuff going on today affecting a lot of businesses. Delayed email or not getting delivered, circuits flapping, I know a major artery for internet up and down the east coast goes through Ashburn and they were have trouble earlier, still must be. Really? Interesting. I saw the Euro was down but I didn't know it was a larger scale issue affecting other things. One of those Ashburn data centers is the possible culprit. Those buildings are hilarious. They're about a quarter mile long and wide and are six cars parked in the lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12z Euro finally ran and is a decent hit for Central and Southern VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Man, that was the nastiest weather day we've had in a long while. Pretty cold this morning, dumping cold ass rain and ugly snow on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18z GFS real nice for next week again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 18z GFS real nice for next week again Not for us on the coast if it stays that flat and doesn't dig down to the Gulf, unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 19 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Not for us on the coast if it stays that flat and doesn't dig down to the Gulf, unfortunately My bad I meant Central Va-still time for everybody and other weather models are off the coast more for you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: My bad I meant Central Va-still time for everybody and other weather models are off the coast more for you guys 21 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Not for us on the coast if it stays that flat and doesn't dig down to the Gulf, unfortunately 12z Euro was good for all yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 20 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 12z Euro was good for all yes? 12z Euro has 8-10 inches for large area of VA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 EURO says no sir and GFS here’s 1 inch. Womp womp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 34 minutes ago, RVAman said: EURO says no sir and GFS here’s 1 inch. Womp womp. It’s just one run of the Euro, over a week out so will flip around some. GFS, I have lost faith in after the last storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 15 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: It’s just one run of the Euro, over a week out so will flip around some. GFS, I have lost faith in after the last storm. Yes-at this point it's just seeing if the ingredients are still around and they certainly are. Anybody thinking a particular run that happens to miss means a fail is being premature just like a run that shows a foot a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Yes-at this point it's just seeing if the ingredients are still around and they certainly are. Anybody thinking a particular run that happens to miss means a fail is being premature just like a run that shows a foot a week out. Mmm, no. Not really premature. The GFS was so incredibly wrong about this weeks storm it cannot be trusted unless it redeems itself in a huge way. The euro is shifting this thing west as it usually does and likely will continue to do. If I’m mistaken, I said 1-2 all along for Tuesdays system while other numbers were being thrown around. I stand by the EURO as it has proven its worthiness. The NAM also did extremely well while the HRRR didn’t. If you think it’s premature to say this scenario won’t likely happen, that’s fine. I stand by what I think is accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 19 minutes ago, RVAman said: Mmm, no. Not really premature. The GFS was so incredibly wrong about this weeks storm it cannot be trusted unless it redeems itself in a huge way. The euro is shifting this thing west as it usually does and likely will continue to do. If I’m mistaken, I said 1-2 all along for Tuesdays system while other numbers were being thrown around. I stand by the EURO as it has proven its worthiness. The NAM also did extremely well while the HRRR didn’t. If you think it’s premature to say this scenario won’t likely happen, that’s fine. I stand by what I think is accurate. This will be my only reply as I'm not going back-and-forth. Parts of RVA got up to 5 inches. So one to two was not correct JUST LIKE MY 3-5 WAS NOT CORRECT because actually it was 1-5 or whatever the max was. Again this will be my only reply regarding this, but OF COURSE it's premature to think there is no chance for something a week away. 90% of folks on here will agree with this. It's not personal it's just weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12z ICON fwiw is a blizzard for next week-midweek, with a ton of snow and GFS solid again. Just letting you know what the models are showing. Let's see how it all trends and how Euro does. No final totals yet from CMC but also coming in strong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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